Wales will be looking for a win or a draw when it takes on Italy in their third Euro 2020 Group A matchup on Sunday. Wales (1-0-1) needs at least one point to secure a spot in the knockout round. It could still advance with a loss, but cannot give up too much because it would come down to goal differential with Switzerland. Italy (2-0-0) has dominated play and has already clinched a spot in the next round. The Italians, who could choose to rest key players, have a 29-match unbeaten streak on the line.

Kickoff is set for noon ET at Stadio Olimpico in Rome. Italy is listed as the -187 (risk $187 to win $100) favorite on the money line, while Wales is +7650 and a draw would return +280 in the latest Italy vs. Wales odds at William Hill Sportsbook. The over-under for total goals scored is 2.5 in the Wales vs. Italy odds. Before making any Italy vs. Wales picks, check out the UEFA Euro 2020 predictions and best bets from SportsLine's Martin Green.

After working in the sports betting industry for several years, Green became a professional sports writer and handicapper and has covered the game worldwide. Since then, his European soccer picks have been spot-on. Green has generated nearly $19,000 for $100 bettors since the 2017-18 season. He's having a great Euro 2020 as well, with his picks generating over $500 in profit for $100 bettors through Friday's action. Green has his finger on the pulse of the game all over the globe.

Now, Green has set his sights on Italy vs Wales and he recently revealed his best bets for the 2020 Euro matchup. You can only see them on SportsLine. Here are the betting lines and trends for Wales vs Italy:

  • Italy vs. Wale spread: Italy -1.5 (+150)
  • Italy vs. Wales over-under: 2.5 goals (under -150, over +120)
  • Italy vs. Wales moneyline: Italy -187, Wales +650, Draw +280
  • ITA: Is 7-0-0 in 2021 and has a 10-match winning streak 
  • WAL: Is 8-3-4 in its last 15 matches dating back to last September

Why you should back Italy

Italy leads Group A by two points over Wales and needs just a draw to clinch the top spot. Although it could choose to rest key players, Italy is eyeing a first-place finish in the group to earn a slightly easier Round of 16 opponent. Among Italy's top scorers is forward Andrea Belotti. The 27-year-old is second behind forward Ciro Immobile's 15 goals, with 12 of his own in 34 appearances for the Italians.

Belotti scored in a 7-0 romp over San Marino in an international friendly on May 28. He also got the scoring going in a 2-0 victory over Bulgaria on March 28 in a 2022 FIFA World Cup qualification match. Belotti began his club career in 2011-12 and has played for three clubs since, mostly in Serie A. He has 105 goals in 228 appearances for his current club, Torino. In his career, he has played in 333 matches and scored 135 goals.

Why you should back Wales

Wales has just two losses this calendar year, and has played well since losing a 3-0 friendly to defending World Cup champion France on June 2. In the tournament opener, Wales spotted Switzerland an early goal before Kieffer Moore scored the equalizer in the 74th minute. 

Ramsey, 30, has been a big part of Wales' offense. He is second on the team in career goals with 17 in 65 appearances. Ramsey has played the last two seasons with Juventus of Serie A and has registered six goals in 65 appearances. For his career, which began in 2006-07, he has appeared in 467 matches and scored 73 goals for five club teams. 

How to make UEFA Euro 2020 Group A picks for Italy vs. Wales 

Green has analyzed Italy vs. Wales from every possible angle and we can tell you he's leaning under on the goal total (2.5), and he's also revealed his best bets and expert analysis. He's only sharing his picks and analysis on SportsLine.

So who wins Italy vs. Wales? And what are the best bets for Sunday's matchup? Visit SportsLine now to see the top Italy vs. Wales picks, all from the European soccer expert who has generated nearly $19,000 for $100 bettors since the 2017-18 season.