The Ohio Bobcats and Toledo Rockets meet up in the 2022 MAC Championship Game on Saturday. The Rockets (7-5, 5-3 Mid-American) are making their seventh appearance, but first since they won the MAC title game for the third time back in 2017. The Bobcats (9-3, 7-1) haven't been since 2016, and they will be making their fifth appearance but have never won the conference title game. The teams met most recently last November, a game Toledo won 35-23 to improve their mark in the all-time series to 27-7-1. The Bobcats come in on a seven-game win streak, while the Rockets have lost two in a row. Both teams have been hit with injuries at quarterback, with Ohio star Kurtis Rourke lost for the season. Toledo's Dequan Finn has an ankle injury and Tucker Gleason has a broken hand, but both have played with the injuries, to varying degrees of success.
Kickoff is set for noon ET. The Rockets are favored by 3 points in Caesars Sportsbook's latest Toledo vs. Ohio odds, and the over/under for total points is set at 54.5. Before making any Ohio vs. Toledo picks or MAC Championship Game 2022 predictions, you need to see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.
The model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past six-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $2,500 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Ohio vs. Toledo and locked in its picks and predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are the CFB odds and betting trends for Toledo vs. Ohio:
- Toledo vs. Ohio spread: Rockets -3
- Toledo vs. Ohio over/under: 54.5 points
- Toledo vs. Ohio money line: Rockets -160, Bobcats +135
- TOL: They are averaging 26 points over their past five games (2-3).
- OH: They are allowing 19 points per game over their past five (5-0).
- Toledo vs. Ohio picks: See pick at SportsLine
Why Toledo can cover
Toledo is one of the MAC's best teams on both sides of the ball. It has the top defense, a unit that allows 338 yards per game and 4.8 per play, while Ohio allows 441 yards and 6.3 per play. The Rockets also average 407 yards offensively and score 33 points per game to Ohio's 34. Four defenders were named to the 2022 All-MAC first team, including linebacker Dallas Gant (102 tackles), tackle Desjuan Johnson (5.5 sacks) and Quinyon Mitchell (five interceptions). Linebackers Jamal Hines (6.5 sacks) and Dyontae Johnson (three) also have a big impact.
Toledo was the last favorite to win the MAC Championship, in 2017. The Rockets have a balanced offense that is in the top five in the conference in rushing and passing. Finn is dynamic when he is healthy and has 1,973 passing yards and 522 rushing while accounting for 29 touchdowns. Running back Jacquez Stuart has rushed for 566 yards (5.5 per carry). Jerjuan Newton has 711 receiving yards (16.9 per catch) and nine TDs, and he should find success against the nation's worst pass defense. Ohio allows 305 passing yards per game (131st in FBS).
Why Ohio can cover
Ohio's success has been driven by excellent offense and forcing turnovers. The Bobcats boast the sixth-best turnover margin in the nation at plus-13, while the Rockets are minus-8. Torrie Cox Jr. has two interceptions and a fumble recovery, and Bryce Houston and Jack McCrory have two recoveries apiece while combining for 9.5 sacks. The defense has allowed 305 yards per game over its past four, far below its 441 average. The offense has been the calling card, as it averages 438 yards (6.4 per play) and 34 points per game, with both marks best in the MAC.
The Bobcats have covered the spread in eight straight games, and they are 5-2 ATS as an underdog this season. Losing Rourke, the MAC Offensive Player of the Year, is obviously a major blow, but CJ Harris shined in a 38-14 victory against Bowling Green their last time out. Harris accounted for 261 yards and four TDs, and while he is better as a runner, he has some excellent weapons around him. All-MAC receiver Sam Wiglusz has 66 catches for 811 yards and nine TDs. Running back Sieh Bangura has rushed for 884 yards and 11 TDs in 10 games.
How to make Ohio vs. Toledo picks
SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the total, projecting 63 combined points. It also says one side of the spread hits more than 50% of the time. You can only get the model's picks at SportsLine.
So who wins Toledo vs. Ohio? And which side of the spread hits more than 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to back, all from the advanced model that has crushed its college football picks, and find out.
