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The No. 9 Kansas State Wildcats aim to cap an impressive 2022 season with a win on Saturday afternoon. Kansas State takes on the No. 5 Alabama Crimson Tide in the 2022 Sugar Bowl in New Orleans. The Wildcats are 10-3 with an active four-game winning streak and a Big 12 championship win over TCU. Alabama is 10-2 overall, with three straight victories to end the regular season.

Caesars Sportsbook lists the Crimson Tide as 7.5-point favorites in the latest Alabama vs. Kansas State odds. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over/under, is 57 in the latest Alabama vs. Kansas State odds, up a point from the opening line. Before finalizing any Kansas State vs. Alabama picks, you need to see the college football predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past six-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $2,500 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Alabama vs. Kansas State and just locked in its picks and Sugar Bowl 2022 predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are the college football odds and trends for Kansas State vs. Alabama: 

  • Alabama vs. Kansas State spread: Alabama -7.5
  • Alabama vs. Kansas State over/under: 57 points
  • Alabama vs. Kansas State money line: Alabama -305, Kansas State +240
  • BAMA: The Crimson Tide are 5-6-1 against the spread this season
  • KSU: The Wildcats are 9-3-1 against the spread this season
  • Alabama vs. Kansas State picks: See picks at SportsLine
Featured Game | Kansas State Wildcats vs. Alabama Crimson Tide

Why Alabama can cover

Alabama's offense is flying high this season, averaging 40.8 points per game and more than 475 total yards per contest. Bryce Young is one of the best players in college football, and the Crimson Tide are electric and efficient. On defense, Alabama is also elite, allowing only 18.0 points per game. The Crimson Tide are giving up 311.3 total yards per game, including only 186.0 passing yards per contest. 

Alabama's opponents are completing only 55.1% of passes with 5.6 yards per attempt and only 12 passing touchdowns. Alabama has 36 sacks in 12 games, and the Crimson Tide are also limiting opponents to 125.3 rushing yards per game and 3.5 yards per carry. Similarly to Young on offense, Alabama has a fantastic centerpiece in Will Anderson Jr. on defense, with the All-American pass rusher producing 10.0 sacks this season and 17.5 sacks in 2021. He has five sacks in the last five games, including two in the finale against Auburn.

Why Kansas State can cover

Kansas State has two-way strengths this season. The Wildcats led the Big 12 in giving up only 20.1 points per game, and Kansas State ranked in the top three of the conference in total yards allowed (365.8 per game) and passing yards allowed (216.9 per game). Opponents completed only 57.8% of passes against Kansas State, with the Wildcats producing 16 interceptions and allowing only 16 passing touchdowns. 

On the offensive side, Kansas State is electric on the ground, averaging 5.1 yards per carry and 209.6 rushing yards per game. The Wildcats have 21 passing touchdowns and only four interceptions this season, and Kansas State has allowed only 19 sacks. Kansas State is averaging 33.2 points per game, putting pressure on the opposition.

How to make Kansas State vs. Alabama picks

SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the point total, projecting the teams to combine for 61 points. It also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only get the model's pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Alabama vs. Kansas State in the Sugar Bowl 2022? And which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to back, all from the advanced model that is up almost $2,500 on its top-rated college football spread picks, and find out.