Kyle Busch is first among active drivers and fifth all-time with eight NASCAR Cup Series victories at Bristol Motor Speedway, all of which came on a concrete surface. The two-time series champion posted his first win at the track on dirt last year and looks to repeat the feat when he competes in the 2023 Food City Dirt Race on Sunday. Busch recorded his 61st career series victory earlier this season at Fontana, snapping a tie with Kevin Harvick for ninth place on the all-time list.
Busch is listed at +1000, while Kyle Larson is the +450 favorite in the latest 2023 Food City Dirt Race odds from Caesars Sportsbook. Tyler Reddick and Christopher Bell are +600, while Chase Briscoe rounds out the top five 2023 Food City Dirt Race contenders at +900. The Food City Dirt Race 2023 is scheduled to begin at 7 p.m. ET. You'll want to check out the NASCAR at Bristol predictions from Micah Roberts, the legendary Vegas bookmaker who pioneered wagering on racing, before locking in any 2023 Food City Dirt Race picks.
Roberts was the first to offer expanded NASCAR betting and now hands out NASCAR winners to his followers on SportsLine. Roberts is the nation's premier NASCAR betting expert, and his top pick, Reddick, won the EchoPark Automotive Grand Prix two weeks ago at +1000 odds.
He also correctly predicted Chase Elliott to win the YellaWood 500 at +1200 last October and the Jockey Made in America 250 in 2021, nailed the 2021 Coca-Cola 600 winner by hitting Larson's victory at +550 odds and was on point by targeting Elliott as the winner of the EchoPark Texas Grand Prix at +160 odds the previous week. Anyone who has followed his picks has cashed ticket after ticket.
Now, Roberts has analyzed the field and odds for Sunday's NASCAR at Bristol 2023 race. He's sharing his winner and projected 2023 Toyota Owners 400 leaderboard right here.
2023 NASCAR at Bristol expert predictions
One shocker: Roberts is fading Larson, even though he is the favorite at +450. In fact, Roberts says Larson, who finished fourth in this race last year and is coming off his first victory of the season, barely even cracks the top 10.
"For fun, he likes to go racing on dirt. And he wins on a bunch of those dirt tracks," Roberts told SportsLine. "But stuff happens crazier and quicker on dirt. ... I think he's overpriced." See who else to fade here.
Another curveball: Roberts is high on Martin Truex Jr., who is listed at +2000 in the latest Food City Dirt Race odds. The 2017 NASCAR Cup Series champion is looking to snap a 51-race drought as his last victory came in September 2021 at Richmond. Truex failed to finish in the top 15 in the first two Cup Series dirt races at Bristol but led 105 laps and won the Truck Series dirt-track event there two years ago.
"Truex has finished 19th and 21st on the dirt at Bristol, but he was much better than those results indicate," Roberts said. "In 2021, he led 126 laps and then got a flat late in the race." See who else to back here.
How to make 2023 Food City Dirt Race picks
Roberts is high on a huge longshot who doesn't have much experience on dirt tracks but has raced on them "like he's been doing it his entire career." This driver is being underestimated by oddsmakers, and anyone who backs him could hit it big. You can only see who it is here.
So who wins the 2023 Food City Dirt Race? And which longshot stuns NASCAR? Visit SportsLine now to see the projected 2023 NASCAR at Bristol leaderboard from the nation's premier NASCAR handicapper, and find out.
2023 NASCAR at Bristol odds
See full NASCAR at Bristol picks at SportsLine
Kyle Larson +450
Christopher Bell +600
Tyler Reddick +600
Chase Briscoe +900
Kyle Busch +1000
William Byron +1200
Joey Logano +1200
Ryan Blaney +1400
Denny Hamlin +1500
Alex Bowman +2000
Ross Chastain +2000
Daniel Suarez +2000
Martin Truex Jr. +2000
Brad Keselowski +2500
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. +2500
Kevin Harvick +3000
Chris Buescher +3500
Jonathan Davenport +4500
Josh Berry +5000
Austin Dillon +5000
Ty Gibbs +5000
Bubba Wallace +5000
Ryan Preece +6000
Michael McDowell +6500
Ty Dillon +7500
Todd Gilliland +7500
Justin Haley +7500
A.J. Allmendinger +10000
Austin Cindric +15000
Erik Jones +15000
Aric Almirola +20000
Noah Gragson +25000
Harrison Burton +30000
Corey LaJoie +50000
J.J. Yeley +200000
BJ McLeod +500000
Cody Ware +500000
