Just seven races remain in the 2023 Cup Series as the NASCAR playoffs have reached the Round of 12. The conclusion of the playoffs will see a new champion crowned after Joey Logano was eliminated after the Round of 16. The road to the championship continues with the 2023 Autotrader EchoPark Automotive 400 from Texas Motor Speedway, with the race beginning at 3:30 p.m. ET on Sunday. Denny Hamlin and Kyle Larson are previous winners at this track, and they are 5-1 co-favorites in the latest 2023 NASCAR at Texas odds.
Tyler Reddick won at this track last year in a caution-filled race that saw 19 different drivers hold a lead. He is at 7-1 in the Autotrader EchoPark Automotive 400 2023 odds, while teammate Bubba Wallace is a 22-1 longshot after nabbing the last qualifying spot for the Round of 12. Before scouring the 2023 Autotrader EchoPark Automotive 400 starting lineup and making any 2023 NASCAR at Texas predictions, be sure to see the latest 2023 NASCAR Texas picks from SportsLine's proven NASCAR model.
Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results.
McClure's model is off to a red-hot start this season, already nailing Martin Truex Jr.'s Clash win (20-1) as well as his win in New Hampshire (11-2), Joey Logano's Duel win (8-1), Kyle Busch's Fontana victory (10-1), Denny Hamlin's triumph in Kansas (6-1) and Kyle Larson's wins at Martinsville (6-1) and the NASCAR All-Star Race (13-2). In Austin, it listed Tyler Reddick as one of its best values and he went on to win for a 10-1 payout. It also impressively nailed five of Larson's wins during his historic season in 2021.
All told, the model has nailed a whopping 13 winners since 2021. Anyone who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks saw huge returns.
Now, the model simulated the 2023 Autotrader EchoPark Automotive 400 10,000 times. Head to SportsLine to see the complete projected NASCAR at Texas leaderboard.
Top 2023 Autotrader EchoPark Automotive 400 predictions
For the 2023 Autotrader EchoPark Automotive 400, the model is high on Brad Keselowski, even though he's a 12-1 longshot in the latest 2023 NASCAR at Texas odds. Keselowski has top-10 finishes in each of the last four races and also claimed two stage wins during that span. He also has four top 10s over each of his last four starts at Texas Motor Speedway, in addition to top-10 finishes at the All-Star races held at the track in 2021 and 2022.
The 2012 Cup Series champion is one of the most prolific drivers on intermediate tracks like Texas, as he's racked up 13 wins on these circuits, which is nearly 40% of his Cup Series victories. He has an average finish of 12.2 on intermediate tracks since 2020, which ranks fifth amongst active drivers. Given the run he's on, plus his success not only on this track but comparable ones, Keselowski is a steal at his NASCAR at Texas 2023 odds. See who else to back at SportsLine.
And a massive shocker: Christopher Bell, one of the Vegas favorites at 9-1, stumbles big-time and barely cracks the top 10. Bell didn't have a strong run in his last trip to Texas Motor Speedway, as he blew a tire on two occasions, failed to complete half of the laps and finished in 34th place. While that came at last year's NASCAR at Texas race, his recent results also indicate there are better values in the 2023 Autotrader EchoPark Automotive 400 starting lineup.
Bell has won pole position in each of the three NASCAR playoffs races this year but has no victories to show for it, with an average finish of 11.3 in those races. He's winless over his last 21 starts and his lone victory over his last 30 races came on dirt. Bell's overall average finish at Texas Motor Speedway of 15.3 places him outside the top 10 among drivers in this year's NASCAR playoff field, and given his single-digit odds, he's a name to steer clear of this weekend. See which other drivers to avoid at SportsLine.
How to make 2023 NASCAR at Texas picks
The model is also targeting two other drivers with NASCAR Texas odds 2023 of 12-1 or longer to make a serious run at the checkered flag. Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it big. You can see all of the model's NASCAR picks over at SportsLine.
So who wins the Autotrader EchoPark Automotive 400 2023, and which longshots are a must-back? Check out the latest 2023 NASCAR at Texas odds below, then visit SportsLine now to see the full projected 2023 NASCAR at Texas leaderboard, all from the model that already nailed seven winners this season.
2023 Autotrader EchoPark Automotive 400 odds, drivers, lineup
See full NASCAR at Texas picks at SportsLine
Denny Hamlin 5-1
Kyle Larson 5-1
Tyler Reddick 13-2
William Byron 8-1
Christopher Bell 9-1
Martin Truex Jr 9-1
Ryan Blaney 10-1
Brad Keselowski 12-1
Chris Buescher 13-1
Kyle Busch 14-1
Chase Elliott 18-1
Bubba Wallace 22-1
Ross Chastain 25-1
Joey Logano 28-1
Kevin Harvick 33-1
Ty Gibbs 33-1
Alex Bowman 40-1
Erik Jones 55-1
Daniel Suarez 55-1
Aric Almirola 125-1
Carson Hocevar 150-1
Ricky Stenhouse 175-1
Michael McDowell 200-1
Austin Dillon 200-1
AJ Allmendinger 225-1
Chase Briscoe 350-1
Austin Cindric 350-1
Corey Lajoie 500-1
Ryan Preece 500-1
Justin Haley 500-1
Harrison Burton 500-1
Zane Smith 750-1
Ty Dillon 2500-1
JJ Yeley 2500-1
Todd Gilliland 2500-1
BJ McLeod 5000-1
