The final race of the Round of 12 in the NASCAR Playoffs will take place on Sunday at the Charlotte Motor Speedway road course. Thus far, only Denny Hamlin has secured one of the eight spots in the next round by way of his win two weeks ago. The 2021 Bank of America Roval 400 will be the seventh road race of the season, with the new NASCAR schedule placing an emphasis on road racing. That's good news for Chase Elliott, who is tied for seventh in the NASCAR standings and is a seven-time road course winner the last four years.
Elliott has won two of the three races at the Charlotte Roval (2019, 2020) and is listed as the 9-5 favorite in the 2021 Charlotte Roval 400 odds at Caesars Sportsbook. Like Elliott, Kyle Larson has a pair of road wins this season and could also be a factor at 4-1 in the 2021 NASCAR at Charlotte odds. The green flag drops at 2 p.m. ET. Before scouring the 2021 Charlotte Roval 400 starting lineup and making any NASCAR at Charlotte predictions, be sure to see the latest 2021 Bank of America Roval 400 picks from SportsLine's proven projection model.
Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results.
The model began the 2020 season paying out big by picking Denny Hamlin to win his second consecutive Daytona 500 at 10-1. The model also called Kevin Harvick's win at Atlanta and nailed a whopping nine top-10 finishers in that race. McClure then used the model to lock in a 10-1 bet on Hamlin for his win at Miami.
At the Brickyard, the model called Harvick's fourth victory of the season. Then during the 2020 NASCAR Playoffs, the model nailed its NASCAR picks in back-to-back races, calling Denny Hamlin to win at 17-2 at Talladega and Chase Elliott to win at 7-2 at the Charlotte Roval.
In the 2021 season, McClure nailed Martin Truex Jr. to win at Martinsville for a strong 3-1 payout. The model also nailed Kyle Larson winning the NASCAR All-Star Race at 5-2 and hit Larson again at the Ally 400 for another 5-2 payout. It also called Chase Elliott to win at Road America for a 5-2 payout and then correctly predicted the top five drivers at Watkins Glen before nailing at least seven of the top 10 three of the last five weeks. Anyone who has followed its lead on those plays has seen huge returns.
Now, the model simulated the 2021 Bank of America Roval 400 10,000 times. Head to SportsLine to see the complete NASCAR at Charlotte projected leaderboard.
Top 2021 Bank of America 400 predictions
One surprise: the model is high on Kurt Busch, even though he's a 40-1 long shot in the latest NASCAR at Charlotte odds 2021. He's a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. The 42-year-old was eliminated from the NASCAR Playoffs in the cutdown from 16 drivers to 12, but the 43-year-old is still out to prove he can compete at a high level as he prepares to join 23XI Racing next season.
Busch captured his 33rd career NASCAR Cup Series victory earlier this season in Atlanta and is running well right now after finishing in the top 10 the last two weeks. He's also run well on road courses this season, collecting four top-10 finishes in the first six road races this year. He's won on a road course previously and has two top-five finishes under his belt in three starts at the Roval.
And a massive shocker: William Byron, one of the Vegas favorites at 12-1, stumbles big-time and fails to crack the top 10. There are far better values in this loaded 2021 Bank of America Roval 400 starting lineup. Byron is in an unenviable virtual must-win situation and the Charlotte native has had a steady track record at the Roval with two top-10 finishes in three starts.
However, in one of those top-10s, he started on the pole and finished sixth after leading 23 laps. In the other, he led for 27 laps and still couldn't close the deal, finishing sixth yet again. He's also had a 34th-place finish at the Roval and finished 18th or worse in five of his last six starts.
How to make 2021 NASCAR at Charlotte picks
The model is also targeting three other drivers with 2021 NASCAR at Charlotte odds of 22-1 or longer to make a serious run at winning it all. Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it big. You can see all of the model's NASCAR picks over at SportsLine.
So who wins the 2021 Bank of America Roval 400? And which long shots do you need to back? Check out the latest 2021 NASCAR at Charlotte odds below, then visit SportsLine now to see the full projected 2021 Bank of America Roval 400 leaderboard, all from the model that correctly predicted Chase Elliott's win at the Charlotte Roval last season.
2021 Bank of America Roval 400 odds
Chase Elliott 9-5
Kyle Larson 4-1
Martin Truex Jr. 11-2
Kyle Busch 12-1
William Byron 12-1
Denny Hamlin 14-1
A.J. Allmendinger 15-1
Christopher Bell 16-1
Joey Logano 20-1
Ryan Blaney 22-1
Kevin Harvick 30-1
Alex Bowman 35-1
Chase Briscoe 35-1
Brad Keselowski 40-1
Kurt Busch 40-1
Ross Chastain 50-1
Tyler Reddick 75-1
Matt DiBenedetto 75-1
Michael McDowell 100-1
Chris Buescher 150-1
Aric Almirola 150-1
Cole Custer 150-1
Austin Dillon 150-1
Daniel Suarez 150-1
Erik Jones 250-1
Justin Haley 500-1
Ryan Preece 500-1
Ryan Newman 500-1
Bubba Wallace 500-1
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 500-1
Joey Hand 1500-1
Corey Lajoie 1500-1
Anthony Alfredo 2000-1
Josh Bilicki 2500-1
Quin Houff 5000-1
Garrett Smithley 5000-1
Timmy Hill 5000-1
Kyle Tilley 5000-1
Cody Ware 5000-1
2021 NASCAR standings
1. Denny Hamlin 3116 points
2. Kyle Larson 3097
3. Joey Logano 3096
4. Brad Keselowski 3095
5. Martin Truex Jr. 3095
6. Ryan Blaney 3090
7. Chase Elliott 3084
8. Kyle Busch 3084
9. Kevin Harvick 3075
10. Christopher Bell 3056
11. William Byron 3040
12. Alex Bowman 3032
