The San Jose State Spartans already have won more games than a season ago, but are still looking for their first victory in Mountain West Conference play. They hope they can pull one of the biggest upsets on Wednesday's college basketball schedule when they host the San Diego State Aztecs at 11 p.m. ET. After a five-game winning streak, the Aztecs have won just three of their last six games, but are coming off of a thrilling win against Nevada for their 13th win in 2021-22.
The Aztecs are favored by 16.5 points in the latest San Jose State vs. San Diego State odds from Caesars Sportsbook, and the over-under is set at 125. Before entering any San Diego State vs. San Jose State picks, you'll want to see the college basketball predictions from the model at SportsLine.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of over $2,300 for $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
- San Jose State vs. San Diego State spread: San Jose State +16.5
- San Jose State vs. San Diego State over-under: 125 points
What you need to know about San Jose State
The Spartans failed to get anything going again on Saturday in a loss to Boise State, 76-60. Despite the result, SJSU got a solid performance out of guard Myron (MJ) Amey, Jr., who shot 5-for-8 from downtown and finished with 24 points and eight rebounds. Amey's game was his best of the season against an NCAA Division I opponent. Otherwise, Omari Moore has been the top offensive threat for San Jose State this season, and he averages 13.2 points and 5.5 rebounds per contest.
The Spartans appear likely to be without forward Trey Anderson (concussion), who was only on the floor for two minutes in San Jose's last game against Utah State before exiting. The South Carolina transfer had scored 24 total points over his previous two games prior to getting hurt. The injury further depletes a thinning Spartans frontcourt that lost Ibrahima Diallo after just eight games with a knee injury.
What you need to know about San Diego State
San Diego State narrowly escaped with a victory against the Wolf Pack on Sunday, 65-63. Guard Matt Bradley shot 5-for-9 from beyond the arc and finished with 26 points and seven boards. This makes back-to-back games in which he has scored at least 40 percent of San Diego State's points. No other Aztecs player finished with a double-digit point total in the game, but Bradley is the clear top option on offense, with 17.1 points and 2.3 assists per game this season.
The Spartans have allowed their opponents to shoot 45.9 percent from the floor this year, which is the 34th-highest shooting percentage allowed in college basketball. The Aztecs' defense has more to brag about, as they enter with only 57.2 points allowed per game on average, good for fourth-best in the country. Lamont Butler has been the team's most dynamic defender and averages two swipes per game.
How to make San Jose State vs. San Diego State picks
The model has simulated San Diego State vs. San Jose State 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
Who wins San Jose State vs. San Diego State? And which side of the spread is a must-back? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has crushed its college basketball picks, and find out.