The 2017 golf calendar is well underway with Justin Thomas taking the Tournament of Champions last week and Rory McIlroy looking strong at the BMW SA Open on Thursday. Two of the top 12 golfers in the world are off to a hot start so far in 2017. That begs the question, which golfers have the best odds of winning a major championship this year? McIlroy is the obvious favorite, but where does everyone else fall?

Here are the odds according to Bovada.

  • Rory McIlroy: 7-5
  • Jason Day: 3-2
  • Dustin Johnson: 8-5
  • Jordan Spieth: 7-4
  • Hideki Matsuyama: 3-1
  • Henrik Stenson: 9-2
  • Tiger Woods: 5-1
  • Justin Rose: 11-2
  • Rickie Fowler: 7-1
  • Sergio Garcia: 9-1
  • Brooks Koepka: 10-1
  • Patrick Reed: 10-1
  • Paul Casey: 14-1
  • Thomas Pieters: 14-1
  • Matt Kuchar: 14-1
  • Brandt Snedeker: 16-1
  • Jim Furyk: 18-1

Tiger Woods at 5-1! You might as well light your hard-earned cash on fire! I love Garcia at 9-1 and love Koepka at 10-1 even more. I do not like Reed at 10-1, Day at 3-2 or Furyk at 18-1.

The major season, as always, will be fascinating. Obviously Augusta for the Masters is a known quantity, but The Open hasn't been at Royal Birkdale since Padraig Harrington won it in 2008 and the U.S. Open is going to Erin Hills for the first time. The PGA Championship will be at McIlroy's home away from home at Quail Hollow in North Carolina. That's why I'm not denouncing his absurd 7-5 odds quite yet.

The only lesson here for me: Don't bet on Tiger Woods. Look, I'm as excited as the next guy that Woods is back playing golf. But the reality is that he has not had a top 10 at a major championship since the 2013 Open. He has also had three back surgeries since then. If your expectation is that Woods has a 5-1 chance to win a major in 2017, then your expectation is too high. That doesn't mean he won't. It just means that that number is absurd.