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Diamondbacks vs. Phillies score, highlights: Ketel Marte's walk-off single gives Arizona life in NLCS

The Arizona Diamondbacks have some life in the National League Championship Series. Thanks to Ketel Marte's walk-off single, the D-backs beat the Philadelphia Phillies in Game 3 on Thursday night. The final score was 2-1 (box score). Philadelphia still has a 2-1 lead in the best-of-seven series, though Arizona avoided the dreaded 3-0 deficit. It's a series now.

Game 3 was scoreless through six innings -- starters Brandon Pfaadt and Ranger Suárez were both terrific -- and tied 1-1 through eight innings. Both teams wasted prime run-scoring opportunities in the late innings before the D-backs built their game-winning rally against Craig Kimbrel in the ninth. Marte's third hit of the game was a walk-off single.

Here are our takeaways from Game 3 of the NLCS.

1. Pfaadt was Pfantastic

After dropping Games 1 and 2 behind Zac Gallen and Merrill Kelly, the D-backs had basically no path to an NLCS comeback without getting a dominant start from Brandon Pfaadt. Pfaadt delivered in Game 3. The rookie right-hander struck out a career high nine in 5 2/3 scoreless innings, his longest outing since Sept. 27. He held the Phillies to one double and one single.

On Wednesday, D-backs manager Torey Lovullo said he was hoping to get 18 batters from Pfaadt -- two times through the order -- and that's exactly what he got. Lovullo pulled Pfaadt after only 70 pitches and two quick outs to begin the sixth, and the Chase Field crowd greeted the manager with boos. Understandable, right? Pfaadt was dealing!

That said, Arizona's season was essentially on the line in Game 3, and numbers support the decision. Opposing hitters hammered Pfaadt the third time through the order during the regular season. The numbers:


PAAVG/OBP/SLGK%

1st time thru order

171

.276/.304/.460

28.1%

2nd time thru order

168

.243/.323/.520

21.4%

3rd time thru order

82

.373/.390/.720

12.2%

I have to say, I wouldn't have let Pfaadt face Kyle Schwarber, Trea Turner, and Bryce Harper a third time either. Not in October and not when I'm down 2-0 in the series. A pitcher is dealing right up until he isn't. Lovullo went to lefty Andrew Saalfrank, who walked Schwarber (groan) before getting Turner to ground out to end the sixth inning.

Regardless of what you think about the decision to pull him, Pfaadt was outstanding in Game 3. The Phillies swung at 36 of his 70 pitches and missed 17 times, or 47%. That's top of the line, even in an individual game. They missed with nine of their 18 swings against his fastball. Pfaadt was dominant. He gave the D-backs exactly what they needed in Game 3.

Credit to Phillies starter Ranger Suárez too. He matched Pfaadt pitch-for-pitch and held Arizona scoreless in his 5 1/3 innings. Suárez now has a 0.94 ERA in 28 2/3 career postseason innings. That is the best ERA in history among players with at least five career postseason starts, narrowly ahead of Hall of Famers Sandy Koufax (0.95 ERA) and Christy Mathewson (1.06 ERA).

2. Marte came through again

Somewhat quietly, Ketel Marte has been one of the most productive players in baseball this postseason. He went 3 for 5 with two doubles in Game 3 and provided the walk-off single against Craig Kimbrel in the ninth inning. Arizona had a runner thrown out at the plate earlier in the inning and was in danger of blowing another golden opportunity, but Marte came through.

That's the first walk-off of this postseason and the first postseason walk-off since Game 3 of last year's American League Division Series, when Oscar Gonzalez of the Cleveland Guardians shot a walk-off single back up the middle against the New York Yankees in Game 3 of the Division Series.

Getting back to Marte, he is 6 for 13 (.462) three games into the NLCS. The rest of the D-backs are 11 for 81 (.136). Marte has been a one-man army. Also, he's hit safely in his 12 career postseason games. That's the third longest postseason hitting streak to begin a career in history. The leaderboard:

  1. Marquis Grissom: 15 games
  2. Greg Luzinski: 13 games
  3. Ketel Marte: 12 games
  4. Elvis Andrus: 12 games
  5. Nelson Cruz: 12 games
  6. Darin Erstad: 12 games

During the regular season Marte, who turned only 30 last week, hit .276/.358/.485 with 25 home runs and a 16.8% strikeout rate that was far better than the 22.7% league average. The D-backs convinced him to sign a five-year, $76 million extension in March 2022. What a bargain. Marte is one of the most underrated players in the game and one of the best this October.

3. The D-backs have a pulse

Granted, the Phillies still have a 2-1 series lead, and teams with a 2-1 lead in a best-of-seven have gone on to win the series 70% of the time. The D-backs now have life though. They will go with a bullpen game in Game 4, and while that can be scary, it does allow for optimal matchups in every inning (in theory, anyway). The Phillies will start lefty Cristopher Sánchez in Game 4. He has not appeared in a game since Sept. 30.

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Pre-emptive hook. There's a lot to be said for lifting your starter before he gets into trouble rather than while he's getting into trouble in the postseason, but it's a hard needle to thread.

 

A 2023 postseason first

There has been plenty of offense (and lopsided games) this October. Not the case in NLCS Game 3.

