After a week on the road at division rivals Atlanta and New York, the Phillies will celebrate their home opener Thursday against the Marlins at 3:05 p.m. ET. The Phillies are -155 on the money line, meaning it would take a $155 bet on Philadelphia to win to return $100. The Over-Under for total runs scored is 8.5.

Before you make your picks, you need to see what SportsLine's advanced computer has to say.

This model, which simulates every game 10,000 times, entered the week on a blistering 13-2 run on MLB money-line picks. Anybody who has been following it is up big.

Now, the computer has simulated this National League East contest between the Marlins and Phillies 10,000 times and locked in money-line, Over-Under and against-the-spread picks.

We can tell you the model likes the Over in 53 percent of simulations. And it also has identified one team as a strong value on the money line. You can get that pick only over at SportsLine.

The model knows that these teams are in rebuilding mode. The Marlins traded away slugger Giancarlo Stanton and Christian Yelich in the offseason, while the Phillies acquired Cubs starting pitcher Jake Arrieta and Indians first baseman Carlos Santana.

Philly is hoping to improve on its 66-96 record last season and make the playoffs for the first time since 2011.

Taking the mound for Miami will be Caleb Smith, who recorded a no-decision in his season debut against the Cubs last week. He's projected to strike out four Phillies in five innings of work. He'll face Nick Pivetta, who gave up three earned runs in four innings in his first 2018 start.

Despite the Marlins finishing 11 games better than the Phillies in 2017, they lost the season series 11-8.

So which side should you be all over? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Marlins-Phillies money line you need to back, all from the computer model that entered the week on a scalding 13-2 run on its money-line picks