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The quarterfinals of the 2024 MVC Men's Basketball Tournament begin with the top-seeded Indiana State Sycamores (26-5) taking on No. 9 seed Missouri State Bears (17-15) on Friday. Missouri State leads the all-time series 19-11, but the the Bears have dropped two straight against Indiana State. On Feb. 10, the Sycamores beat the Bears 73-71. Missouri State crushed No. 8 seed Murray State 60-35 on Thursday to advance, while Indiana State had a bye. 

Tipoff from Enterprise Center in St. Louis is set for 1 p.m. ET. The Sycamores are 12-point favorites in the latest Missouri State vs. Indiana State odds via SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 148.5. Before making any Indiana State vs. Missouri State picks, be sure to check out the college basketball predictions and betting advice from the proven SportsLine Projection Model.

The model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. It enters Week 18 of the 2023-24 season on a 141-100 roll on all top-rated college basketball picks dating back to last season, returning more than $1,700 for $100 players. It is also off to a sizzling 26-17 start on top-rated spread picks this season. Anyone following has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Indiana State vs. Missouri State and just locked in its picks and CBB predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are the college basketball odds and betting lines for Indiana State vs. Missouri State:

  • Missouri State vs. Indiana State spread: Sycamores -12
  • Missouri State vs. Indiana State over/under: 148.5 points
  • Missouri State vs. Indiana State money line: Sycamores -829, Bears +565
  • INST: Indiana State have covered the 1H Spread in 19 of their last 32 games
  • MOSU: Missouri State has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 29 games 
  • Missouri State vs. Indiana State picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why Missouri State can cover

Junior guard Alston Mason is a smooth three-level scorer for the Bears. The Kansas product is averaging a team-high 17.6 points with 3.6 assists per game. He's scored 20-plus points in six of his last 12 games. In Thursday's win over the Racers, Mason finished with 22 points and three assists.

Senior guard Donovan Clay (6'8) is a lengthy scorer. Clay gets downhill consistently and is an asset as a rebounder. The Illinois native logs 12.8 points and six rebounds per game. In the Feb. 28 win over Illinois State, Clay had 21 points and seven boards. See which team to pick here

Why Indiana State can cover 

Sophomore guard Ryan Conwell generates offense in multiple ways. Conwell can take the ball to the rim with ease and owns a jumper that forces defenders to contest his shots. The Indiana native averages 16 points, 5.4 rebounds and 2.3 assists per game. In his previous outing, Conwell finished with 24 points and 12 boards.

Junior guard Jayson Kent is a two-way threat for the Sycamores. Kent (6'8) does a solid job boxing out in the paint to grab boards and has a nice touch around the rim. The Illinois native logs 12.7 points and 7.9 rebounds per contest. On Feb. 21, Kent totaled 23 points and six rebounds. See which team to pick here

How to make Missouri State vs. Indiana State picks

SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the total, projecting 149 combined points. It also says one side of the spread is the better value. You can only get the model's pick at SportsLine

So who wins Indiana State vs. Missouri State, and which side of the spread is the better value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that has returned more than $1,700 on its college basketball picks this season, and find out.