The Arkansas Razorbacks (2-5) host the Mississippi State Bulldogs (3-3) in an SEC West tilt on Saturday afternoon. The Bulldogs are looking to keep things rolling after snapping their three-game streak last week. In Week 7, Mississippi State defeated Western Michigan 41-28. On the flip side, Arkansas has dropped five games in a row after starting the season 2-0. The Razorbacjs lost to No. 11 Alabama 24-21 last Saturday. Mississippi State quarterback Will Rogers (shoulder) is questionable)
Kickoff from Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium in Fayetteville is set for noon ET. The Razorbacks are 6.5-point favorites in Mississippi State vs. Arkansas, while the over/under for total points is 47. Before making any Arkansas vs. Mississippi State picks, be sure to see the college football predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer simulation model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a stunning profit of more than $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Mississippi State vs. Arkansas and just revealed its picks and predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Now, here are several college football odds and trends for Arkansas vs. Mississippi State:
- Mississippi State vs. Arkansas spread: Razorbacks -6.5
- Mississippi State vs. Arkansas over/under: 47 points
- Mississippi State vs. Arkansas money line: Razorbacks -263, Bulldogs +210
- MSST: Mississippi State has hit the team total Under in its last three away games
- ARK: Arkansas has hit the game total Over in eight of its last 13 games
- Mississippi State vs. Arkansas picks: See picks at SportsLine
- Mississippi State vs. Arkansas live stream: fubo (try for free)
Why Mississippi State can cover
Mississippi State's defense has several difference-makers. Despite ranking 11th in the SEC in total defense (395.2), the Bulldogs have a knack for creating pressure. The Bulldogs are currently seventh in the conference in team sacks (16). Senior linebacker Nathaniel Watson has consistently caused havoc behind the line of scrimmage. Watson leads the team in sacks (5.5) along with 57 total tackles and 6.5 tackles for loss.
The Alabama native has recorded at least a half sack in five of his six games. In the win over Western Michigan, Watson had nine total tackles and two sacks. Senior linebacker Jett Johnson is an instinctive defender with good pursuit. Johnson ranks third in the SEC in total tackles (66) with four sacks, two interceptions and two forced fumbles. He's finished with double-digit spots in four outings this season. See which team to pick here.
Why Arkansas can cover
In addition to having more certainty at quarterback with KJ Jefferson leading the charge, the Razorbacks' defense also has a bunch of athletic and disruptive defenders. Junior linebacker Jaheim Thomas is always around the ball to shutdown plays. Thomas is leading the conference in total tackles (69) with 6.5 tackles for loss and 3.5 sacks. The Ohio native has finished with double-digit tackles in five games this season.
In the loss to Alabama, Thomas had 10 total stops. Junior defensive lineman Landon Jackson leads the team in sacks (5.5) and tackles for loss (10.5). In his last outing, Jackson went off to secure 11 total tackles and 3.5 sacks. See which team to pick here.
How to make Mississippi State vs. Arkansas picks
SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the point total, projecting the teams to combine for 57 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in more than 50% of simulations. You can only get the model's pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Mississippi State vs. Arkansas, and which side of the spread hits in more than 50% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has notched a profit of more than $2,000 on its top-rated college football spread picks, and find out.
