rory-mcilroy-usatsi-2.jpg
USATSI

The 2022 Tour Championship will provide golf fans with some star-studded pairings on Thursday. Scottie Scheffler, the No. 1 ranked player in the world, will play alongside defending FedEx Cup champion Patrick Cantlay when the Tour Championship 2022 gets underway from East Lake Golf Club on Thursday, Aug. 25. The first tee times come at 11:45 a.m. ET. Scheffler will begin the 2022 Tour Championship at 10 under par, while Patrick Cantlay, who secured his eighth career victory last week at the BMW Championship, will begin this week's event two shots off the lead. This is the fourth year of the Tour Championship's staggered start format.

Elsewhere in the 2022 Tour Championship field, Rory McIlroy, a 21-time PGA Tour champion, will be paired with Cameron Smith, who claimed his first major championship at the British Open. Caesars Sportsbook lists Scheffler as the +240 favorite (risk $100 to win $240) in the latest 2022 Tour Championship odds. He's followed by Cantlay (+360), Xander Schauffele (+650) and McIlroy (+900) on the PGA odds board. Before locking in your 2022 Tour Championship picks, be sure to see the PGA Tour predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven golf model.

SportsLine's proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June of 2020. In fact, the model is up over $9,500 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.

McClure's model included J.T. Poston in its best bets to win the 2022 John Deere Classic. That bet hit at +5500, and for the entire tournament, McClure's best bets returned almost $1,100. At the 2022 Masters, McClure's model was all over Scottie Scheffler's first career major championship victory heading into the weekend.

In addition, McClure's best bets included Collin Morikawa winning outright at the 2021 Open Championship, even though he was listed as a massive 40-1 longshot. The model was also all over Jon Rahm's (10-1) first career major championship victory at the 2021 U.S. Open. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the weekend, but the model still projected him as the winner.

This same model has also nailed a whopping eight majors entering the weekend. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.

Now that the 2022 Tour Championship field is locked, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.

Top 2022 Tour Championship predictions 

One major surprise the model is calling for at the Tour Championship 2022: McIlroy, a 21-time PGA Tour champion and one of the top favorites, stumbles this week and doesn't even crack the top five. With a win at the 2022 Tour Championship, McIlroy will become the first golfer to ever win the FedEx Cup three times.

The 33-year-old continues to crush the ball off the tee, averaging 320.4 yards per drive this season, which ranks second on tour. McIlroy's length off the tee also has him ranked inside the top-five in birdie average (4.45), scoring average (68.728) and strokes gained: off-the-tee (.788).

However, McIlroy is hitting just 57.87% of fairways off the tee this season, which ranks 133rd on tour. In addition, McIlroy has had trouble putting all season, ranking 78th in total putting (191.9), 86th in one-putt percentage (39.78%) and 147th in 3-putt avoidance (3.17%). He's not a strong pick to win it all and there are far better values in the Tour Championship 2022 field.

Another surprise: Tony Finau, an 18-1 longshot, makes a deep run at the title. It's hard to find many holes in Finau's game right now. In fact, Finau enters this week's event ranked inside the top-10 in greens in regulation percentage (71.14%), strokes gained: tee-to-green (1.474) and strokes gained: approach the green (.718).

Finau's ability to consistently put himself in advantageous positions has allowed the 32-year-old to finish T-5 or better in three of his last four starts on the PGA Tour, which includes two victories. Finau also ranks 11th in birdie average (4.23) and 13th in scoring average (69.768). Those impressive stats, plus his longer odds, make Finau a strong play for your 2022 Tour Championship bets. See who else to pick here

How to make 2022 Tour Championship picks

The model is targeting three other golfers with odds of 18-1 or longer who will make surprising runs. Anyone who backs these long shots could hit it big. You can only see the model's picks here.

So who will win the Tour Championship 2022? And which long shots stun the golfing world? Check out the 2022 Tour Championship odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected 2022 Tour Championship leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed eight golf majors, including this year's Masters.

2022 Tour Championship odds, field

See full Tour Championship 2022 picks, best bets, and predictions here.

Scottie Scheffler +240
Patrick Cantlay +360
Xander Schauffele +650
Rory McIlroy +900
Jon Rahm +1400
Tony Finau +1800
Cameron Smith +2000
Sam Burns +2000
Sungjae Im +2500
Justin Thomas +2500
Matt Fitzpatrick +3300
Cameron Young +3300
Joaquin Niemann +5000
Collin Morikawa +5000
Viktor Hovland +6500
Jordan Spieth +6600
Corey Conners +8000
Hideki Matsuyama +9000
Scott Stallings +10000
Max Homa +10000
Sepp Straka +10000
Adam Scott +12500
Aaron Wise +15000
Billy Horschel +17500
Sahith Theegala +20000
Brian Harman +20000
Tom Hoge +25000
K.H. Lee +25000
J.T. Poston +25000