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The Houston Rockets will take on the Denver Nuggets at 5 p.m. ET on Saturday at Ball Arena. Denver is 4-4 overall and 2-1 at home, while the Rockets are 1-7 overall and 0-5 on the road. The Nuggets are 3-5 against the spread. Despite having just one straight-up win, the Rockets are .500 (4-4) against the spread. 

Denver is favored by 10.5 points in the latest Nuggets vs. Rockets odds from Caesars Sportsbook. The over-under for total points is set at 217. Before entering any Rockets vs. Nuggets picks, you'll want to see the NBA predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned almost $9,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model finished up almost $600 on its top-rated picks last season and enters Week 3 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 106-71 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Nuggets vs. Rockets. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NBA betting lines for Rockets vs. Nuggets:

  • Nuggets vs. Rockets spread: Nuggets -10.5
  • Nuggets vs. Rockets over-under: 217 points

What you need to know about the Nuggets

Denver fell 108-106 to the Memphis Grizzlies on Wednesday. Center Nikola Jokic put forth a good effort for the losing side as he posted a double-double on 34 points and 11 boards along with five assists. Jokic leads the team with 25.1 points and 13.4 rebounds per game. 

He needs more help, however, since the next leading scorer is Will Barton (15.3 ppg). No other player is averaging more than 13 points per game as Jamal Murray (knee) remains out until at least the spring. Denver's strength has been on the defensive end where the Nuggets are giving up just 99.4 points per game, which is tied for the second-best mark in the NBA. 

What you need to know about the Rockets

Meanwhile, Houston fell 123-11 to the Suns on Thursday. Shooting guard Eric Gordon struggled for Houston, finishing with 12 points. He turned the ball over five times in his 29 minutes on the court.

The Rockets have been rebuilding since trading away Russell Westbrook and James Harden last year. Kevin Porter Jr. (13.3 ppg) and Jalen Green (14.8) are promising young scorers who are supplemented by more experienced players like Gordon and Christian Wood. Danuel House (foot) has been ruled out for this one, while Daniel Theis (toe) is listed as questionable. 

How to make Rockets vs. Nuggets picks

The model is leaning under on the total, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in almost 70 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Nuggets vs. Rockets? And which side of the spread hits almost 70 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out, all from the model that's crushed its NBA picks