Allegiant Stadium hosts a battle between power conference programs in the 2021 Las Vegas Bowl on Thursday. The Wisconsin Badgers take on the Arizona State Sun Devils in a clash between the Big Ten and the Pac-12 in the final bowl game of the day. Wisconsin finished 6-3 in Big Ten play and 8-4 overall this season. Arizona State was also 8-4 with a 6-3 record against Pac-12 opponents.

Kickoff is at 10:30 p.m. ET. The latest Wisconsin vs. Arizona State odds from Caesars Sportsbook list the Badgers as seven-point favorites. The over-under for total points is set at 42. Before locking in any Arizona State vs. Wisconsin picks or Las Vegas Bowl 2021 predictions, you need to see what SportsLine's advanced computer model has to say.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,600 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters the third week of the 2021-22 college football bowl season on a 43-30 run on all top-rated college football side picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Wisconsin vs. Arizona State and locked in its Las Vegas Bowl 2021 picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several college football odds and betting lines for Arizona State vs. Wisconsin:

  • Wisconsin vs. Arizona State spread: Wisconsin -7
  • Wisconsin vs. Arizona State over-under: 42 points 
  • Wisconsin vs. Arizona State money line: Wisconsin -290, Arizona State +235
  • WISC: The Badgers are 4-2 against the spread in their last six games 
  • ASU: The Sun Devils are 5-4 against the spread in their last nine games
Featured Game | Arizona State Sun Devils vs. Wisconsin Badgers

Why Wisconsin can cover

The Badgers have intriguing offensive weapons, but Wisconsin's success is predicated on an elite defense. Wisconsin is allowing only 240.8 total yards per game this season, leading the Big Ten in both passing defense (175.6 yards allowed per game) and rushing defense (65.2 yards allowed per game). Wisconsin allowed only nine touchdown passes in the regular season, fewest in the Big Ten, with the second-most interceptions (15) and the fourth-most sacks (32) in the conference. The Badgers also allow a completion rate of only 55.7 percent, and opponents average only 6.4 yards per pass attempt against Wisconsin. 

On the ground, Wisconsin holds the opposition to only 2.1 yards per carry, considerably better than any other Big Ten team, and the Badgers gave up only nine rushing touchdowns all season. Moreover, Wisconsin allowed only 16.4 points per game, No. 2 in the Big Ten, with five players producing at least three sacks and three players generating at least 50 total tackles.

Why Arizona State can cover

Arizona State has an intriguing mix of offense and defense that bolsters the team's success. The Sun Devils enjoyed success in a few key areas on offense, producing 5.3 yards per carry with 33 rushing touchdowns this season. Arizona State averaged 29.7 points per game, a top-five mark in the Pac-12, while leading the conference in completion percentage (66.8 percent) and yards per pass attempt (8.1). Arizona State threw only nine interceptions and allowed only 21 sacks through 12 games, and the Sun Devils were strongly above-average in third down conversion rate at 43.8 percent. 

On defense, Arizona State was also excellent, ranking No. 2 in the Pac-12 in total defense and scoring defense with top-four marks in passing defense and rushing defense. Opponents averaged only 6.5 yards per pass attempt and 3.6 yards per rush attempt against Arizona State, with the Sun Devils producing more interceptions (15) than passing touchdowns allowed (12).

How to make Arizona State vs. Wisconsin picks

SportsLine's model is leaning under on the point total, projecting 40 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in almost 60 percent of simulations. You can only see the model's Las Vegas Bowl picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Wisconsin vs. Arizona State? And which side of the spread hits in almost 60 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Wisconsin vs. Arizona State spread you need to jump on Thursday, all from the model that has crushed its college football picks, and find out.