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Sam Navarro / USA TODAY Sports

Two teams looking to end long droughts will collide on Thursday when the Miami (FL) Hurricanes and Rutgers Scarlet Knights square off in the 2023 Bad Boy Mowers Pinstripe Bowl at Yankee Stadium. The Hurricanes (7-5) are looking to win their first bowl since 2016 as they are winless in four bowl appearances since then. Meanwhile, the Scarlet Knights (6-6) are looking to complete their first winning season since they went 8-5 in 2014. They are a combined 31-75 since then.

Kickoff is set for 2:15 p.m. ET in the Bronx, N.Y. The Scarlet Knights are 2.5-point favorites in the latest Miami vs. Rutgers odds, per SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 41. Before making any Rutgers vs. Miami picks or Pinstripe Bowl predictions, make sure you check out the analysis from SportsLine and CBS Sports expert Tom Fornelli, given his mastery of picks in games involving the Hurricanes.

The CBS national writer has been profitable across multiple sports, but his specialty is college football. What's more, he has demonstrated a particularly sharp eye for Miami. In fact, Fornelli is an impressive 21-7 (+1360) in his last 28 college football picks in games involving the Hurricanes. Anyone who has followed him is way up.

Now, he has set his sights on Miami vs. Rutgers and made his picks and predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see his picks. Now, here are several college football odds and trends for Rutgers vs. Miami:

  • Miami vs. Rutgers spread: Scarlet Knights -2.5
  • Miami vs. Rutgers over/under: 41 points
  • Miami vs. Rutgers money line: Scarlet Knights -135, Hurricanes +115
  • MIA: The Hurricanes rank 10th in the country in rush defense (97.1 rushing yards per game)
  • RUT: The Scarlet Knights lead the nation in kickoff returns (33.0 yards per return)
  • Miami vs. Rutgers: See picks at SportsLine 
  • Miami vs. Rutgers live stream: fubo (try for free)

Why Miami can cover

The Hurricanes have dominated the head-to-head series against the Scarlet Knights. Miami is a perfect 11-0 all-time against Rutgers, winning those games by an average score of 46-10. The teams played annually from 1993 through 2003 when both schools were members of the Big East but haven't played each other since.

In addition, the Hurricanes have one of the best linebackers in the ACC in Francisco Mauigoa. The 6-3, 230-pound transfer from Washington State leads the team in tackles for loss (17), is tied for the team lead in sacks (7.5) and ranks second on the team in tackles (70). For his efforts this season he was named to the all-ACC second team. See which team to pick here.

Why Rutgers can cover

The Scarlet Knights have one of the best rushing attacks in the Big Ten. Led by second team all-conference running back Kyle Monangai, Rutgers ranks fourth in the Big Ten in rushing offense (165.4 yards per game). The team has four games with more than 250 rushing yards this season, matching the total from the previous six seasons combined.

In addition, the Scarlet Knights face a Miami team that will be without several significant playmakers. Safeties Kamren Kinchens and James Williams, as well as offensive linemen Javion Cohen and Matt Lee, have opted out of the bowl to start preparing for the NFL Draft. Also, sophomore quarterback Jacurri Brown will get his first playing time of the season, replacing regular starter Tyler Van Dyke, who transferred to WisconsinSee which team to pick here.

How to make Miami vs. Rutgers picks

Fornelli has analyzed this matchup and while we can tell you he's leaning Under on the point total, he has also discovered a critical X-factor that has him jumping all over one side of the spread. He's sharing what it is, and which side to back, only at SportsLine.

Who wins Rutgers vs. Miami, and which critical X-factor makes one side of the spread a must-back? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Miami vs. Rutgers spread hits, all from the expert on a 21-7 run on picks in games involving Miami, and find out.