Through the first four weeks of the 2022 NFL schedule, there are 15 teams that have 2-2 records. There's so much parity in the NFL that a .500 record is good enough for a share of first place in four of the league's eight divisions. Whether you're making NFL confidence pool picks or NFL office pool picks, the number of NFL upsets has required major adjustments. The Bills are 14-point favorites over the Steelers in the Week 5 NFL odds from Caesars Sportsbook and could be a popular play in Week 5 NFL pool picks. Before you make your Week 5 NFL pick'em predictions, you need to see the Week 5 NFL football pool picks from SportsLine's proven model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 5 of the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 139-103 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

More importantly for NFL confidence pool players, the model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has simulated the entire Week 5 NFL schedule 10,000 times and generated its optimal NFL pick'em plays. Go to SportsLine to see them now.

Top Week 5 NFL office pool predictions

One of the top Week 5 NFL predictions from the model: The Miami Dolphins win by nearly a touchdown against the New York Jets. Tua Tagovailoa's absence (concussion) is a major concern for the Dolphins, but having one of the more experienced backup quarterbacks in the NFL is a major plus.

The Jets rank 25th in scoring defense and Jaylen Waddle and Tyreek Hill figure to be a tough matchup for a Jets defense that has already allowed multiple 50-plus-yard touchdowns this season. Meanwhile, the Jets have already turned the ball over nine times and the model is predicting Miami forces two more turnovers in Week 5. That's why the model predicts that the Dolphins win outright in well over 60 percent of simulations. See the rest of the model's Week 5 NFL pool picks here.

How to make Week 5 NFL office pool picks

The model also made the call on every other Week 5 NFL game and has strong picks for potentially close matchups like Browns vs. Chargers and Patriots vs. Lions. It's also calling for several big favorites to struggle more than expected and several shocking teams to hang tough. You can only see all of the model's NFL pool picks here.

So who should you pick in every Week 5 NFL game? And which underdogs should you back? Visit SportsLine now to get optimal NFL office pool picks, all from the advanced computer model that has ranked in the top 10 on straight-up picks four of the last six years and went an outstanding 139-103 on top-ranked picks against the spread since 2017.