Two teams seemingly headed in opposite directions face off Monday when Everton hosts Burnley in an English Premier League match. Everton has scored seven goals in its first three matches (2-1-0), with striker Dominic Calver-Lewin posting one in each game. Burnley (0-2-1) has scored just twice overall and looks like it could be fighting to avoid relegation again this season. It finished 17th, one place above the drop zone last season, while Everton was 10th and is looking for more under new manager Rafa Benitez, former boss at rival Liverpool.
Kickoff is set for 3 p.m. ET in Liverpool, England. Caesars Sportsbook lists Everton as the -150 favorite (risk $150 to win $100) in its latest Everton vs. Burnley odds, with Burnley the +475 underdog and a draw priced at +260. The over-under for total goals scored is set at 2.5. Before making any Burnley vs. Everton picks or English Premier League predictions, you have to see what European soccer insider Martin Green has to say.
After working in the sports betting industry for several years, Green became a professional sports writer and handicapper and has covered the game worldwide. Since then, his European soccer picks have been stunningly accurate. Green has generated more than $36,000 for $100 bettors since the 2017-18 season, and he has his finger on the pulse of the game all over the globe.
Now, Green has taken a close look at the Everton vs. Burnley matchup and revealed his Premier League expert picks. You can head to SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the EPL odds and betting trends for Burnley vs. Everton:
- Everton vs. Burnley spread: Everton -0.5 (-145)
- Everton vs. Burnley over-under: 2.5 goals
- Everton vs. Burnley money line: Everton -150, Burnley +475, Draw +260
- EVE: Everton was minus-1 in goal differential in 2020-21 (47 scored, 48 allowed)
- BUR: Burnley conceded 22 more goals (55) than it scored (33) last season
Why you should back Everton
The Toffees are the more talented team, with the likes of Calvert-Lewin, Richarlison and Demarai Gray all capable of causing problems for Burnley's back line. Gray has two goals, while Richarlison has one and set up another in the first three matches. The seven goals scored equals the number Everton had in its final 10 games last season. Salomon Rondon is expected to make his debut with the team and could spell Calvert-Lewin if the star striker is slowed down.
Calvert-Lewin is expected to be fit after an injury forced him to withdraw from the England squad. He had a team-high 16 goals last season. The Toffees also should see captain Seamus Coleman return to a strong back line that protects goalkeeper Jordan Pickford. Former Merseyside rival Benitez is working hard to win over the fans after a negative reaction to his appointment, and another win would help.
Why you should back Burnley
Burnley has one point from a possible nine, but it won 2-1 at Goodison Park last season. The Clarets have won two of the last four road games against Everton. They are 4-1-3 in the last eight meetings and 6-7-1 in 14 matches since Burnley joined the top flight in 2009. The Clarets also are 2-1-0 in their last three Monday road matches, keeping a clean sheet in all three, and took 21 points from their 19 away games last season.
Manager Sean Dyche has done well to keep the team in the top flight with the talent he has to work with. Burnley didn't do a lot to improve after its 17th-place finish, but it should have a sense of urgency. It needs to start gaining points after nearly being relegated in 2020-21, especially with Arsenal and Leicester City coming up. The Clarets don't score a lot, posting just 33 goals last season (third-fewest in the EPL), but Chris Wood scored 12 and has one this season.
How to make Burnley vs. Everton picks
Green has taken a close look at Monday's matchup from all sides, and he is leaning under on the goal total. He's also locked in three best bets, including a strong play on one side. He's only sharing his expert EPL picks and analysis at SportsLine.
So who wins Everton vs. Burnley? And where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to see the best bets, all from the European soccer expert who has generated more than $36,000 for $100 bettors over the past four seasons, and find out.
