Thursday will be loaded with exciting college football matchups. Fifteen games are on the day's schedule, and one will take place at 3MG Stadium in Orlando, Fla. Boise State will visit the UCF Knights in one of the earlier kicks. This matchup could go down the wire, as both teams have been on a roll as of late and the spread indicates a one-score matchup.
Kickoff is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET. The latest UCF vs. Boise State odds from Caesars Sportsbook list the Knights as six-point favorites, up a couple points since the opening line. The over-under is set at 67.5, one of the highest totals on the Week 1 college football schedule. Before finalizing your Central Florida vs. Boise State picks, check out the college football predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of more than $3,600 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters Week 1 of the 2021 season on a 57-37 run on all top-rated college football picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Boise State vs. Central Florida. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the college football odds and trends for Central Florida vs. Boise State:
- Boise State vs. UCF spread: UCF -6
- Boise State vs. UCF over-under: 67.5 points
- Boise State vs. UCF money line: UCF -240, Boise State +200
- BST: The Broncos are 17-4 straight up in their last 21 games
- UCF: The Knights are 22-3 straight up in their last 25 home games
Why Boise State can cover
Boise State has long been one of the best offensive programs in the FBS. The Broncos averaged 33.9 points per game last season, which ranked 27th in the nation.
UCF's pass defense left a lot to be desired last year, as opposing teams posted nearly 300 yards per game through the air against the Knights. UCF was 1-3 against the spread at home last season. The Broncos could stay close and cover if they take advantage of UCF's weak secondary.
Why UCF can cover
This game marks the beginning of the Gus Malzahn era at UCF. The former Auburn head coach is taking over the reins at an elite program with tons of offensive potential. Star signal-caller Dillon Gabriel helped the Knights score plenty of points last season.
Five of his starting linemen are returning to an offense that was second in yards per game last year. Boise State is 1-5 against the spread in its last six road games, so it should be difficult to cover against such a talented team.
How to make UCF vs. Boise State picks
SportsLine's model is leaning over on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 72 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in almost 60 percent of simulations. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Boise State vs. UCF? And which side of the spread hits in almost 60 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its college football picks, and find out.
