The Phoenix Suns welcome the Utah Jazz to Footprint Center on Monday. The Suns are 36-9, leading the NBA, and Phoenix holds an 18-5 home record. The Jazz (30-17) are also excelling this season, though Utah is on the second night of a back-to-back. Deandre Ayton (ankle) is listed as doubtful for the Suns, with Jae Crowder (wrist) and Cameron Payne (wrist) ruled out. Utah has a few injury question marks with Donovan Mitchell (concussion) and Hassan Whiteside (protocols) considered day-to-day. Rudy Gobert (calf) and Bojan Bogdanovic (knee) have been ruled out.
Tipoff is at 9 p.m. ET in Phoenix. Caesars Sportsbook lists Phoenix as the 10-point favorite in the latest Suns vs. Jazz odds. The over-under for total points is set at 222. Before locking in any Jazz vs. Suns picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 14 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 56-30 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning over $2,200. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Suns vs. Jazz, and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NBA betting lines and trends for Jazz vs. Suns:
- Jazz vs. Suns spread: Suns -10
- Jazz vs. Suns over-under: 222 points
- Jazz vs. Suns money line: Suns -475, Jazz +360
- UTAH: The Jazz are 3-5 against the spread with no rest
- PHX: The Suns are 11-12 against the spread in home games
Why the Jazz can cover
Utah is fantastic on the offensive end of the floor, leading the NBA with 1.16 points per possession. The Jazz lead the league in shooting efficiency, including the No. 1 mark in 3-pointers per game, and Utah also ranks in the top six in field-goal percentage and 3-point percentage. Utah is No. 2 in free-throw creation, with top-eight marks in offensive rebound rate, second-chance points and points in the paint.
Phoenix is a below-average rebounding team on both ends of the floor, which opens the door for the Jazz to attack the glass. On defense, Utah is giving up fewer than 1.09 points per possession, with a top-five mark in defensive rebound rate. The Jazz are near the top of the league in 3-point accuracy allowed, free throw accuracy allowed and assists allowed, with the Suns ranking No. 25 in free throw creation on offense.
Why the Suns can cover
Phoenix is excellent on offense and Utah has a notable weakness on the defensive end. The Suns are scoring more than 1.12 points per possession, a top-five figure in the NBA, and Phoenix is leading the NBA in field-goal percentage at 47.6 percent. The Suns are in the top five in 3-point accuracy, making 36.3 percent of attempts, and Phoenix is in the top five in assists with 26.4 per game.
The Suns also avoid turnovers well, committing a giveaway on only 13.5 percent of possessions. Utah is the league's worst team in forcing turnovers on defense, creating fewer than 12 per game, and the Suns can be confident with the ball. Phoenix is also elite on defense, ranking in the top three in efficiency, and the Suns match up well with the explosive Jazz offense.
How to make Jazz vs. Suns picks
SportsLine's model is leaning under on the total, projecting 221 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits almost 70 percent of the time. You can only see the model's pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Suns vs. Jazz? And which side of the spread hits almost 70 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.