Kevin Harvick has gone 46 NASCAR Cup Series starts without a victory since posting his career-best ninth of the 2020 season at Bristol. If there's a venue at which the 2014 series champion can end the lengthy drought, it's Phoenix Raceway, where he's captured nine checkered flags, his highest total at any track. Harvick will hope to reach double-figures when he gets behind the wheel for the 2022 Ruoff Mortgage 500 on Sunday. The NASCAR Phoenix 2022 green flag drops at 3:30 p.m. ET.

Reigning Cup Series champion Kyle Larson is the 9-2 favorite in the latest 2022 Ruoff Mortgage 500 odds from Caesars Sportsbook. Martin Truex Jr. is 6-1, Denny Hamlin is 13-2, Chase Elliott is 7-1 and Kyle Busch rounds out the top five 2022 NASCAR at Phoenix contenders at 15-2. You'll want to check out the 2022 NASCAR in Phoenix predictions from Micah Roberts, the legendary Vegas bookmaker who pioneered wagering on racing, before locking in any 2022 Ruoff Mortgage 500 picks.

Roberts, a former Vegas bookmaker, was the first to offer expanded NASCAR betting, and now hands out NASCAR winners to his followers on SportsLine. Roberts is the nation's premier NASCAR betting expert, and his top pick, Elliott, won the Jockey Made in America 250 last season.

He also correctly predicted the 2021 Coca-Cola 600 winner, hitting Larson's victory at 11-2 odds. The previous week, he was on point at the EchoPark Texas Grand Prix, targeting Elliott as the winner at 8-5 odds. Anyone who has followed his picks is up huge year after year.

Now, Roberts has analyzed the field and odds for Sunday's NASCAR at Phoenix 2022 race. He's sharing his winner and projected Phoenix NASCAR leaderboard right here.

2022 Ruoff Mortgage 500 expert picks

One shocker: Roberts is low on Chase Elliott, even though he's among the top 2022 Ruoff Mortgage 500 contenders. In fact, Roberts says Elliott, who has won just one of his 12 Cup Series starts at Phoenix, doesn't even crack the top 15.

"If it were the old car, Elliott would have to be in any betting equation at Phoenix," Roberts told SportsLine, "but the new car has me skeptical of him."

Another curveball: Roberts is high on Aric Almirola, even though he's a 25-1 long shot in the latest NASCAR at Phoenix odds. The 37-year-old Floridian, who announced in January that this will be his final season as a full-time driver, has finished sixth or better in his first three starts of 2022. Almirola's best performance in the NASCAR Phoenix race was fourth in 2019. In addition, he's recorded one other top-five at Phoenix in the Cup Series and two in the Truck Series.

"This always has been a great track for him," Roberts told SportsLine. "He's in his final year of Cup Series racing, and he's getting after it at the start of a season better than I've ever seen."

How to make 2022 Ruoff Mortgage 500 predictions

Roberts is high on a long shot who "has something cooking with the new car." This driver is being underestimated by oddsmakers, and anyone who backs him could hit it big. You can only see who it is here.

So who wins NASCAR in Phoenix 2022? And which long shot stuns NASCAR? Visit SportsLine now to see the 2022 NASCAR at Phoenix leaderboard from the nation's premier NASCAR handicapper, and find out.

2022 Ruoff Mortgage 500 odds, lineup

Kyle Larson 9-2
Martin Truex Jr. 6-1
Denny Hamlin 13-2
Chase Elliott 7-1
Kyle Busch 15-2
Joey Logano 8-1
Ryan Blaney 10-1
William Byron 15-1
Alex Bowman 17-1
Kevin Harvick 17-1
Christopher Bell 18-1
Aric Almirola 25-1
Brad Keselowski 25-1
Tyler Reddick 25-1
Kurt Busch 40-1
Austin Cindric 40-1
Ross Chastain 50-1
Austin Dillon 60-1
Erik Jones 60-1
Bubba Wallace 75-1
Chase Briscoe 100-1
Cole Custer 100-1
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 100-1
Daniel Suarez 100-1
Justin Haley 150-1
A.J. Allmendinger 200-1
Chris Buescher 200-1
Harrison Burton 300-1
Ty Dillon 400-1
Todd Gilliland 850-1
Corey LaJoie 850-1
Michael McDowell 850-1
Josh Bilicki 1000-1
BJ McLeod 1000-1
Garrett Smithley 1000-1
Cody Ware 1000-1