Mississippi State will look to halt its four game losing skid on Saturday when the Bulldogs travel to Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium to take on the Arkansas Razorbacks. The Bulldogs (3-5) have won just one of their last six games, while the Razorbacks (2-6) have lost five straight, which includes a 48-7 loss against Alabama in their last outing. Saturday's SEC West showdown is scheduled to start at 4 p.m. ET. Arkansas has dominated the Bulldogs on its home turf, winning seven of its last 10 games against Mississippi State at home. However, the Bulldogs are favored by 7.5 points in the latest Mississippi State vs. Arkansas odds, while the over-under is set at 58.5. Before locking in your own Mississippi State vs. Arkansas picks, be sure to see the college football predictions from SportsLine's advanced computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times, and those who have followed it have seen huge returns. Over the past four-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of over $4,200 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. The model enters Week 10 of the 2019 season on a strong run, going 100-64 on all its top-rated college football picks. Anybody who has been following it is way up.
Now, it has simulated Arkansas vs. Mississippi State 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning under, and it also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
The Razorbacks played a contest they are hoping to forget as they lost a 48-7 blowout to Alabama last week. Arkansas was in a tough position by the half, with the score already sitting at 41-0. And while Alabama can make just about any team look undermanned, four turnovers for a second week in a row doesn't bode well for the Razorbacks. Quarterback Nick Starkel has now thrown 10 interceptions against just seven touchdown passes on the year. However, one of the bright spots for Arkansas this season has been running back Rakeem Boyd, who has rushed for 706 yards and five touchdowns this season.
Meanwhile, the model has taken into account that Mississippi State has dominated this series of late. In fact, the Bulldogs are 6-1 in their last seven games against Arkansas. Last season, the Bulldogs demolished Arkansas, beating the Razorbacks by a final score of 52-6.
In order to win their first road game this season, Mississippi State will need to run the ball effectively. Running back Kylin Hill has been Mississippi State's best playmaker this season, having racked up 793 rushing yards and six rushing touchdowns on 155 carries. The Bulldogs will look to get Hill going early and often against an Arkansas defense that is giving up 191.1 rushing yards per game, which ranks 97th in the country.
So who wins Arkansas vs. Mississippi State? And which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread to back on Saturday, all from the advanced model that has crushed its college football picks.
