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49ers vs. Packers score, takeaways: San Francisco survives Green Bay upset bid, advances to NFC title game

The seventh-seeded Green Bay Packers snuck into the postseason with a 9-8 record as the NFL's youngest team (average age: 25 years, 214 days) in Year 1 A.A.R (After Aaron Rodgers). They looked like it Saturday night, leading for most of the night, once again crumbling late against the San Francisco 49ers in a 24-21 defeat. The 49ers are on to the NFC Championship for the fourth time time in five seasons. 

Simply making the dance in Jordan Love's first season as the Packers' primary starting quarterback while absorbing a $40 million dead cap hit for trading Rodgers to the New York Jets could be viewed as a win for the organization, a sign that they have a quarterback to build around long-term. However, they needed to make a handful more plays to overcome the NFC's top seed on the road. 

The loss also continues the haunting the 49ers have done to the Packers in the postseason as Green Bay drops its fifth consecutive playoff game against San Francisco. The win did erase the narrative that the 49ers can't come from behind and win during Kyle Shanahan's era. His San Francisco squad entered Saturday night 0-31 down five or more points in the fourth quarter since 2017, when he became their head coach. They were the only NFL team without such a win in this span. Not anymore. 

Brock Purdy, who was called a "game manager" by former NFL MVP quarterback Cam Newton, partially erased some of that narrative by leading a 12-play, 69-yard scoring drive that Christian McCaffrey, who finished with 98 yards and two touchdowns on 17 carries, punctuated with a six-yard touchdown run with 1:07 left in the game. Purdy finished with 252 passing yards and a touchdown on 23 of 39 passing.

The first half was a 7-6 slog in favor of San Francisco, but the action began to swing Green Bay's way after the break. Maligned defensive coordinator Joe Barry's unit forced a punt on the 49ers first drive after the half, and Love showed poise on the ensuing possession. He overcame running back Aaron Jones, who has been the NFL's hottest rusher the last five weeks, dropping the football on a toss play that pushed the Packers to a second and 21 on their own 34. He finished with 108 rushing yards on 18 carries. 

On third-and-15 during the same series, Love hung in the pocket to rifle a pass deep down the field to wideout Bo Melton. That throw was critical because 49ers corner Ambry Thomas committed his second pass interference penalty of the game, resulting in a gain of 41 yards for Green Bay. On the very next play, Love threw his first touchdown of the game to wide open Melton on a play-action wheel route down the right sideline for a 19-yard score.

On cue, the 49ers clapped back with a touchdown of their own, a 39-yard, electrifying breakaway rushing score by McCaffrey. The score was set up by tight end George Kittle on the play before with a 32-yard catch-and run. He caught the 49ers first score on a 32-yard pass from a scrambling Brock Purdy. He finished with a team-high 81 receiving yards and a receiving touchdown on four caches. 

The ensuing Green Bay kickoff return can only be described with one word: chaos. Packers cornerback Keisean Nixon, the NFL's First-Team All-Pro kick returner in each of the last two seasons, exploded for a 73-yard return, but he had the football punched out on the tail end of the play as the ball bounced around on the Levi's Stadium grass, but special teams captain Eric Wilson jumped on top of the football for the recovery. 

Four plays later, Love threw his second scoring strike of the night on a two-yard out route to rookie tight end Tucker Kraft. LaFleur dialed up a play that sent Jones out to the shallow right corner of the end zone with three receivers running routes to the left. That made it difficult for 49ers All-Pro linebacker Fred Warner to fight through the bodies, allowing Jones to haul in the lollipop throw from Love that gave the Packers their first seven-point lead of the night 21-14. 

The 49ers couldn't fully capitalize on Love's first bad throw of the postseason, a pass behind Kraft that the tight end tipped in the air and resulted in an interception by linebacker Dre Greenlaw. Purdy's misfires forced rookie kicker Jake Moody to take and make a 52-yard field goal. 

Following a 49ers' punt, Packers rookie Anders Carlson hooked a 41-yard field goal wide left, allowing San Francisco one last chance to steal the lead back with 6:18 left to play. Like they have all year, Purdy methodically marched them down the field, reaching the Packers 15 with two minutes left in the game. He made a critical play happen with his legs, scrambling nine yards to the Packers' six, and then on third and one, McCaffrey powered through the line of scrimmage for the go-ahead six-yard rushing score with 1:07 left to play.

