The No. 1 Alabama Crimson Tide hope things follow a familiar pattern when they face the No. 3 Georgia Bulldogs in the 2022 College Football Playoff National Championship game on Monday in Indianapolis. The Tide (13-1) have won seven straight meetings with Georgia, including a 41-24 victory in the SEC title game on Dec. 4. They also beat Georgia to win the 2017 national championship after the 2017 season, pulling off a 26-23 victory in overtime. Bama is the defending champion, while Georgia (13-1) seeks its first national title since 1980. Alabama won its semifinal 27-6 against Cincinnati 27-6 in the Cotton Bowl on New Year's Eve, while UGA cruised to a 34-11 win against Michigan in the Orange Bowl.
Kickoff is set for 8 p.m. ET at Lucas Oil Stadium. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Bulldogs as 2.5-point favorites in the latest Alabama vs. Georgia odds, down half a point from the opening line. The over-under for total points is set at 52.5. Before locking in any Georgia vs. Alabama picks or CFP title game predictions, be sure to see the betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,600 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters the final week of the 2021-22 college football bowl season on a 43-31 run on all top-rated college football side picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Alabama vs. Georgia in the College Football Playoff National Championship game 2022. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college football odds and trend for Georgia vs. Alabama:
- Alabama vs. Georgia spread: Bulldogs -2.5
- Alabama vs. Georgia over-under: 52.5 points
- Alabama vs. Georgia money line: Crimson Tide +115, Bulldogs -135
- BAMA: Alabama is 49-35 ATS vs. ranked teams since Nick Saban was hired in 2007.
- UGA: Georgia is 21-13 ATS against ranked teams under Kirby Smart (since 2016)
Why Alabama can cover
Alabama's previous two games as an underdog have come against Georgia, and it won both big. It was a six-point underdog in the SEC championship. The previous time was way back in 2015, when it won 38-10 against a Georgia team that was favored by one point. The underdog is 7-1 ATS in the past eight meetings. The Tide had little trouble with UGA's vaunted defense last month, putting up 536 yards and coming up just shy of its 42.5 points per game average (second in FBS). QB Bryce Young threw for 421 yards and three TDs in the last meeting.
WR Jameson Williams had 187 yards in the SEC game and had seven catches against Cincinnati. But RB Brian Robinson Jr. carried the day against the Bearcats, rushing for 204 yards, and he averaged 98 per game this season. The Tide convert 52.7 percent of their attempts on third down (third in the nation), and opponents make just 31 percent (seventh). Alabama has been an underdog nine times under Coach Nick Saban (since 2007), and it is 5-3-1 ATS. The defense is led by star pass rusher Will Anderson Jr., who leads the nation with 17.5 sacks.
Why Georgia can cover
Georgia is 9-5 against the spread this season, and its defense has been dominant all year. It had a rough day against Alabama in the SEC title game, but it will be highly motivated to avoid a repeat. The Bulldogs had held opponents to 7.2 points and 238 yards per game in the 12 before the SEC title game, and All-Americans Jordan Davis at nose tackle and Nakobe Dean at linebacker set the tone. Dean has six sacks and is part of an elite linebacking crew that also includes Channing Tindall (4.5 sacks) and Nolan Smith (2.5 sacks, two takeaways).
The Bulldogs are 13-6 ATS in neutral-site games since 2016, and the defense allows an FBS-low 9.5 points per game. It is third against the pass (172.2 ypg, third in FBS) and fourth against the run (82.2, fourth). The run game is the key for Georgia, which averages 39.4 points (seventh). RBs Zamir White (772 yards, 10 TDs) and James Cook (920 total yards) lead a run game that averaged 195 yards per contest (30th in FBS). Bennett can make plays when he needs to, and he has 2,638 passing yards, with 27 TDs and just seven interceptions.
How to make Georgia vs. Alabama picks
SportsLine's model is leaning under on the total, projecting 47 combined points. It also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only see the pick here.
So who wins Georgia vs. Alabama in the College Football National Championship game 2022? And which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Alabama vs. Georgia spread you need to jump on, all from the model on a roll on its college football picks, and find out.