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2023 MLB playoffs: Six things we learned from wild-card openers as Brewers blow chances, Twins snap skid

The 2023 MLB postseason got underway Tuesday with the Diamondbacks, Phillies, Twins and Rangers notching victories in Game 1 of their respective Wild Card Series. History was made in Minnesota, while the Diamondbacks and Rangers pulled off road upsets to put themselves on the verge of the League Division Series.

The best-of-three Wild Card Series continue Wednesday with the Rays, Blue Jays, Brewers and Marlins fighting to stay alive. Here is the postseason bracket and here is the postseason schedule.

Now let's recap the first day of the 2023 MLB postseason with six things we learned.

Wild Card Series scores

1. The Rays' defense looks shaky

The big story on the losing side in Tampa was the complete and utter collapse of the Rays' normally reliable team defense. In all, the Rays committed four errors in Game 1, three of which were on throwing miscues. With error No. 3, the Rays became the first team to commit three errors in a postseason game since the Yankees in the 2019 ALCS. They reached their nadir with error No. 4, which was committed by the usually slick-fielding Jose Siri and which allowed the Rangers to double their lead from 2-0 to 4-0. During the regular season, the Rays ranked a quite respectable 10th in MLB in defensive efficiency, which is the percentage of balls in play that a defense converts into outs. Those team-wide skills, however, fully eluded them on Tuesday. 

For the winning side, the story was starting pitcher and deadline addition Jordan Montgomery. At the front of a somewhat uncertain Texas playoff rotation, Montgomery delivered in a big way against one of the best offenses in baseball. In the end, he twirled seven scoreless innings against Tampa Bay with five strikeouts and no walks. Getting that kind of depth from Monty – who's been excellent this season both before and after the trade out of St. Louis – was huge.

2. Royce Lewis is just what the Twins needed

It was not certain Royce Lewis would even be on the postseason roster. He did not play after Sept. 19 because of a hamstring injury, but he's healthy enough to DH in the Wild Card Series, and Lewis put the H in DH in Game 1. He swatted home runs in his first at-bats -- a two-run homer in the first and a solo shot in the third -- and he joined Evan Longoria and Gary Gaetti as the only players to go deep in their first two postseason at-bats. Lewis, the No. 1 pick in the 2017 draft, has never been short on talent. He's just had trouble staying healthy. When he is on the field, he's a difference-making player, and we saw it in Game 1.

No longer do the Twins have to hear about their record 18-game postseason losing streak. Tuesday's Game 1 win was Minnesota's first postseason win since Game 1 of the 2004 ALDS. The 18-game postseason losing streak was not only the longest in baseball history, it was the longest in the history of the four major North American sports league. It's over now, and the Twins will look to begin a new streak -- a winning streak -- in Game 2 on Wednesday.

3. Gausman was missing a key pitch

When it's on, Kevin Gausman's splitter is one of the most lethal pitches in the game. Hitters missed with 43% of their swings against it during the regular season, an astronomical rate, and when they did put it in play, the average exit velocity was 84 mph. It's difficult to hit, and when you do hit it, you don't hit it hard. In Game 1, the Twins did an excellent job laying off the split. Look at their results against the pitch:

The Twins didn't chase Kevin Gausman's splitter much in Game 1. Baseball Savant

That's a lot of takes on splitters below the zone, the ones that are supposed to get whiffs. During the regular season Gausman's splitter had close to a 50% swing rate. In Game 1, it was only 32%. Minnesota did well laying off the pitch and it forced Gausman into some bad counts, including on the second Lewis homer. He allowed three runs in only four innings.

4. Corbin Burnes got burned

On paper, the Brewers had a massive pitching advantage in Game 1: Corbin Burnes vs. Brandon Pfaadt. The D-backs could not get their rotation lined up for the Wild Card Series because they needed Zac Gallen and Merrill Kelly to start last week just to get to the postseason, so Pfaadt got the ball in Game 1. Milwaukee took advantage with three early runs and a 3-0 lead. 

The Diamondbacks stormed back, however. Corbin Carroll (two-run) and Ketel Marte (solo) hit back-to-back home runs in the third, then Gabriel Moreno hit a solo homer in the fourth to give Arizona a 4-3 lead.

Burnes allowed four runs in four innings plus two batters in Game 1. It was the third time in 2023 he allowed at least three homers in a game. He did it zero times in 2020, 2021, and 2022. I am certain the D-backs would have signed up for a 4-3 lead in the fifth inning prior to Game 1. That's probably the best case scenario for a Burnes vs. Pfaadt matchup.

5. The Brewers blew so many chances

Because of Pfaadt's short start -- three runs in 2 2/3 innings -- the D-backs and manager Torey Lovullo had to dip deep into their bullpen in Game 1. Six relievers combined for 6 1/3 shutout innings, but they certainly weren't clean innings. The Brewers had plenty of traffic. Look at these blown opportunities by Milwaukee:

  • 1st inning: First and second, one out, no runs.
  • 3rd inning: Bases loaded, two outs, no runs.
  • 5th inning: Bases loaded, no outs, no runs.
  • 6th inning: Would have runners at first and second with no outs, but Christian Yelich overran second base.