That left Love with 67 seconds and three timeouts to get into field goal range. The Packers reached their own 36, but Love made an ill-advised, cross-body throw on a rollout to the right. The pass hung in the air, allowing Greenlaw to come away with his second interception of the night. The first-year starting quarterback finished with 194 passing yards, two touchdowns and two interceptions on 21 of 34 passing. 

Why the 49ers won 

They didn't fold under pressure. They trailed for the most of game as Purdy struggled to get in rhythm in the wet, rainy conditions. However after Carlson missed a field goal that would've put Green Bay up seven, Purdy locked in. He completed six of his seven passes on the 49ers' final drive for 47 yards in addition to a nine-yard scramble after the pocket collapsed, setting up McCaffrey's go-ahead score one play later. 

Simply put, San Francisco looked like the NFC's top seed when the chips were down in the final minutes. 

Why the Packers lost 

Green Bay's youth had an edge this postseason as receiver after receiver sprung open for completions from Love with no one in their area code. However, their inexperience hurt them in a season-killing way when it mattered most. Carlson's 41-yard field goal attempt would have put the Packers ups seven, likely ensuring overtime had it gone through the uprights with 6:21 left to play. 

Instead, the miss allowed the 49ers to have plenty of time to march down the field for the go-ahead touchdown. Then, Love's inexperience finally showed on his last pass attempt of the season, his second interception to Greenlaw. After rolling out, he decided to throw a YOLO ball down the middle of the field to Christian Watson across his body despite multiple 49ers defenders lurking. The result was an underthrow that Greenlaw as able to corral, which ended the Packers promising postseason run. 

Turning point 

Carlson's missed field goal. Green Bay controlled the game for most of the night, but that miss breathed new life into what had been a quiet Levi's Stadium and struggling 49ers offense. 

Plays of the game 

One throw from each quarterback. First, Purdy's 32-yard touchdown throw to Kittle while on the run.

However, the best throw of the night belongs to Love and his third and seven dart to Romeo Doubs for a gain of 22 yards that gave Green Bay a first-and-goal at the San Francisco 9.

What's Next

The 49ers will host the winner of Sunday's Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Detroit Lions showdown in the NFC Championship game on January 28 at 6:30 pm. ET. The Packers' 2023 season comes to an end. 

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Live updates
 

Brock Purdy has had a magnificent season. The former Mr. Irrelevant broke the record for yards per attempt (9.6) in a season (minimum 350 attempts) and led the NFL in passer rating (113.0). He was the favorite for league MVP for a stretch, as his 4,280 passing yards this season are the most in 49ers history, making him their first Pro Bowl quarterback since Jeff Garcia in 2002.

  Most Yds/Att in NFL History Min. 350 Att

2023 Brock Purdy 9.6

2016 Matt Ryan << 9.3

2011 Aaron Rodgers << 9.2

>> Won NFL MVP

 

The 49ers are 18-1 and average 32.7 PPG with +16.0 PPG differential with healthy versions of Brock Purdy, Christian McCaffrey and Deebo Samuel including the playoffs. They have that this week, but they did lose their last such game on Christmas 33-19 against the Baltimore Ravens, the AFC's top seed. 

49ers with Healthy Brock Purdy, Christian McCaffrey, Deebo Samuel Including Playoffs

W-L 18-1

PPG 32.8

PPG diff +16.0

>> Lost last game: 33-19 vs Ravens

 

Each of the five aforementioned 49ers players lead the league in a specific statistical category or two. 

 

The San Francisco 49ers' third-ranked scoring offense (28.9 points per game) that the Packers are facing tonight is very different than the Cowboys' top-ranked scoring offense (29.9 points per game) that Green Bay faced last week. The Cowboys were essentially the CeeDee Lamb show. After him, the Cowboys didn't have really any other consistent offensive threat. 

That is not the case with the 49ers. They are the first offense since the 2004 Indianapolis Colts -- a group loaded with three Pro Football Hall of Famers (QB Peyton Manning, RB Edgerrin James and WR Marvin Harrison) and a 2024 Hall of Fame finalist (WR Reggie Wayne) -- to have a 4,000-yard passer in Brock Purdy and four players with at least 1,000 scrimmage yards (RB Christian McCaffrey, WR Brandon Aiyuk, WR Deebo Samuel and TE George Kittle). 

 

Packers running back Aaron Jones hasn't just been an on-field leader for Green Bay this season. With all the youth surround him on the team's offense, he vowed to be a more vocal leader in 2023. Here's how he has lived up to that and then some this season plus some specific examples to where that leadership has then been dividends on the field. 

