USATSI

A Sun Belt showdown is set to take place on Thursday night when the Troy Trojans (6-2) host the South Alabama Jaguars (4-4). Heading into this matchup, South Alabama ranks fourth in the conference in scoring (33.5), while Troy sits ninth in points (27.1). Troy is 5-0 in its last five games against South Alabama and the Trojans are 10-1 in their last 11 games at home. 

Kickoff from Larry Blakeney Field at Veterans Memorial Stadium in Troy, Ala., is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. The Trojans are 5.5-point favorites in the latest South Alabama vs. Troy odds, while the over/under for total points is 45. Before locking in any Troy vs. South Alabama picks, be sure to check out the college football predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a stunning profit of well over $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Troy vs. South Alabama and just revealed its picks and predictions. You can visit SportsLine to see the model's CFB picks. Here are several college football odds and trends for South Alabama vs. Troy:

  • South Alabama vs. Troy spread: Troy -5.5
  • South Alabama vs. Troy over/under: 45 points
  • South Alabama vs. Troy money line: Trojans -219, Jaguars +178
  • USA: South Alabama is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games
  • TROY: Troy is 4-1 ATS in its last five games
  • South Alabama vs. Troy picks: See picks at SportsLine
  • South Alabama vs. Troy live stream: fubo (try for free)

Why Troy can cover

Troy's defense continues to be stout and aware. Currently, the Trojans rank first in the conference in both points allowed (16.9) and total defense (301). Senior linebacker Richard Jibunor has great bend and explosiveness off the snap. The Nigeria native leads the team in sacks (4.5) with 27 total tackles. In his last contest, Jibunor finished with three tackles and one sack. 

Senior cornerback Reddy Steward is a feisty defender with great range. Steward isn't afraid to tackle and has a knack for taking the ball away. The Alabama native has 27 total tackles with a team-high three interceptions and four pass deflections. In the win over Texas State, Steward finished with four tackles and one interception. See which team to pick here.

Why South Alabama can cover

South Alabama's passing attack is very effective. The Jaguars are third in the conference in passing yards per game (285.5) with senior quarterback Carter Bradley leading the way. Bradley likes to push the ball downfield to create explosive plays. The Florida native is fifth in the Sun Belt in passing yards (2,156) with 13 passing touchdowns. He's supplied more than 300 passing yards in three straight games.

Last week, Bradley went 29 of 49 with 381 yards and two passing touchdowns. Junior receiver Caullin Lacy ranks first in the Sun Belt in receiving yards (957) and receiving yards per game (119.6) and has six touchdowns. Lacy reeled in seven passes for 131 yards and 18.7 yards per catch in his last contest. See which team to pick here.

How to make South Alabama vs. Troy picks

SportsLine's model is leaning Under on the point total, projecting the teams to combine for 41 points. The model also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only see the model's pick at SportsLine

So who wins Troy vs. South Alabama, and which side of the spread is the better value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has notched a profit of well over $2,000 on its top-rated college football spread picks, and find out.