Evan Longoria saved the D-backs with a brilliant lunging play in that fifth inning, turning a would-be double into the corner into an inning-ending line drive double play. He also prevented a double down the line in the seventh inning, holding the hitter to an infield single and keeping the double play in order. The next batter went 6-4-3. This is vintage Longoria:

The Brewers had 12 hits and four walks (and a hit batter) in nine innings, and they did go 3 for 10 with runners in scoring position, but it wasn't enough. Only two of those 12 hits went for extra bases and it's hard to win with singles. Milwaukee ranked 25th in home runs during the regular season and the inability to hit the ball out of the park was evident in Game 1.

Not only do the D-backs have a 1-0 lead in a best-of-three series, but they have Gallen and Kelly lined up for Games 2 and 3. The Brewers, on the other hand, can't give the ball to Brandon Woodruff in Game 2. He's out with a shoulder issue, so it'll be Wade Miley or Freddy Peralta. Good pitchers, both of them, but Arizona has to feel pretty good handing a 1-0 series lead over to Gallen on Wednesday.

6. The Phillies' lineup looks deep

How's this for symmetry: the Phillies notched 10 hits on the night in their win over the Marlins, with everyone contributing at least one. (Trea Turner, ever the overachiever, picked up the slack by recording two.) Alec Bohm, Bryson Stott, Cristian Pache, and Nick Castellanos each drove in runs, with Bohm's third-inning double opening scoring and Castellanos' eighth-inning double closing it.

Amusingly, Bryce Harper was the last Phillie to enter the hit column. If his postseason history is any indication -- heck, if his regular season is any indication -- he could be in for another big month. Harper batted .349/.414/.746 with six home runs and 13 RBI in 17 games last October.

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Here are Tuesday's results:

- Rangers 4, Rays 0 (box score)
- Twins 3, Blue Jays 1 (box score)
- D-Backs 6, Brewers 3 (box score)
- Phillies 4, Marlins 1 (box score)

The four winners lead the Wild Card Series 1-0. These are best-of-three series, so we have four potential clinchers Wednesday.

 

Twins win

Twins 3, Blue Jays 1. Minnesota now one win from the ALDS, and the 18-game postseason losing streak is over. 

 

Two-out walk by Duran will bring the potential tying run to the plate in the ninth. Twins 3, Jays 1. 

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Somewhat easy first for Brewers ace

Corbin Burnes, the 2021 NL Cy Young winner, got three up, three down. Two weak grounders and then a mildly harder grounder. If there was any issue at all, maybe the Brewers would rather the pitch count have been lower? He's at 18. Remember, co-ace Brandon Woodruff is hurt and it's possible Brewers manager Craig Counsell would rather Burnes go really deep in to this one so he can be more aggressive in Game 2 (and maybe Game 3) with the bullpen.

 

Diamondbacks-Brewers underway

It's on ESPN2 if there's anyone here searching for it.

 

ribs are a good ballgame food if you're at home

 

Twins are three outs away ... 

From ending their 18-game postseason losing streak. They're up 3-1 over the Blue Jays going into the bottom of the eighth.

 

Going into the eighth in Minny

The Twins are still up 3-1 over the Blue Jays and have an 87.6% chance of winning Game 1. 

 

Our friends at CBS News noted that "Shark Tale" was the No. 1 movie the last time the Twins won a playoff game. For that and other pop-culture-related tidbits related to The Streak: https://www.cbsnews.com/minnesota/news/the-last-time-the-twins-won-a-playoff-game/

 

RE: The Twins losing streak

I've pointed it out elsewhere, but it's fun. The last time the Twins won a playoff game, Johan Santana was the winning pitcher with Mike Mussina taking the loss. Joe Nathan got the save. The Yankees lineup had Derek Jeter, A-Rod, Matsui, etc. The Twins had a rookie catcher named Joe Mauer on the bench backing up Henry Blanco.

 

Twins up 3-1

The Twins are six outs away from their first postseason win since Game 1 of the 2004 ALDS.

 

there's the losing streak graphic again

 

Here's the Taylor catch. I thought this ball was gonna bang off the high wall

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I thought that was the big one. Chapman gave it a ride to center and Michael A. Taylor made a leaping catch at the wall to save at least one run, likely two.

 

Blue Jays on the board

Kevin Kiermaier now has more RBI than the entire Rays team this postseason. It's 3-1 Twins and Toronto has two on with two outs in the sixth. In comes Big 10 champ Louie Varland to replace Pablo López.

 

Lewis is a great story

For those unaware, Lewis was the No. 1 pick in the 2017 draft. He then tore the ACL in his right knee twice within 18 months. He's continued to deal with injury problems this season, but he's really hit when he's been healthy. 

 

Correa looking good

Good to see this out of Carlos Correa given his serious plantar fasciitis problems: 

 

Gausman has found his splitter

Struck out three batters that inning. The Twins were laying off the split earlier in the game and putting themselves in good counts. Looks like Gausman has made the adjustment. His split is lethal when it's working.

