After an impressive run of play, Matthew Fitzpatrick should have his sights set on winning the 2023 Wells Fargo Championship this week. He finished second in his debut at the tournament last year, and won the RBC Heritage just a few weeks ago. His recent victory also comes on the heels of a 10th place showing at the Masters. Should you consider backing Fitzpatrick at 23-1 in the latest 2023 Wells Fargo Championship odds on Caesars Sportsbook?
If Fitzpatrick wants to add to his impressive season, he'll have to stave off a number of serious contenders at the Wells Fargo Championship 2023, which gets underway from Quail Hollow on Thursday, May 4. Rory McIlroy is the 15-2 favorite, with Patrick Cantlay (14-1), Xander Schauffele (16-1), Tony Finau (17-1) and Jordan Spieth (19-1) next in line on the PGA odds board. Before locking in your 2023 Wells Fargo Championship picks, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
Our proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June of 2020. In fact, the model is up over $8,600 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.
McClure's model predicted Rahm would finish on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions and The American Express. And at the 2023 Masters, the model was all over Rahm's second career major victory heading into the weekend. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the third round, but the model still projected him as the winner.
In addition, the model included Nick Hardy and Davis Riley in its best bets to win the 2023 Zurich Classic. That bet hit at +4500, and for the entire tournament, McClure's best bets returned over $1,100. McClure's best bets also included J.T. Poston winning outright at the 2022 John Deere Classic, even though he was listed as a massive 55-1 longshot.
This same model has also nailed a whopping nine majors entering the weekend. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.
Now that the 2023 Wells Fargo Championship field is locked, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.
Top 2023 Wells Fargo Championship predictions
One major surprise the model is calling for at the Wells Fargo Championship 2023: Spieth, a 13-time PGA Tour champion and one of the top favorites, stumbles this week and doesn't even crack the top 10. Spieth has finished T-4 or better in three of his last four starts on the PGA Tour, which includes a runner-up finish at the RBC Heritage.
However, Spieth has struggled mightily with his driver this season, ranking 107th in total driving (212) and 149th in driving accuracy (55.81%). He also hasn't played in the Wells Fargo Championship since 2013, where he recorded a T-32 finish. He's not a strong pick to win it all and there are far better values in the Wells Fargo Championship 2023 field.
Another surprise: Justin Thomas, a 21-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. Thomas didn't play in last year's event, and finished T-26 in 2021, making him a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. Thomas missed the cut at the Masters and finished T-25 at the RBC Heritage, so he's flying under the radar for now.
The main thing that has been hampering Thomas in recent events has been his putting, but he's proven in the past that he can pull it together and be productive on the greens. Last season, he finished third on the tour in putting average (1.718) and sixth in putts per round (28.24). At the RBC Heritage, he averaged nearly two strokes gained per round via other areas of his game, so one solid weekend of putting should put him in the conversation for a Wells Fargo title. See who else to pick here.
How to make 2023 Wells Fargo Championship picks
The model is also targeting five other longshots that are listed higher than 20-1. Anyone who backs these longshots could hit it big. You can only see the model's PGA picks here.
So who will win the Wells Fargo Championship 2023? And which longshots stun the golfing world? Check out the 2023 Wells Fargo Championship odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected 2023 Wells Fargo Championship leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed nine golf majors.
2023 Wells Fargo Championship odds, field
See the full Wells Fargo Championship 2023 picks, best bets, and predictions here.
Rory McIlroy +750
Patrick Cantlay +1400
Xander Schauffele +1600
Tony Finau +1700
Jordan Spieth +1900
Justin Thomas +2100
Cameron Young +2100
Viktor Hovland +2100
Collin Morikawa +2100
Sungjae Im +2300
Matthew Fitzpatrick +2300
Max Homa +2400
Jason Day +2800
Sam Burns +3100
Rickie Fowler +4100
Shane Lowry +4800
Tyrrell Hatton +4800
Tom Kim +4800
Sahith Theegala +5000
Corey Conners +5000
Tommy Fleetwood +5500
Matt Kuchar +7000
Keegan Bradley +7000
Keith Mitchell +7000
Si Woo Kim +7500
Wyndham Clark +7500
Taylor Moore +8500
Gary Woodland +9000
Brian Harman +9000
Cameron Davis +9000
Chris Kirk +10000
Adam Scott +10000
Davis Riley +11000
Emiliano Grillo +12000
Patrick Rodgers +12000
Webb Simpson +13000
Taylor Montgomery +13000
Joel Dahmen +13000
J.T. Poston +13000
Kurt Kitayama +13000
Seamus Power +15000
Stephan Jaeger +15000
Harris English +16000
Adam Hadwin +17000
Alex Noren +17000
Matt Wallace +17000
Justin Suh +18000
Akshay Bhatia +18000
J.J. Spaun +18000
K.H. Lee +18000
Denny McCarthy +18000
Hayden Buckley +18000
Ben Griffin +21000
Brendon Todd +21000
Cameron Champ +21000
S.H. Kim +21000
Nick Hardy +21000
