The Florida Gators will try to end coach Billy Napier's first season in Gainesville with a winning record when they take on the Oregon State Beavers in the 2022 Las Vegas Bowl on Saturday at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas. The Gators (6-6) have just three losing seasons since 1980, all since 2013. Napier took over at Florida after the team went 6-7 last season. Meanwhile the Beavers (9-3) are looking to finish with 10 wins in a season for just the third time in program history, joining the 2000 and '06 teams. Current head coach Jonathan Smith was the quarterback of the 2000 squad.
Kickoff is 2:30 p.m. ET. The Beavers are 8-point favorites in the latest Oregon State vs. Florida odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 53.5. Before locking in any Florida vs. Oregon State picks or Las Vegas Bowl predictions, be sure to check out what SportsLine's advanced computer model has to say.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past six-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $2,500 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Florida vs. Oregon State and just locked in its Las Vegas Bowl 2022 picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Now, here are several college football odds and betting trends for Oregon State vs. Florida:
- Florida vs. Oregon State spread: Beavers -8
- Florida vs. Oregon State over/under: 53.5 points
- Florida vs. Oregon State money line: Beavers -292, Gators +235
- ORST: The Beavers rank No. 3 in the country in red zone defense (67.5%).
- FLA: The Gators average 5.8 yards per carry, which ranks third in the FBS.
- Florida vs. Oregon State picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why Oregon State can cover
Oregon State will be facing a shorthanded Florida team. The Gators will be missing starting quarterback Anthony Richardson, consensus all-America offensive guard O'Cyrus Torrence, starting receiver Justin Shorter and starting linebacker Ventrell Miller, who all opted out of the bowl game after declaring for the NFL Draft. In addition, backup quarterback Jalen Kitna was dismissed from the team after an arrest, and 17 other players entered the transfer portal this month.
In addition, the Beavers have been winning behind quarterback Ben Gulbranson. Since he took over as starter in early October for an injured Chance Nolan, Oregon State is 6-1, with its only loss at Washington. A 6-foot-3 redshirt freshman, Gulbranson has completed 62.3% of his passes for 1,290 yards with eight touchdowns and five interceptions.
Why Florida can cover
Florida has a devastatingly efficient rushing attack. The Gators average 5.8 yards per carry, which ranks third in the FBS, behind only UCLA and UAB. Running back Trevor Etienne, who was named to the freshman All-SEC team, averages 6.4 yards per carry, which leads all true freshman running backs in the country with at least 100 carries.
In addition, Florida faces an Oregon State defense that does not excel at getting into opponents' backfields. The Beavers rank 122nd in the country in sacks per game (1.33). They also are 98th in the nation in tackles for loss per game (5.0).
How to make Oregon State vs. Florida picks
SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the total, projecting 56 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in more than 50% of simulations. You can only get the model's pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Florida vs. Oregon State? And which side of the spread hits in more than 50% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its college football picks, and find out.
