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Chelsea is riding the momentum of a huge league victory when it hosts Southampton on Tuesday in an English League Cup Round of 16 matchup at Stamford Bridge. The Blues crushed bottom-dweller Norwich City 7-0 on Saturday behind a hat trick from Mason Mount. Chelsea beat Southampton 3-1 in league play on Oct. 2. The Saints haven't lost since that setback to the Blues, beating Leeds and drawing with Burnley. Both teams advanced by winning on penalties in the last round, with Chelsea playing to a 1-1 draw with Aston Villa and Southampton and Sheffield United ending 2-2 after 90 minutes.  

Kickoff is set for 2:45 p.m ET. Caesars Sportsbook lists Chelsea as the -225 favorite (risk $225 to win $100) on the 90-minute money line in its latest Chelsea vs. Southampton odds, with Southampton the +700 underdog. A draw is priced at +340 and the over-under for total goals scored is set at 2.5. Before you make any Southampton vs. Chelsea picks, you need to see what proven soccer insider Martin Green has to say

After working in the sports betting industry for several years, Green became a professional sports writer and handicapper and has covered the game worldwide. Since then, his European soccer picks have been stunningly accurate. Green has generated more than $36,000 for $100 bettors since the 2017-18 season, and he has his finger on the pulse of the game all over the globe.

Now, Green has taken a close look at Chelsea vs. Southampton, and just revealed his expert picks, predictions, and analysis. You can head to SportsLine now to see Green's EFL Cup picks. Here are the betting lines and trends for Southampton vs. Chelsea:  

  • Chelsea vs. Southampton spread: Chelsea -1.5 (+120)
  • Chelsea vs. Southampton over-under: 2.5 goals
  • Chelsea vs. Southampton money line: Chelsea -225, Southampton +700, Draw +340   
  • CHE: Kai Havertz has four goals in six starts in domestic cup matches for the Blues 
  • SOU: Southampton has recorded 116 shots in Premier League play this season

Why you should back Chelsea

The Blues are the reigning European champions and lead the Premier League. They have superior depth to the Saints, and that plays a major role in this lower-priority competition for the major clubs. Callum Hudson-Odoi, who starred in Saturday's match with striker Romelu Lukaku sidelined, should get an opportunity to shine. He scored once against Norwich and vexed the Canaries defense all day. Ruben Loftus-Cheek came on as a sub and had an assist and two shots on net as the Blues outshot Norwich 23-3 and had a 13-1 advantage in shots on target.     

Chelsea has lost to the Saints once in the past 13 meetings (9-3-1) in all competitions. Ben Chilwell and Trevoh Chalabah scored in the 3-1 win against Southampton a few weeks ago. Reece James and Chilwell also scored Saturday and played key roles in the last League Cup match. The Blues are likely to continue their stellar defense, and they have three straight clean sheets and have allowed just six goals in 14 games across all competitions.     

Why you should back Southampton

The League Cup often produces unlikely results, with the top teams resting key players, and the Saints hope that gives them an advantage on Tuesday. Both league games with Chelsea last season ended in draws, including 3-3 at Stamford Bridge. Southampton also has held Manchester City to a 0-0 draw and played to a 1-1 stalemate with Manchester United in league play this season. 

Chelsea academy graduate Armando Broja, with four goals in all competitions, has been the star of the team. Tino Livramento also graduated from Chelsea's academy, and he and Broja both netted goals in the Saints' 2-2 draw with Burnley on Saturday. The Saints held 62 percent possession and a 16-9 edge in shots in that match. They are 2-6-3 in all competitions this season, with the losses a 3-1 setback to Everton in the opener and a 1-0 loss to Wolves a week before falling to Chelsea. They have yielded more than one goal in just two other games, with both ending draws. 

How to make Southampton vs. Chelsea picks

Green has examined the likely lineups and looked closely at the Chelsea vs. Southampton match from all sides. He is leaning over on the goal total and has three confident best bets and complete analysis of this EFL Cup match. He's only sharing those EFL Cup picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Chelsea vs. Southampton? And where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to see the best bets for Southampton vs. Chelsea, all from the European soccer expert who has generated more than $36,000 for $100 bettors over the past four seasons, and find out.