The PGA Tour will head to Minnesota this week for the 2022 3M Open, marking the fourth edition of the tournament. Matthew Wolf (2019), Michael Thompson (2020) and Cameron Champ (2021) were all long shots in their respective 3M Open wins, so should you be targeting long odds with your 2022 3M Open bets? There are several big names at the top of the 3M Open field, including Tony Finau, Hideki Matsuyama and Sungjae Im. Finau is the 12-1 favorite in the latest 2022 3M Open odds at Caesars Sportsbook, with Matsuyama (16-1) and Im (18-1) next in line.
While the golfers returning from the Open Championship at St. Andrews might have a talent advantage, they will have to contend with rested golfers who remained in the United States. Some of the lower-ranked participants are also fighting for a spot in the FedEx Cup Playoffs next month, giving them extra motivation. Before locking in your 2022 3M Open picks, be sure to see the PGA Tour predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven golf model.
SportsLine's proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June of 2020. In fact, the model is up over $10,300 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.
McClure's model included J.T. Poston in its best bets to win the 2022 John Deere Classic. That bet hit at +5500, and for the entire tournament, McClure's best bets returned almost $1,100. At the 2022 Masters, McClure's model was all over Scottie Scheffler's first career major championship victory heading into the weekend.
In addition, McClure's best bets included Collin Morikawa winning outright at the 2021 Open Championship, even though he was listed as a massive 40-1 long shot. The model was also all over Jon Rahm's (10-1) first career major championship victory at the 2021 U.S. Open. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the weekend, but the model still projected him as the winner.
This same model has also nailed a whopping eight majors entering the weekend. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.
Now that the 2022 3M Open field is locked, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.
Top 2022 3M Open predictions
One major surprise the model is calling for at the 3M Open 2022: Finau, a two-time PGA Tour champion and the Vegas favorite, falls short of winning it all and barely cracks the top five. Despite shooting a 66 on Sunday of the British Open, Finau only finished 28th at St. Andrews, which still managed to be his best finish at any major this year. He has as many missed cuts (five) as top 25 finishes in the 2021-22 PGA Tour season and finished 28th at this event last year.
Finau has always been long off the tee but his precision has been a casualty this year. He ranks just 144th in driving accuracy percentage (57.02), which could be detrimental at a course that counts 99 different hazards. Additionally, Finau is having the worst putting season of his career, ranking 148th in strokes gained: putting (-.146). He's not a strong pick to win it all and there are far better values in the 3M Open 2022 field.
Another surprise: Adam Long, a 35-1 long shot, makes a strong run at the title. Long has had success at this event before, securing a runner-up finish at the 2020 edition with a score of 17-under-par. He made the cut on the number and was outside the top 50 at the halfway point of the event, but he got red-hot down the stretch.
Long is also entering the 2022 3M Open in good form, coming off a top-15 finish at the John Deere Classic. He has placed inside the top 15 in three of his last nine tournaments, and this will be a weaker field than normal. Long ranks 14th on the PGA Tour in strokes gained: putting, which will give him an excellent opportunity to finish on top of the leaderboard. See who else to pick here.
How to make 2022 3M Open picks
The model is targeting four other golfers with odds of 25-1 or longer who will make surprising runs. Anyone who backs these long shots could hit it big. You can only see the model's picks here.
So who will win the 3M Open 2022? And which long shots stun the golfing world? Check out the 2022 3M Open odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected 2022 3M Open leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed eight golf majors, including this year's Masters.
2022 3M Open odds, field
See full 3M Open 2022 picks, best bets, and predictions here.