 

Lovullo goes to the bullpen

And the crowd at Chase Field is booing him madly

 

Suárez is cruising too

Great pitchers' duel so far. The third time through the order looms for both starters next inning.

 

Pfaadt with 8 strikeouts

In the regular season, Pfaadt had eight strikeouts three times. He's never gotten to nine. Given the stakes here and only two hits allowed in five scoreless innings, it's fair to say he's working on the best start of his young career.

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The Phillies have taken 17 swings against Pfaadt's fastball and they've missed nine times. Sheesh.

 

Pfaadt in Big Unit territory

And Doug Davis territory! He'll come back out for the fifth in a 0-0 game.

 

Here's another Ketel Marte stat

And a stat about the other Diamondbacks.

 
 

Marte is just an absurdly underrated player. 

 

Another hit for Marte

He has a 12-game hitting streak in October. He's hit safely in every postseason game he's played in his career. The D-backs have a runner at second with two outs.

 

Should be noted Pfaadt hasn't thrown more than 67 pitches since Sept. 27th. The D-backs have a bullpen game looming tomorrow. I would imagine they're going to push Pfaadt as far as possible (as long as he's effective).

 

Three scoreless innings for Pfaadt

The Phillies have swung at 10 fastballs and missed seven times. The D-Backs found Pfaadt at then-Division II Bellarmine University. He made only 11 starts in three years in college because of the pandemic, but Arizona liked what they saw there and in the Cape Cod League, and grabbed him in the fifth round of the five-round draft in 2020. Coached him up a bit and here he is.

 

One-out double by Brandon Marsh gives the Phils a chance to score the first run of Game 3. 

 

Pfaadt has the Phils swingin' and missin'

D-backs starter Brandon Pfaadt racked up eight swings and misses against the first seven Phillies hitters. That's five more than he had in his entire start against the Dodgers in NLDS Game 3 last week.

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D-backs pick up their first hit -- a well placed pop-up single by Lourdes Gurriel -- but get nothing out of it. Still 0-0. 

 

Bohm, Stott continue to struggle

Alec Bohm and Bryson Stott -- the Phillies' No. 4 and 5 hitters -- have two of the three lowest OPS's in the Phillies order (only No. 9 hitter/defensive specialist Johan Rojas has a lower OPS). They both recorded outs in a 1-2-3 top of the second for Brandon Pfaadt. Stott had a grand slam in the Wild Card Series, and Bohm notched an RBI single against the Braves in the NLDS, but they've been mostly quiet otherwise. Rob Thomson seems unlikely to change his lineup if the Phillies keep winning. But either hitter could be bumped down in the order if the Phillies drop a game or two.

 

Very very early but Pfaadt might look the best any pitcher has looked against the Phillies the entire postseason

 

After that inning by Pfaadt, I think we can say both pitchers look dominant early. Through nine total outs, five strikeouts and the only hit was a weak grounder.

 

Three strikeouts for Pfaadt

26 pitches in two scoreless innings. A pitchers' duel through three half-innings.

 

1-2-3 first for Suárez

Nine pitches. Dude is as cool as a cucumber.

 

Harper banged into an inning-ending 4-6-3 double play. First time in the series the Phillies did not score in the first inning.

 

Mid-1

Pfaadt induces an inning-ending double play. There was one hit, but it was a weak, broken-bat shot with eyes. A very good start for Arizona overall.

 

First hit of the game belongs to Trea Turner

He's still absurdly hot, though it's "only" a single this time.

 

Game 3 is underway

Brandon Pfaadt's first pitch to Kyle Schwarber is a sinker taken for a strike.

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Intros underway at Chase Field

Just the second home game of the playoffs for the D-backs. First pitch in Phoenix coming up in about 15 minutes.

 

Playoff Ranger

Phillies lefty Ranger Suárez will be on the mound in Thursday evening's Game 3. Suárez has built a strong playoff resume since making his postseason debut last year. Suárez is 3-0 with a 1.16 ERA in the playoffs. He started twice against the Braves in the NLDS and allowed one run and five baserunners in 8 2/3 innings. The last time Suárez pitched in the NLCS, he recorded the final out of the Phillies' pennant-clinching Game 5 win over the Padres last year.

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2023 Postseason Trends

  • Teams to score first: 20-7
  • Teams to out-homer opponents: 17-3 (22-6 in 2022 postseason)
  • 51.2% of runs have been scored via HR (was 41% in 2023 regular season, 46.8% in 2022 postseason)
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Odds To Win 2023 World Series

  • Phillies: +110
  • Rangers: +175
  • Astros: +350
  • Diamondbacks: +1800

The Phillies, two wins away from the World Series, enter the day as the World Series favorites. The D-backs are a longshot to come back in the series, with +640 odds to win the NLCS entering Game 3.

 

How to watch Diamondbacks-Phillies Game 3

Date: Thursday, Oct. 19 | Time: 5:07 p.m.
Location: Chase Field (Phoenix, AZ)
TV channel: TBS | Live stream: TBS app
Starting pitchers: LHP Ranger Suárez (4-6, 4.18 ERA) vs. RHP Brandon Pfaadt (3-9, 5.72 ERA)
Odds: PHI -135 | ARI +115 | O/U: 9

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