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Real Madrid can take another step toward defending their UEFA Champions League title when they host Chelsea in the first leg of a quarterfinal matchup on Wednesday at the Bernabéu in Madrid. Los Blancos are coming off a 6-2 aggregate victory over Liverpool in the Round of 16. Meanwhile, Chelsea enter the quarterfinals off a 2-1 aggregate win over Borussia Dortmund. The matchup will be a rematch of last year's quarterfinal, which Real Madrid won 5-4. These two sides will play the second leg on April 18 in London.

Kickoff is 3 p.m. ET on Paramount+. Caesars Sportsbook lists Real Madrid as the -165 favorite (risk $165 to win $100) in the latest Real Madrid vs. Chelsea odds, with Chelsea the +440 underdog. A draw is priced at +290 and the over/under for total goals scored is 2.5. Before making any Chelsea vs. Real Madrid picks or Champions League predictions, you need to see what proven soccer insider Martin Green has to say.

After working in the sports betting industry for several years, Green became a professional sports writer and handicapper and has covered the game worldwide. Since last year's World Cup, Green is 77-81-3 (+4.32 units) with his soccer picks, including a 12-8 record (+2.17) with his Champions League predictions.

Now, Green has broken down Real Madrid vs. Chelsea from every angle and just revealed his picks and Champions League predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see Green's picks. Here are the betting lines and trends for Chelsea vs. Real Madrid:

  • Real Madrid vs. Chelsea spread: Real Madrid -0.5 (-160), Chelsea +0.5 (+130)
  • Real Madrid vs. Chelsea over/under: 2.5 goals
  • Real Madrid vs. Chelsea money line: Real Madrid -165, Chelsea +440, Draw +290
  • RMA: Karim Benzema ranks second in La Liga in goals (14)
  • CHE: Kai Havertz leads the team in goals (seven)
  • Real Madrid vs. Chelsea picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why you should back Real Madrid

Vinícius Júnior is in excellent form entering Wednesday's match. The 22-year-old winger from Brazil has two goals and three assists in his last three games and nearly had a second half hat trick in Saturday's match against Villarreal. He is tied for ninth in La Liga in goals with nine.

In addition, Los Blancos square off against a Chelsea side that is in disarray. The Blues are playing just their second match under caretaker manager Frank Lampard, who replaced the fired Graham Potter. Chelsea have won just 10 of their 30 Premier League matches this season and just four of 18 matches across all competitions in 2023. The Blues sit in 11th place in the Premier League.

Why you should back Chelsea

The Blues have the confidence of knowing they beat Real Madrid at the Bernabéu last year. In the second leg of last year's Champions League quarterfinal, Chelsea went up 3-0 on Los Blancos and won 3-2. Among the goal scorers for the Blues was Mason Mount.

In addition, Chelsea have a proven goal scorer in Kai Havertz. The 23-year-old forward from Germany leads the team and ranks 25th in the league in goals with seven. He has 19 career goals in 85 career appearances with the Blues and 55 career goals in his senior career.

How to make Real Madrid vs. Chelsea picks

Green has broken down the Chelsea vs. Real Madrid match from every possible angle. He is leaning Over on the goal total and has locked in three total best bets, including two that return plus money. Head to SportsLine to see his analysis and top picks.

So who wins Real Madrid vs. Chelsea on Wednesday? And where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to find out which wagers in Chelsea vs. Real Madrid have all the value, all from the soccer expert who is 12-8 (+2.17) with his Champions League predictions since the World Cup, and find out.