daniel-jackson-usatsi-cbs.jpg
Getty Images

The Bowling Green Falcons aim to take down a Power Five opponent on Tuesday afternoon. Bowling Green faces the Minnesota Golden Gophers in the 2023 Quick Lane Bowl. The game will take place at Ford Field in Detroit, with the Falcons entering at 7-5 overall and 5-1 in the last six games. Minnesota is 5-7 overall and looking to stop the bleeding of a four-game losing streak.

For this 2 p.m. ET matchup, SportsLine consensus lists the Golden Gophers as 3.5-point favorites. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over/under, is 40 in the latest Minnesota vs. Bowling Green odds. Before making any Bowling Green vs. Minnesota picks, you need to see the college football predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's advanced computer simulation model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a strong profit of well over $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It entered bowl season a profitable 13-9 on top-rated spread picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Bowling Green vs. Minnesota and just locked in its picks and CFB predictions. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Now, here are several college football betting lines and trends for Minnesota vs. Bowling Green:

  • Bowling Green vs. Minnesota spread: Minnesota -3.5
  • Bowling Green vs. Minnesota over/under: 40 points
  • Bowling Green vs. Minnesota money line: Minnesota -174, Bowling Green +146
  • BG: The Falcons are 8-4 against the spread this season
  • MINN: The Gophers are 3-9 against the spread this season
  • Bowling Green vs. Minnesota picks: See picks at SportsLine
  • Bowling Green vs. Minnesota live stream: fubo (try for free)

Why Bowling Green can cover

Bowling Green projects well on both sides of the ball in this matchup. The Falcons are averaging more than 140 rushing yards per game with 20 rushing touchdowns this season, and Bowling Green also ranked in the top three of the MAC with 7.0 yards per pass attempt. Tight end Harold Fannin Jr. is arguably the leader of the unit, and he was a first team All-MAC selection after leading the conference among tight ends with 39 receptions, six touchdowns and 573 receiving yards. Minnesota is allowing more than 35 points per game over the last four outings, and the Gophers rank last in the Big Ten in allowing opponents to convert 47.2% of third down chances. 

On defense, Bowling Green led FBS with 27 takeaways during the regular season, and the Falcons also have 33 sacks in 2023. Minnesota's offense is missing key pieces, including starting quarterback Athan Kaliakmanis (transfer portal), and the Gophers are in the bottom six among Power Five programs in points per game, yards per game, yards per play, offensive touchdowns and passing yards this season. See which team to pick here.

Why Minnesota can cover

Minnesota's defense held opponents to 12 points or fewer on four different occasions this season. The Gophers also had 12 interceptions, with Bowling Green throwing the second-most interceptions (14) in the MAC. The Falcons also generated fewer than 330 total yards per game, and Bowling Green finished in the bottom three of the MAC in converting only 33.3% of third down attempts. Minnesota has been excellent in recent bowl games, winning six straight and the last four under head coach P.J. Fleck. 

The Gophers are tied for the longest active bowl winning streak in the country, and Minnesota has an immense talent on the outside with senior wide receiver Daniel Jackson. He finished in the top four of the Big Ten in receiving yards (831), receptions (57), and receiving touchdowns (eight) this season, and Jackson has at least 119 yards in three of the last five games. See which team to pick here.

How to make Bowling Green vs. Minnesota picks

SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the point total, with three players projected to exceed 60 rushing yards. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 60% of simulations. You can only see the model's pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Bowling Green vs. Minnesota? And which side of the spread hits in well over 60% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that's up over $2,000 on its top-rated college football picks, and find out.