 

Bichette thrown out at home

Jorge Polanco whiffed on a weak grounder, but Correa picked it up and threw home for the bang-bang play. I like the aggressiveness by Bichette, trying to score from second. Just a great, great play by Correa. Still 3-0 Twinkies.

 

Rangers take Game 1-0

Final score: 4-0. Aroldis Chapman and José Leclerc closed it out after Montgomery. One more win sends the Rangers to Baltimore for the ALDS. One more loss sends the Rays home for the winter.

 

Royce Lewis puts Twins up 3-0 with another HR

Lewis got the scoring started in the first inning with a two-run shot off Blue Jays starter Kevin Gausman. Next time Lewis came to the plate, he hit a solo shot. The first-inning homer was a line drive down the left-field line. The third-inning shot was a lofted fly ball to right-center. 

Lewis has now had two career playoff at-bats and has homered in both of them. This coming off a regular season with four grand slams. He seems to have an extra gear in big spots, huh? 

Believe it or not, this was just the second multi-homer game for a Twins player in a postseason game. The other was Gary Gaetti, when he went deep twice in Game 1 of the 1987 ALCS. This is the 169th time overall that a player hit at least two homers in a playoff game. The last two-homer postseason game overall came in Game 1 of the World Series last season, when Kyle Tucker of the Astros did it. Lewis is also the first player to hit multiple home runs in his first career playoff game since the Rays' Evan Longoria in 2008.

Lewis will, of course, have at least two more chances to hit a third homer. There have only been 12 three-homer postseason games by a player. The most recent was Chris Taylor, who did it in Game 5 of the 2021 NLCS. 

 

Monty wore out the outside corner

The Rangers have invested a lot -- A LOT -- into their pitching the last two years and yet they come into the postseason without Jacob deGrom (Tommy John surgery), Max Scherzer (teres major strain), and Jon Gray (forearm). Also, Nathan Eovaldi has been limited since coming back from his elbow injury last month. He's yet to go more than five innings.

Because of all that, trade deadline pickup Jordan Montgomery started Game 1 of the Wild Card Series, and the free agent-to-be left-hander was terrific. He held a strong Rays offense -- Tampa was fourth in runs scored this season -- to five singles and one double in seven shutout innings. Montgomery struck out five and held the Rays to microscopic 78.2 mph average exit velocity.

The Rays had eight righties and one switch-hitter in their starting lineup Tuesday, which allowed Montgomery to settle into a groove and really pepper the outside corner with sinkers, changeups, and curveballs. Home plate umpire Carlos Torres was giving a good 1-2 inches off the plate and Montgomery and catcher Jonah Heim took full advantage. 

Look at all these called strikes off the plate:

Jordan Montgomery wore out the outside corner in Game 1. Baseball Savant

Montgomery pitching deep into the game is not to go overlooked. The Rangers have a shaky bullpen and Montgomery giving them seven innings accomplished two things. One, it limited how much the bullpen was needed, and two, it kept the bullpen as fresh as possible for Game 2. As noted, Eovaldi is still not all the way back following his elbow injury. Montgomery was fantastic.

 

Rangers go to the bullpen

Aroldis Chapman is on the mound now. To say he can be wild would be an understatement.

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Agreed entirely on the Twins jerseys

 

Gosh I love these Twins unis. Replace the M on the cap with the TC logo and we're golden.

 

Royce Lewis goes deep for Twins in first inning

The Twins carried the weight of 0-18 into the game. That would be 18 straight playoff losses. They've heard plenty about it. Some of the players discussed it before the game with the broadcast, such as starting pitcher Pablo López saying he wore a Johan Santana jersey to the game (Santana was the winning pitcher the last time the Twins won a playoff game, which was 2004). Others said they guaranteed the streak would end. 

Former No. 1 overall draft pick Royce Lewis got the Twins off to a good start in the first inning. He unloaded on a Kevin Gausman pitch for a two-run shot. 

For the trivia buffs out there, that was the first home run of the 2023 playoffs.

Lewis, 24, has dealt with a litany of injuries in his professional career, but when he's been able to play, he's shown high upside and a knack for the big hit. In just 70 career regular-season games, he has hit .307/.364/.548 with 15 homers and 52 RBI. Of those 15 home runs, five have been grand slams. 

This one was simply a two-run shot, but it could loom large in the Twins' quest to end the dubious streak. 

 

Montgomery has been terrific

He's through six scoreless innings on only 75 pitches. He had some help from his defense early, but he's now retired 14 of the last 16 batters he's faced. The Rangers' bullpen is shaky. Montgomery's in great shape to go deep and limit how much we see that bullpen.

 

Twins take early 2-0 lead

Royce Lewis, back from the IL, launches a two-run home run in the bottom of the first.

 

López pitches around the error for Twins

No hits and no runs for the Blue Jays in the first.

 

Here's the Siri play. Only way to describe this is careless:

 

First play error for Twins

Not a great start with the 0-18 hanging over their heads.

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