The 2022 Valero Texas Open field includes plenty of star power, as Jordan Spieth, Hideki Matsuyama and Rory McIlroy are all taking on TPC San Antonio. McIlroy is the 8-1 favorite in the latest 2022 Valero Texas Open odds at Caesars Sportsbook, while Spieth is priced at 14-1. Former champion Corey Conners (2019) has the third-shortest odds at 18-1. Conners earned his spot in the Masters field in 2019 when he won the Valero Texas Open, as the winner locks up his place at Augusta National each year.
Seven of the previous nine winners at the Valero Texas Open have been non-Masters bound before their win. Should that narrow down your betting options this week? Before locking in any 2022 Valero Texas Open picks, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
SportsLine's proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June of 2020. In fact, it's up over $8.200 on its best bets since that point, nailing tournament after tournament.
At the 2021 Open Championship, McClure's best bets included Collin Morikawa winning outright even though he was listed as a massive 40-1 long shot. In addition, McClure's model was all over Jon Rahm's (10-1) first career major championship victory at the 2021 U.S. Open. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the weekend, but the model still projected him as the winner.
This same model has also nailed a whopping seven majors entering the weekend. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.
Now that the Valero Texas Open 2022 field is locked, SportsLine simulated the event 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected 2022 Valero Texas Open leaderboard.
The model's top 2022 Valero Texas Open predictions
One major surprise the model is calling for at the 2022 Valero Texas Open: Spieth, a 12-time champion on the PGA Tour and one of the top favorites, stumbles this week and barely cracks the top 10. Spieth is the defending champion of this event, holding off Charley Hoffman to secure the title in 2021.
However, Spieth has been extremely inconsistent this season, finishing T-26 or worse in each of his last four starts on the PGA Tour. Plus, Spieth has struggled mightily with his accuracy off the tee this season. In fact, Spieth ranks 128th on tour in driving accuracy percentage (57.82), which is a big reason why he's outside the top 150 in scoring average (71.544). He's not a strong pick to win it all and there are far better values in the 2022 Valero Texas Open field.
Another surprise: Keegan Bradley, a 35-1 long shot, makes a strong run at the title. He has a much better chance to win it all than his odds imply, so he's a target for anyone looking for a huge payday.
Bradley has put together several nice runs over the last few weeks, which includes a fifth-place finish at The Players Championship. He also finished in a tie for 11th at the Arnold Palmer Invitational earlier this month, so he is in good form heading into the 2022 Valero Texas Open. In addition, Bradley had a solid showing at this tournament last season, finishing inside the top 25 at 4-under-par.
He has only missed the cut twice since the first tournament of the season, providing inherent value at 35-1 odds. SportsLine's model expects Bradley to contend down the stretch, making him a solid betting option at TPC San Antonio.
How to make 2022 Valero Texas Open picks
The model is also targeting four other golfers with odds of 35-1 or higher who will make surprising runs. Anyone who backs these long shots could hit it big. You can only see them here.
So who will win the Valero Texas Open 2022? And which long shots stun the golfing world? Check out the odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected 2022 Valero Texas Open leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed seven golf majors and is up over $8,200 since the restart.
2022 Valero Texas Open odds
Rory McIlroy +750
Jordan Spieth +1400
Corey Conners +1800
Hideki Matsuyama +1800
Abraham Ancer +2200
Bryson DeChambeau +2500
Si-Woo Kim +3500
Keegan Bradley +3500
Chris Kirk +3500
Maverick McNealy +3500
Adam Hadwin +3500
Gary Woodland +3500
Tony Finau +4000
Jhonattan Vegas +4500
Jason Day +4500
Kevin Streelman +4500
Luke List +5000
Russell Knox +5000
Patton Kizzire +5000
Charley Hoffman +5000
Mito Pereira +5000
Davis Riley +5000
Sahith Theegala +5500
Rickie Fowler +6500
Brendan Steele +6500
Ryan Palmer +6500
Robert MacIntyre +6500
Rasmus Hojgaard +6500
Martin Laird +8000
Lanto Griffin +8000
Denny McCarthy +8000
Scott Stallings +8000
Ian Poulter +8000
Kyoung-Hoon Lee +8000
Lucas Glover +8000
Matt Kuchar +8000
Doug Ghim +8000
Anirban Lahiri +8000
Richard Bland +10000
Matthew NeSmith +10000
Lee Westwood +10000
Kramer Hickok +10000
Chad Ramey +10000
Dylan Frittelli +10000
C.T. Pan +10000
Takumi Kanaya +10000
Charles Howell +10000
Troy Merritt +10000
Min Woo Lee +10000
Alex Smalley +10000
Brian Stuard +10000
Matt Jones +10000
Aaron Rai +12500
Matthias Schwab +12500
Danny Lee +12500
Branden Grace +12500
David Lipsky +12500
Pat Perez +12500
Taylor Moore +12500
Adam Svensson +12500
Nick Taylor +12500
Cameron Champ +12500
Beau Hossler +12500
Nate Lashley +12500
Doc Redman +15000
Chez Reavie +15000
Garrick Higgo +15000
Zach Johnson +15000
Austin Smotherman +15000
Brendon Todd +15000
Nick Hardy +15000
Brice Garnett +17500
Joseph Bramlett +15000
Wyndham Clark +15000
Greyson Sigg +15000
Adam Schenk +15000
Sam Ryder +15000
Doc Redman +15000
Hayden Buckley +15000
J.J. Spaun +15000
Andrew Putnam +17500
Kevin Chappell +17500
Harry Higgs +17500
Tyler Duncan +17500
Lee Hodges +17500
Hank Lebioda +17500
Ben Martin +20000
Vince Whaley +20000
Robert Streb +20000
Brandon Hagy +20000
Adam Long +20000
Patrick Rodgers +20000
Matt Wallace +20000
Graeme McDowell +20000
Luke Donald +20000
Ryan Brehm +20000
Andrew Novak +20000
Hudson Swafford +20000
Brandt Snedeker +20000
Trey Mullinax +20000
John Huh +22500
Max McGreevy +25000
Stephan Jaeger +25000
Kevin Tway +25000
Kyle Stanley +25000
Henrik Stenson +25000
Camilo Villegas +25000
Roger Sloan +25000
Justin Lower +25000
J.T. Poston +25000
Peter Malnati +25000
Ben Kohles +25000
Nick Watney +25000
Dylan Wu +25000
Henrik Norlander +30000
Andrew Landry +30000
Bill Haas +30000
Jim Herman +30000
