2019 NASCAR at Indianapolis picks, predictions, odds: Fade Martin Truex Jr., back Brad Keselowski in Big Machine Vodka 400 at the Brickyard

For the second year in a row, Indianapolis Motor Speedway will be home to the final race of the NASCAR regular season. Fourteen of the NASCAR Playoffs spots are accounted for due to regular-season wins or a large-enough points cushion, leaving only two remaining spots up for grabs. One could go to a first-time race-winner, with four others vying for the final points-based qualifiers. The 2019 Big Machine Vodka 400 at the Brickyard starts at 2 p.m. ET on the historic 2.5-mile track. Six drivers racing Sunday have tasted victory on the track, including Kyle Busch, a two-time winner at Indianapolis and the NASCAR points leader. He is the strong 3-1 favorite in the latest NASCAR at Indianapolis odds. Five other drivers are at 8-1 or lower, including former Brickyard winner Kevin Harvick (6-1), Denny Hamlin (6-1), Martin Truex Jr. (8-1) and last week's winner at Darlington, Erik Jones (8-1). With so many contenders on the board, and so many others driving for their playoff lives, you'll want to see the latest NASCAR picks and predictions from handicapper Micah Roberts, the legendary Vegas bookmaker who pioneered wagering on racing, before laying any Big Machine Vodka 400 picks of your own.

Those who have wagered $100 on Roberts' winning pick for each NASCAR race in 2019 is up $2,000. In fact, those who put down $50 on Roberts' top-four leaderboard picks are up a whopping $2,450 on the year, buoyed by Alex Bowman's stunning 30-1 win at Chicago. He's hit on four of the last five races, including Hamlin at 12-1 odds at Bristol and Jones at Darlington at 16-1.

Roberts started 2019 with a bang, picking 25-1 long shot Jimmie Johnson to win the Advance Auto Parts Clash. At the TicketGuardian 500, Roberts nailed Busch at 4-1 odds over the favored Harvick, and at Dover he hit Truex at 8-1.

Roberts' top 20 leaderboard has been on fire, too. At the TicketGuardian 500, he called an eye-popping eight of the top 10. At the Auto Club 400, he got nine of the top 10 correct.

Roberts entered the 2019 NASCAR season after finishing big-time in the black in 2018, returning $1,750 to $100 players. His biggest wins came when he went against the grain, taking Brad Keselowski at 12-1 to win the South Point 400 at Las Vegas in the opening race of the NASCAR playoffs and going with Logano, also 12-1, to win the First Data 500 at Martinsville. Anyone who's followed Roberts' picks is up huge year after year. 

Now, Roberts has analyzed Sunday's 2019 NASCAR at Indianapolis lineup. He's sharing his winner and top-20 leaderboard over at SportsLine.

We can tell you that Roberts is fading Truex, one of the top contenders at 8-1 NASCAR at Indianapolis odds. Truex has struggled at Indy in 14 career starts. That includes taking 40th last year and 33rd in 2017. Roberts doesn't see a massive reversal of fortune on Sunday -- he has Truex finishing outside his top 10.

"Indy has been a place where he's had some awful luck resulting in a 20.9 average finish between 14 starts," Roberts told SportsLine. "His fourth-place in 2015 is his only top-five."

Roberts, however, is high on Keselowski, who is at 10-1 odds but won this race last year.

Keselowski hasn't secured a checkered flag since May 11 at Kansas, but Indy has been his track, with the win last year and a second-place finish the year before. Roberts likes Keselowski to finish above where the odds have positioned him.

"He was also runner-up at Pocono in June showing he could have a great set-up again this week with the 2019 race package," Roberts said. 

Roberts is also eying a dark horse with double-digit odds who has run well at this track and has raced strong using the car package in play. He's trending upward and Roberts says Sunday could be his day. Anyone who backs this driver could hit it big.

So who wins the 2019 Big Machine Vodka 400 at the Brickyard? And which long shot stuns NASCAR? Visit SportsLine now to see the NASCAR at Indianapolis leaderboard from the nation's premier NASCAR handicapper, and find out.

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