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Teams coming off impressive regular seasons will meet in the 2022 Citrus Bowl on Saturday as the 22nd-ranked Kentucky Wildcats face the 15th-ranked Iowa Hawkeyes at Camping World Stadium in Orlando, Fla. The Hawkeyes (10-3), who won their second Big Ten West Division title since 2015, finished with wins in four of their past five games. The Wildcats (9-3), who are coming off a 52-21 win over Louisville in the regular-season finale, have won three in a row. This will be the first-ever meeting between the schools. Iowa running back Tyler Goodson has opted out of this matchup to prepare for the NFL Draft. Kentucky receivers Josh Ali and Isaiah Epps are expected to miss the game after being involved in a car accident. 

Kickoff is set for 1 p.m. ET. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Wildcats as 3.5-point favorites in the latest Iowa vs. Kentucky odds. The over-under for total points is set at 44. Before locking in any Kentucky vs. Iowa picks or Citrus Bowl 2022 predictions, you need to see what SportsLine's advanced computer model has to say.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,600 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters the third week of the 2021-22 college football bowl season on a 43-30 run on all top-rated college football side picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Kentucky vs. Iowa and locked in its Citrus Bowl 2022 picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several college football odds and betting lines for Iowa vs. Kentucky:

  • Iowa vs. Kentucky spread: Kentucky -3.5
  • Iowa vs. Kentucky over-under: 44 points
  • Iowa vs. Kentucky money line: Iowa +140, Kentucky -160
  • IOWA: The Hawkeyes are 8-2 against the spread in their last 10 games after allowing over 40 points in their previous game
  • UK: The Wildcats are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 non-conference games
Featured Game | Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa Hawkeyes

Why Kentucky can cover

The Wildcats are led by junior quarterback Will Levis, who is completing 66.5 percent of his passes for 2,593 yards and 23 touchdowns. His top target has been junior wide receiver Wan'Dale Robinson with 94 receptions for 1,164 yards and six TDs. The ground game has been led by junior Chris Rodriguez Jr., who has rushed for 1,272 yards and eight touchdowns. The three are just the second in school history to reach 2,000 yards passing, 1,000 rushing and 1,000 receiving in the same season.

Defensively, senior linebacker Jacquez Jones tops the Wildcats in tackles with 82, including 37 solo. He has one-half sack for three yards, one forced fumble, one fumble recovery, four pass breakups and one interception. He transferred to Kentucky after playing in 33 career games with 19 starts at Mississippi. He totaled 182 tackles in three seasons with Ole Miss, and enters the game with 45 career games played with 31 starts and 268 career tackles.

Why Iowa can cover

Despite that, the Wildcats are not a lock to cover the Iowa vs. Kentucky spread because the Hawkeyes already have three wins over ranked opponents this season. Junior quarterback Spencer Petras powers the offense as he led the team by completing 146 of 258 passes (56.6 percent) for 1,669 yards and nine touchdowns. He was picked off six times, but had a rating of 117.8 and also rushed for five touchdowns. Petras has started 18 of 24 career games he has played in, compiling a 13-5 record and passing for 3,263 career yards, 13th in school history.

Petras' top target is junior tight end Sam LaPorta, who led the team in receptions (46) and receiving yards (584). He has started 18 of 33 career games played and is on the Mackey Award watch list. LaPorta had a career-high seven receptions for 65 yards in a Week 3 win over Kent State. He had five catches for a career-high 83 yards in a Week 1 victory over Indiana.

How to make Iowa vs. Kentucky picks

SportsLine's model is leaning over on the total, projecting 45 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in almost 60 percent of simulations. You can only see the model's Citrus Bowl picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Kentucky vs. Iowa? And which side of the spread hits in almost 60 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its college football picks, and find out.