 

That's music to Aaron Jones' ears. Green Bay's RB ran for playoff career highs of 118 yards and three touchdowns on 21 carries, an incredibly efficient 5.6 yards per carry, against the Cowboys. That output tied the NFL all-time record for rushing touchdowns in a road playoff game, rushing touchdowns in a wild-card round game and rushing touchdowns in a Packers postseason game. Jones' seven career playoff rushing touchdowns are the most in Green Bay history.   

Jones has run over 100 yards in four consecutive games, tied with Ahman Green in 2003 for the longest such streak in Packers history. It's also the longest active streak in the NFL right now. There is some opportunity for Green Bay to punish San Francisco up front and keep its defense off the field.   

 

Here are the Green Bay Packers inactives. Packers No. 2 RB AJ Dillon misses his third game in a row with a neck injury. Patrick Taylor and Emanuel Wilson will share RB2 duties once again as they did in Dallas last week. Despite having an ankle injury that caused him to miss practice Wednesday and Thursday, Pro Bowl CB Jaire Alexander is active just like he was a week ago after being questionable. 

Aaron Jones has four games in a row with over 100 yards as well as over 20 carries. He should be in for a similar workload tonight. 

Green Bay Packers Inactives

18 WR Malik Heath
28 RB AJ Dillon
48 S Benny Sapp III
55 LB Kingsley Enagbare
57 LB Brenton Cox Jr.
72 T Caleb Jones

 

No A.J. Dillon for the Packers tonight, so Aaron Jones should again have a huge role in the backfield. He dominated the Cowboys last week.

 

No particularly notable inactives for the 49ers tonight.

 

There are also opportunities for Green Bay on the ground. On the surface level, it doesn't look that way. The 49ers allowed 89.7 rushing yards per game in the regular season, the third lowest in the NFL. However, that figure is influenced heavily by San Francisco almost exclusively playing from ahead in the vast majority of its games, forcing opponents to become reliant on throwing the football to come back.   

San Francisco played from ahead for 11 hours, 10 minutes and 20 seconds of game time across the 18-week regular season. That's the second-highest rate in the NFL behind only the AFC's top-seeded Baltimore Ravens (11:32:57) and the best rate in the NFC. When the 49ers actually had to defend the run, they were below average. Their run defense expected points added of 6.54 ranked as the fourth lowest in the NFL. Their rush defense success rate -- the rate of plays in which less than 50% of the 10 yards needed for a new first down were gained on first or second down as well as a rushing first down not being picked up on third or fourth down -- was 53.9%, good for 19th in the league.  

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Over Jordan Love's last three games, must-wins at the Vikings, against the Bears and at the Cowboys, he has generated a perfect passer rating (158.3) when pressured with 290 yards and four touchdowns on 17 of 21 passing. Love was 5 of 7 for 152 yards and two touchdowns when pressured against the Cowboys last Sunday. 

On third down, the money down, Love is equally perfect. He has thrown 11 touchdowns and no interceptions on third down across the last nine games. That's also a weak spot for San Francisco as it ranked 24th in third-down conversion rate allowed (41%) this season. 

 

The way Love is playing right now, anything within reach for Green Bay. The 49ers have the seventh-best pass rush in the league in terms of pressure rate (39.6%) and sacks (48, tied with multiple teams). During the Packers' stretch of winning seven of their last nine games Love has been elite when pressured.  

He has eight touchdowns and no interceptions when under duress with an 8.6 yards per pass attempt figure. Over the course of the entire 2023 regular season, that figure would rank as the fifth-highest in the NFL. If San Francisco isn't able to get a quarterback to the ground while pressuring them, that's where they are in the trouble. They blitz at the fifth-lowest rate in the NFL (22%), yet they still surrender the worst completion percentage (58%) and seventh-most passing yards per attempt (6.6) when pressuring opposing quarterbacks this season. 

Jordan Love When Pressured 

Last 9 Games Including Playoffs

                   NFL Rank

Yds/att 8.6      2nd

TD-INT 8-0     1st

Passer rtg 115.4  1st

>> SF: Allows highest Comp pct with pressure (58%) this season

 

In Green Bay's 48-32 Wild Card Round win at the Dallas Cowboys, Love set the Packers' single-game postseason records for passer rating (157.2, 1.1 points away from a perfect 158.3 rating) and yards per pass attempt (13.0). 

