A spot in the Round of 16 will be on the line when South Africa meets Italy in a key 2023 FIFA Women's World Cup Group G matchup in New Zealand on Wednesday. The Italians are looking to rebound from a 5-0 thrashing at the hands of Sweden on Saturday. They beat Argentina 1-0 in the tournament opener. South Africa, meanwhile, dropped a 2-1 decision to Sweden on July 23 before earning a 2-2 draw with Argentina on Friday.
Kickoff is set for 3 a.m. ET at Wellington Regional Stadium in Wellington, New Zealand. Italy are the -160 favorites (risk $160 to win $100) according to the latest South Africa vs. Italy odds, with South Africa the +400 underdogs. A draw is priced at +280 and the over/under for total goals scored is 2.5. Before locking in any Italy vs. South Africa picks, you need to see what SportsLine's projection model has to say.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every 2023 FIFA Women's World Cup match 10,000 times. Currently the model is 64% accurate on spread picks in the WWC, returning $450 for $100 bettors. Anybody who is following it has seen big returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Italy vs. South Africa and just locked in its picks and 2023 Women's World Cup predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several 2023 Women's World Cup and betting lines for South Africa vs. Italy:
- South Africa vs. Italy spread: Italy -0.5 (-160), South Africa +0.5 (+125)
- South Africa vs. Italy over/under: 2.5 goals
- South Africa vs. Italy money line: South Africa +400, Italy -160, Draw +280
- SA: South Africa are 2-3-2 since the beginning of the year
- ITA: The Italians have reached the Women's World Cup quarterfinals twice, the last coming in 2019
- South Africa vs. Italy picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why you should back Italy
Valentina Giacinti is a proven playmaker for the Italians. The 29-year-old has registered 22 goals in 66 appearances for the national team since 2015. Giacinti recorded seven goals in five FIFA Women's World Cup qualifying matches. As a member of Roma in the Italian Serie A, she scored 11 goals in 20 matches last season.
Midfielder Arianna Caruso has also been solid for the Italians. The 23-year-old has 11 goals in 36 appearances for Italy since 2019. She scored five goals in Women's World Cup qualifying, including four in an 8-0 win over Moldova. Since joining Juventus in 2017, she has played in 96 matches, registering 22 goals. See which team to back here.
Why you should back South Africa
Thembi Kgatlana, 27, has one goal in the 2023 Women's World Cup, scoring in the 66th minute against Argentina. In 66 appearances for her national team, she has recorded 25 goals. Since 2018, she has registered 27 goals in 82 professional matches, including 10 in 27 matches for Eibar in Spain in 2020-2021. She currently is a member of Racing Louisville of the National Women's Soccer League in the United States.
Hildah Magaia has been a spark plug for the offense as well. She scored the lone goal for South Africa in the loss to Sweden, and has registered four goals since the beginning of the year. The 28-year-old has recorded 17 goals in 27 appearances for the national team. She is a member of Sejong Sportstoto after playing in Sweden for Moron in 2021. For Moron, Magaia scored 12 goals in 22 matches. See which team to back here.
How to make South Africa vs. Italy picks
The model has broken down the Women's World Cup match from every possible angle. It is leaning Over on total goals and has locked in its money line and spread picks. Head to SportsLine now to see the model's best bets.
Who wins Italy vs. South Africa, and where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to find out which wagers have all the value, all from the model that is up $450 since the start of the 2023 Women's World Cup, and find out.
