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There are six double-digit favorites listed in the latest college football bowl odds at Caesars Sportsbook, including UAB (-10.5) vs. Miami (OH) in the first bowl game on the 2022-23 college football bowl schedule on Friday at 11:30 a.m. ET. The other 37 bowl games on the CFB odds board feature single-digit spreads, creating a tough challenge when it comes to college football bowl confidence picks. No. 25 UTSA is a 1-point favorite against No. 24 Troy in the Cure Bowl on Friday afternoon at 3 p.m. ET. Which team should you be including in your 2022-23 college football bowl confidence pools?

As for the six double-digit favorites, they will be popular choices atop many college football bowl confidence rankings. Who should you back in your college football bowl pick'em groups? Before entering any college football bowl confidence pools, be sure to see the college football picks from SportsLine's Matt Severance.

Matt Severance is a well-connected writer and handicapper who has worked in the industry since 2005. He wrapped up the 2022 college football regular season as one of SportsLine's top experts, ending the year on a 20-8 run on his college football picks, returning over $1,100 to $100 bettors during that span. Anybody who followed him saw some huge returns.

So before filling out your college football pool picks, you need to see Severance's college football bowl picks. He has analyzed each bowl matchup and ordered every game by level of confidence. He's only sharing his final picks over at SportsLine.

Top college football bowl confidence predictions

One of the top 2022-23 college football bowl confidence picks from Severance: He's backing the No. 15 Oregon Ducks to defeat the North Carolina Tar Heels in the 2022 Holiday Bowl at 8 p.m. ET on Dec. 28. Late-season form is an important aspect of handicapping bowl games, and these teams were trending in opposite directions down the stretch. UNC lost its final three games of the regular season and only covered the spread once in its last five games, while Oregon has covered in six of its last eight contests.

The Ducks rarely get upset as favorites, winning 14 of their last 15 games in that role. They are poised to take care of business again in this game, led by veteran quarterback Bo Nix. He threw for 3,388 yards and 27 touchdowns during the regular season. North Carolina freshman quarterback Drake Maye has been dealing with turnover issues, throwing four interceptions and just one touchdown during the team's three-game skid. See who else to pick here.

How to make college football bowl confidence picks  

Severance also is extremely high on an extremely overlooked team that is set to knock off an SEC powerhouse. Picks like these could be the difference between winning your 2022 bowl confidence pool and going home empty-handed. You can see who it is, and get every pick, for every game at SportsLine.

So which teams should you rank in which order in your football confidence pools? And what team outside a Power 5 conference do you need to be all-in on? Visit SportsLine to see the full college football bowl confidence picks, and see what teams won't disappoint, all from the No. 1 college football expert who crushed sportsbooks this season.