The Maryland Terrapins look to right the ship with a difficult challenge on Saturday afternoon. After a strong start, Maryland has lost four of the last five games, including a double-digit setback to Penn State a week ago. This week, the Terrapins visit the No. 7 Michigan State Spartans in East Lansing. Michigan State is 8-1 overall but also coming off a loss to Purdue in its last contest.
Kickoff is set for 4 p.m. ET. The latest Maryland vs. Michigan State odds from Caesars Sportsbook list the Spartans at -11.5, down two points from the opening line. The over-under for total points is set at 60.5. Before locking in any Michigan State vs. Maryland picks or college football predictions, you need to see what SportsLine's advanced computer model has to say.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,500 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters Week 11 of the 2021 season on a 31-20 run on all top-rated college football side picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Maryland vs. Michigan State and just revealed its CFB Week 11 picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Now, here are several college football odds and betting lines for Michigan State vs. Maryland:
- Maryland vs. Michigan State spread: MSU -11.5
- Maryland vs. Michigan State over-under: 60.5 points
- Maryland vs. Michigan State money line: MSU -475, Maryland +360
- MAR: The Terrapins are 3-6 against the spread this season
- MSU: The Spartans are 6-2-1 against the spread in 2021
Why Maryland can cover
Maryland's offense leads the way and the Terrapins have impressive numbers on that side of the ball. The Terrapins do have a path to defensive success, however. Maryland is a top-four team in the Big Ten in allowing opponents to complete only 56 percent of passes. The Terrapins are also No. 3 in the Big Ten with 26 sacks, putting a great deal of pressure on opponents. Michigan State also struggles on third down, converting only 35.7 percent of opportunities on offense this season.
From there, Maryland's offense ranks near the top of the league in total yards, points, passing yards, completion percentage and passing touchdowns. Michigan State's defense currently ranks last in the Big Ten in total defense and passing defense, paving the way to overall efficiency for Maryland, even on the road.
Why Michigan State can cover
Michigan State is enjoying an explosive offense season. While the Spartans do have balance with Payton Thorne captaining the passing game from the quarterback position, Michigan State's attack revolves around Heisman Trophy candidate Kenneth Walker III at running back. Walker III leads the country in rushing, racking up 1,330 yards on the ground, and he is averaging 6.8 yards per carry in 2021. Walker III also has 15 rushing touchdowns, and he is a threat to find the end zone on any carry.
Overall, the Spartans are averaging 34 points per game and putting up 198.1 rushing yards per contest. With Maryland allowing 30.4 points per contest defensively, Michigan State can take solace in the matchup, and the Spartans are averaging 8.9 yards per pass attempt, providing the explosiveness needed if they fall behind on the scoreboard.
How to make Maryland vs. Michigan State picks
SportsLine's model is leaning under on the total, projecting that the teams will combine for 53 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only get the model's Maryland vs. Michigan State pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Maryland vs. Michigan State? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Maryland vs. Michigan State spread you need to jump on Saturday, all from the model that has crushed its college football picks, and find out.