We've got an exciting Atlantic 10 matchup on the schedule as the Dayton Flyers and the Massachusetts Minutemen are set to tip at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday at University of Dayton Arena. Dayton is 11-2 overall and 6-0 at home, while UMass is 10-3 overall and 0-1 on the road. Dayton has dominated this conference rivalry of late straight up, winning seven of the last 10 head-to-head matchups.
However, UMass has covered the spread in six of those 10 matchups and is 8-4 against the number this season while Dayton is 7-5. The Flyers are favored by 8.5 points in the latest Dayton vs. UMass odds and the over/under is 148.5 points. Before entering any UMass vs. Dayton picks, you'll want to see the NCAA Basketball predictions from the model at SportsLine.
The model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. It enters Week 9 of the 2023-24 season on a 101-66 roll on all top-rated college basketball picks dating back to last season, returning more than $2,000 for $100 players. It is also off to a sizzling 11-4 start on top-rated spread picks this season. Anyone following has seen huge returns.
The model has set its sights on Massachusetts vs. Dayton. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college basketball betting lines for the game:
- Dayton vs. UMass spread: Dayton -8.5
- Dayton vs. UMass over/under: 148.5 points
- Dayton vs. UMass money line: Dayton: -417, Massachusetts: +319
- Dayton vs. UMass picks: See picks here
What you need to know about Dayton
Dayton entered its tilt with Davidson with four consecutive wins but the Flyers will enter their next game with five. The Flyers rang in the new year with a 72-59 win over the Wildcats on Wednesday. Dayton got its victory on the backs of several key players, but it was Nate Santos out in front who scored 16 points to go along with seven rebounds. DaRon Holmes II was another key contributor, finishing with 18 points.
Santos is a Pitt transfer who is averaging 12.3 points and 6.9 rebounds per game this season, while Holmes is a two-time all-conference player for the Flyers averaging 17.7 points, 7.0 rebounds, 2.6 assists and 2.3 blocks. Holmes has shot 61.7% from the floor and 50.0% from the 3-point line over his last five games. He's averaging 21.2. points, 9.2 rebounds, 2.2 assists and 2.8 blocks during that span.
What you need to know about UMass
Massachusetts has made a habit of sweeping its opponents off the court, having now won six contests by 19 points or more this season. The Minutemen put the hurt on the Duquesne Dukes with a sharp 80-61 win on Wednesday. The win was familiar territory for Massachusetts, who now have four in a row.
Massachusetts' victory was a true team effort, with many players turning in solid performances. Perhaps the best among them was Jaylen Curry, who scored 15 points. That is the most points Curry has scored all season. Another player making an impact was Matt Cross, who scored 15 points and secured eight rebounds.
How to make Dayton vs. UMass picks
The model has simulated Dayton vs. UMass 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Under and it also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins UMass vs. Dayton, and which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that is on a 101-66 roll on its top-ranked college basketball picks, and find out.
