When it comes to Atletico Madrid's chances of advancing to the Round of 16 in the 2021 UEFA Champions League, Los Colchoneros control their own destiny. That starts with taking a win from AC Milan on Wednesday before facing FC Porto in their last match of the group stage. Atletico beat Milan in their reverse fixture on September 28, but both teams find themselves at the bottom of Group B ahead of their match this week. You can see what happens this week when you stream the match live on Paramount+.
Kickoff for AC Milan vs. Atletico Madrid is set for 3 p.m. ET from Wanda Metropolitano in Madrid. Atletico is the -160 favorite (risk $160 to win $100) on the 90-minute money line in the latest Atletico Madrid vs. AC Milan odds on Caesars Sportsbook. Milan is the +470 underdog and the over-under for total goals is 2.5. Wednesday's match will be streamed live on Paramount+ with their must-have Premium plan.
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How to watch AC Milan vs. Atletico Madrid
- Date: Wednesday, November 24
- Time: 3 p.m. ET
- Streaming: Paramount+
UEFA Champions League picks for Atletico Madrid vs. AC Milan
Before you tune in to Wednesday's match, you need to see the AC Milan vs. Atletico Madrid picks from SportsLine's proprietary European soccer model. Created by two Norwegians -- professional poker player and sports bettor Jonas Gjelstad, and economics and engineering expert Marius Norheim -- the model analyzes worldwide betting data and exploits market inefficiencies, helping its followers cash in. Since coming to SportsLine last year, the algorithm is up over $8,500.
For Atletico Madrid vs. AC Milan, the model is projecting the match to go over the 2.5 goal total, which returns -115 odds. Five of Atletico's last seven matches across all competitions have done just that, and three of Milan's last six have as well. AC Milan comes into Wednesday looking out of sorts, after it fell behind early to Fiorentina 3-0 and lost 4-3 on Saturday in Italian Serie A.
Zlatan Ibrahimovic did what he could to get AC Milan back into the match, with two goals within five minutes of each other. But Dusan Vlahovic's goal in the 85th minute iced things for Fiorentina. Ibrahimovic wasn't available in AC Milan's last meeting with Atletico and is still searching for his first Champions League goal this year. He has 48 Champions League goals in his career, which is 10th most all-time, and should be looking for the goal on Wednesday with Milan's back against the wall.
Diego Simeone's focus on Atletico's attack has come at the cost of conceding goals in recent matches. When Atletico took the field with four defenders on its back line most recently in La Liga play against Osasuna on November 20, it won 1-0. In its five prior league matches, Atletico has put in 12 goals, but with a three-man back line. Simeone deployed four defenders against AC Milan in their last meeting and the score still came out 2-1.
How to watch, live stream UEFA Champions League on Paramount+
Now that you know what to pick, get ready to watch the Champions League. Visit Paramount+ now to see the UEFA Champions League, your live local CBS sporting events, some of the world's other top soccer matchups and much more.