One team will advance to the first round of the Big Dance, and one team's season will come to an end when the Arizona State Sun Devils and Nevada Wolf Pack collide in a 2023 First Four matchup on Wednesday at the University of Dayton Arena in Dayton, Ohio. Arizona State (22-9) is making its 17th appearance in the NCAA Tournament. The Sun Devils are 14-17 all-time in the event. Meanwhile Nevada (22-10) will be participating in the tournament for the 10th time. The Wolf Pack are 6-9 all-time, with two Sweet 16 appearances (2004 and '18).

Tipoff is scheduled for 9:10 p.m. ET. The Sun Devils are favored by 2 points in the latest Arizona State vs. Nevada odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 135.5. Before making any Nevada vs. Arizona State picks, be sure to see the college basketball predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven model

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. The model enters the 2023 NCAA Tournament 79-53 on all-top rated college basketball picks this season, returning nearly $1,300 for $100 players. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Arizona State vs. Nevada in the First Four 2023. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college basketball odds and trends for Nevada vs. Arizona State:

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  • Arizona State vs. Nevada spread: Sun Devils -2
  • Arizona State vs. Nevada over/under: 135.5 points
  • Arizona State vs. Nevada money line: Sun Devils -140, Wolf Pack +118
  • ASU: The Sun Devils rank 15th in the nation in field goal percentage defense (39.8).
  • NEV: The Wolf Pack rank fourth in the country in free throw percentage (79.1).
  • Arizona State vs. Nevada picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why Arizona State can cover 

One of the reasons for the team's success is its ability to force turnovers. Arizona State has had 26 consecutive conference games forcing double-digit turnovers, the most in the Pac-12. The Sun Devils are one of three teams among Power 5, Big East and Mountain West Conference schools to have forced double-digit turnovers in each game against a conference foe.

That pressure keys the team's success on the defensive end. Arizona State has held opponents to 40% shooting from the field or worse in 18 games this season. The Sun Devils are 10-0 when opponents shoot under 36% and 9-0 when giving up fewer than 60 points.

Why Nevada can cover

Nevada is one of the best free throw shooting teams in Div. I. The Wolf Pack shoot 79.1% from the line, which ranks fourth in the country. They also make 17.2 free throws per game, which is ninth. That bodes well against an Arizona State team that commits 18.5 fouls per game, which ranks 294th in the nation.

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In addition, Nevada faces a Sun Devils team that doesn't shoot the ball particularly well. Arizona State shoots just 41.3% from the field, which is 317th in the country. The team also makes just 31.4% of its 3-point attempts, which is 312nd in Div. I.

How to make Nevada vs. Arizona State picks

The model is leaning Over on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 139 points. It also says one side of the spread hits well over 60% of the time. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Arizona State vs. Nevada? And which side of the spread hits well over 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has crushed its college basketball picks.

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