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Saturday's college football bowl action will start early at FAU Stadium. Western Kentucky (8-5) and Appalachian State (10-3) will venture to Boca Raton, Fla., for the 2021 Boca Raton Bowl. The Hilltoppers' electric offense has terrorized opposing defenses all year long and could bounce back from a disappointing regular-season finale. The Mountaineers won't make things easy, though, as they look to bounce back from a disappointing loss to Louisiana in the Sun Belt Championship Game.

Kickoff is scheduled for 11 a.m. ET. The latest Appalachian State vs. Western Kentucky odds from Caesars Sportsbook lists the Mountaineers as 2.5-point favorites. The over-under for total points is set at 67, one of the highest totals in bowl season. Before making any Western Kentucky vs. Appalachian State picks, be sure to see the Boca Raton Bowl 2021 predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven model

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,700 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters the 2021-22 college football bowl season on a 43-29 run on all top-rated college football side picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on WKU vs. Appalachian State and just locked in its Boca Raton Bowl picks and predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model's Western Kentucky vs. Appalachian game picks. Here are the college football odds and betting lines for Appalachian State vs. WKU: 

  • Western Kentucky vs. Appalachian State spread: App. State -2.5
  • Western Kentucky vs. Appalachian State over-under: 67 points  
  • Western Kentucky vs. Appalachian State money line: App. State -135, Western Kentucky +115 
  • WKY: The Hilltoppers are 5-1 ATS in their previous six games 
  • APLST: The total has gone under in four of the Mountaineers' last five games
Featured Game | Appalachian State Mountaineers vs. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

Why Western Kentucky can cover

Western Kentucky went 8-5 straight up during the regular season but was one of college football's elite programs ATS. It went 9-4 ATS overall. Most teams couldn't keep up with the Hilltoppers' scoring pace. Their elite passing attack won't be slowed down easily, so the favorites are in for a test. The Hilltoppers ranked first in passing yards (5,545) and passing touchdowns (56) ahead of their bowl game against the Mountaineers. Bailey Zappe has attempted 40 passes in every game but one and completed that a 69.2 percent clip. 

The star quarterback has thrown for at least three touchdowns in every game this season and only dropped below 330 passing yards in one contest. His arm has been the driving force behind the Hilltoppers' impressive scoring average (40.4 points). Appalachian State has scored less than 30 points in two straight games and could have to step it up on offense to compete with an underdog side that's scored at least 41 points in six consecutive contests.

Why Appalachian State can cover

The Mountaineers are a respectable 8-5 ATS and have found success at home and on the road. They've covered on the road just as many times (4) as they have at home in 2021. Appalachian State's balanced offense and sturdy defense give it a chance to compete against most teams.

Mountaineers quarterback Chase Brice connected for at least 776 yards and six touchdowns with three different receivers and can depend on a solid one-two punch at running back. Nate Noel and Camerun Peoples have combined for 1,903 yards and 18 scores on the ground, so finding a way to move the chains shouldn't be challenging for the favorites. Appalachian State has forced 21 turnovers and allows 19.31 points per contest. 

How to make Western Kentucky vs. Appalachian State picks

SportsLine's model is leaning under on the point total, projecting the teams to combine for 58 points. It also says one side of the spread hits in well over 60 percent of simulations. You can only get the model's Western Kentucky vs. Appalachian State pick at SportsLine. 

So who wins Western Kentucky vs. Appalachian on Saturday? And which side of the spread hits in well over 60 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Western Kentucky vs. Appalachian State spread to back, all from the advanced model that is up almost $3,700 on its top-rated college football spread picks, and find out.