Tony Finau 12-1
Hideki Matsuyama 16-1
Sungjae Im 18-1
Adam Hadwin 20-1
Maverick McNealy 22-1
Cam Davis 25-1
Sahith Theegala 25-1
Davis Riley 25-1
Cameron Tringale 28-1
Mark Hubbard 30-1
Charles Howell 30-1
Brendan Steele 35-1
Chez Reavie 35-1
Adam Long 35-1
Martin Laird 35-1
J.T. Poston 35-1
Ryan Palmer 40-1
Brendon Todd 40-1
Nick Hardy 40-1
Adam Svensson 40-1
Jason Day 40-1
Rickie Fowler 45-1
Cameron Champ 45-1
Chris Gotterup 50-1
Dylan Frittelli 50-1
Emiliano Grillo 50-1
Wyndham Clark 50-1
C.T. Pan 50-1
Matthew NeSmith 55-1
Troy Merritt 65-1
Michael Thompson 65-1
Lucas Glover 65-1
Lanto Griffin 65-1
Doug Ghim 70-1
Austin Smotherman 70-1
Matthias Schwab 70-1
Stewart Cink 70-1
Patton Kizzire 80-1
Beau Hossler 80-1
Hayden Buckley 80-1
Greyson Sigg 80-1
Nick Taylor 80-1
Tyler Duncan 80-1
John Huh 80-1
Erik Van Rooyen 80-1
Danny Willett 80-1
Stephan Jaeger 90-1
Callum Tarren 90-1
Danny Lee 90-1
Brandon Matthews 100-1
Adam Schenk 100-1
Garrick Higgo 100-1
Chesson Hadley 100-1
Andrew Putnam 100-1
Nate Lashley 100-1
Sam Ryder 100-1
Michael Gligic 100-1
Lee Hodges 100-1
Tom Hoge 100-1
Kramer Hickok 100-1
Joseph Bramlett 125-1
Brice Garnett 125-1
James Hahn 125-1
Hank Lebioda 125-1
Scott Piercy 125-1
Matt Wallace 125-1
Justin Lower 125-1
Michael Kim 125-1
Bo Hoag 150-1
Dylan Wu 150-1
Andrew Novak 150-1
Peter Malnati 150-1
Kelly Kraft 150-1
Ryan Moore 150-1
Ryan Armour 150-1
Kevin Chappell 200-1
Ben Martin 200-1
Satoshi Kodaira 200-1
Richy Werenski 200-1
Bill Haas 200-1
Vaughn Taylor 200-1
Chase Seiffert 200-1
Roger Sloan 200-1
Robert Streb 200-1
Brandon Hagy 200-1
Austin Cook 200-1
Scott Gutschewski 200-1
Kevin Tway 200-1
Sean O'Hair 200-1
Henrik Norlander 200-1
Doc Redman 200-1
Harry Higgs 200-1
Chad Ramey 200-1
Ben Kohles 250-1
Bo Van Pelt 250-1
Brian Stuard 250-1
Jonathan Byrd 250-1
Scott Brown 250-1
Chris Stroud 250-1
David Lingmerth 250-1
Camilo Villegas 250-1
Seung-yul Noh 250-1
Cameron Percy 250-1
Joshua Creel 250-1
Nick Watney 300-1
David Hearn 300-1
Seth Reeves 300-1
Paul Barjon 300-1
Andrew Landry 300-1
Cole Hammer 300-1
Kiradech Aphibarnrat 300-1
Aaron Baddeley 300-1
Grayson Murray 300-1
Jason Dufner 350-1
Max McGreevy 400-1
David Skinns 500-1
Greg Chalmers 500-1
Wesley Bryan 500-1
Martin Trainer 500-1
K.J. Choi 500-1
Curtis Thompson 500-1
Mardy Fish 500-1
Brian Gay 500-1
Jonas Blixt 500-1
Jared Wolfe 500-1
Jim Knous 500-1
Robert Garrigus 500-1
Sung Kang 500-1
Ben Crane 500-1
Brett Drewitt 500-1
D.J. Trahan 500-1
Ricky Barnes 500-1
Dylan Menante 500-1
Arjun Atwal 500-1
Ryan Brehm 500-1
Mark Hensby 500-1
Sangmoon Bae 500-1
Dawie Van Der Walt 500-1
Tommy Gainey 500-1
Matt Every 750-1
George McNeill 750-1
Kevin Stadler 1000-1
Mo Lim 1000-1
Ted Potter 1000-1
D.A. Points 1000-1
Brian Davis 1000-1
J.J. Henry 1000-1
Jeff Sorenson 1000-1
Derek Ernst 1000-1
John Merrick 1000-1
