The ACC takes center stage in the college football world on Friday evening when Miami visits NC State. The Hurricanes bring a 5-1 record to Raleigh for this clash, with Miami winning its last two contests. NC State will look to bounce back from a loss to in-state rival North Carolina, and the Wolfpack are 2-0 at home this season.
Kick-off is at 7:30 p.m. ET. William Hill lists Miami as a 10-point road favorite, up from the opener, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 58.5 in the latest Miami vs. NC State odds. Before making any NC State vs. Miami picks, check out the college football predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past four-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of over $4,100 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It is a sizzling 31-19 on top-rated picks through nine weeks of the 2020 college football season, returning over $600 in profit already. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Miami vs. North Carolina State. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the college football odds from William Hill and trends for North Carolina State vs. Miami:
- Miami vs. NC State spread: Miami -10
- Miami vs. NC State over-under: 58.5 points
- Miami vs. NC State money line: Miami -370, NC State +305
- Miami: The Hurricanes are 4-1 against the spread as a favorite this season
- NC State: The Wolfpack are 4-2 against the spread in 202
Why Miami can cover
The Hurricanes are producing at an above-average level offensively in a number of categories this season. Miami is averaging 32.8 points per game, ranking near the top of the conference, and the Hurricanes are a top-five team in the ACC on third down, converting on 43 percent of their opportunities. This matchup could also be particularly favorable, with NC State ranking as a bottom-five team in the ACC in total defense (447.5 yards allowed per game) and passing defense (265.5 yards allowed per game).
The Wolfpack also haven't been able to keep opponents out of the end zone, ranking third-worst in the conference in giving up 34.2 points per contest. Given that Miami also brings a top-flight defense to the table, things could shift in the direction of the Hurricanes. NC State ranks near the bottom of the ACC in both total offense and rushing offense this season, with the Wolfpack missing quarterback Devin Leary and throwing eight interceptions in just six games in 2020.
Why NC State can cover
The Wolfpack have a few standout performers, headlined by sophomore linebacker Payton Wilson. Wilson ranks sixth in the ACC with 53 tackles, despite appearing in only six games compared to seven for many competitors, and he also produces in other ways. Wilson has 1.5 sacks and two interceptions, making an impact for the Wolfpack in 2020. NC State is also adept at creating havoc up front, with 19 sacks in six games, and the Wolfpack could make life difficult on D'Eriq King and the Miami offense.
When NC State has the ball, sophomore running back Zonovan Knight will be a huge factor, with Knight producing more than 500 total yards already in 2020. He is averaging a robust 5.9 yards per carry and, with the help of Emeka Emezie and Devin Carter on the outside, NC State is capable of big plays. In fact, the Wolfpack already have 20 players of at least 30 yards in just six games, averaging 3.3 big plays per game. That mark places them near the top of the heap nationally, and NC State will need a few big gains to make a mark on Miami's potent defense.
How to make Miami vs. NC State picks
SportsLine's model is leaning over on the total, as the teams combine for 60 points in the simulations. The model also says one side of the spread hits in almost 60 percent of simulations. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins NC State vs. Miami? And which side of the spread cashes in almost 60 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Miami vs. NC State spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up over $4,100 on its top-rated college football picks over the past four-plus seasons, and find out.