Jordan Love in Wild Card Win vs Cowboys

Comp/Att     16/21

Pass yds     272

TD-INT       3-0

Yds/att      13.0 <<

Passer rtg   157.2 <<

>> Packers playoff record

 

Jordan Love's ascendance the second half of the season is the driving force in the Packers going from 3-6 to playing in the NFC Divisional Round this weekend at the 49ers. He has become a much more efficient passer while still increasing his touchdown passes output. 

Jordan Love This Season - Including Playoffs

    1st 9 Games       Past 9 Games

W-L         3-6           7-2

Comp pct 59%          71%

Yds/Stt     6.7             8.1

TD-INT    14-10         21-1

 

Packers starting quarterback Jordan Love and 49ers starting quarterback Brock Purdy became just two of five quarterbacks to throw for at least 30 touchdowns and 4,000 passing yards in their first seasons as a full-time NFL starting quarterback joining elite company: Hall of Famer Kurt Warner (1999), Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes (2018) and Los Angeles Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert (2020). 

 30 Pass TD & 4,000 Pass Yards in 1st Season as Full-Time Starter - NFL History

  2023 Brock Purdy

  2023 Jordan Love

  2020 Justin Herbert

  2018 Patrick Mahomes

  1999 Kurt Warner

  >> Full-time starter = started at least 50% of team games

 

The San Francisco 49ers are seeking to make an NFC Championship Game appearance for the third consecutive season. They have lost two in a row. San Francisco has reached the conference championship game round in six consecutive playoff appearances, tied for the second-longest such streak since the 1970 NFL/AFL merger. 

49ers Last 6 Playoff Appearances

               Result

2022 L, Conf Champ

2021 L, Conf Champ

2019 L, Super Bowl

2013 L, Conf Champ

2012 L, Super Bowl

2011 L, Conf Champ 

Most Consecutive Playoff Trips Reaching Conf Champ Game - Since 1970

2011-18 Patriots 8

2011-22 49ers 6

1988-94 49ers 6

1973-80 Raiders 6

 

Green Bay's win over the Dallas Cowboys made them the first seven seed to win a playoff game as all past seven seed were 0-6 in the Wild Card Round since the postseason expanded in 2020. Their 42 points at Dallas are tied for the second-most points by any road team in playoff history. 

 

The Packers reached the NFC Divisional Round by knocking off the second-seeded Dallas Cowboys 48-32 in the wild-card round, making Green Bay the youngest team to win playoff game since the 1970 AFL/NFL merger (average age of 25 years, 214 days). Almost of their offensive skill position players with the exception of running back Aaron Jones, age 29, are in their first or second NFL season. 

  • 2023 fifth-round pick wide receiver Dontayvion Wicks (22 years old)
  • 2023 second-round pick tight end Luke Musgrave (23 years old)
  • 2023 third-round pick tight end Tucker Kraft (23 years old)
  • 2023 second-round pick wide receiver Jayden Reed (23 years old)
  • 2022 fourth-round pick wide receiver Romeo Doubs (23 years old)
  • Undrafted wide receiver Malik Heath (23 years old)
  • 2022 second-round pick wide receiver Christian Watson (24 years old)
  • 2022 seventh-round pick (by Seattle Seahawks) wide receiver Bo Melton (24 years old)
  • 2020 first-round pick quarterback Jordan Love (25 years old)
  • 2020 second-round pick running back AJ Dillon (25 years old)
  • 2022 seventh-round pick wide receiver Samori Toure (25 years old)
 

The 49ers lead the all-time playoff series with the Packers 5-4 with wins coming in each of the last four meetings, all with Aaron Rodgers as the Green Bay starting quarterback. Saturday night will be Packers first-year starting quarterback Jordan Love's first game against San Francisco. The last time Green Bay defeated San Francisco in a playoff game, Brett Favre led the Packers to a 25-15 over Jeff Garcia and the 49ers in the 2001 Wild Card Round.

Packers vs 49ers in Playoffs 

By Starting QB                    

                        W-L

Aaron Rodgers 0-4

All Others          4-1

 

If you feel like the Green Bay Packers versus the San Francisco 49ers is a familiar postseason matchup, it's because it is. Saturday's game will make it the most frequently occurring playoff clash in NFL history. 

Most Playoff Meetings All-Time

49ers-Packers     10 <<

Packers-Cowboys     9 <<

Rams-Cowboys 9

49ers-Cowboys     9

>> Including this season

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