The Los Angeles Chargers had time to get healthier and will try to keep momentum when they host the Dallas Cowboys on Monday Night Football. The Chargers (2-2) come into the NFL Week 6 matchup off a bye week after winning two in a row. The Cowboys (3-2) have lost two of their past three and are licking their wounds after a 42-10 loss to the San Francisco 49ers on Sunday Night Football last week. The Chargers have won three of the past four meetings with Dallas, but the Cowboys won the most recent, 20-17 on a last-second field goal in 2021.
Kickoff in Los Angeles is set for 8:15 p.m. ET. Dallas is a 1.5-point favorite in the latest Cowboys vs. Chargers odds, and the over/under for total points scored is 50.5. Before you make any Chargers vs. Cowboys picks, you need to see the NFL predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's advanced computer model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 6 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 171-119 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 25-11 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, the model has simulated Cowboys vs. Chargers 10,000 times and just revealed its coveted NFL picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Chargers vs. Cowboys:
- Cowboys vs. Chargers spread: Dallas -1.5
- Cowboys vs. Chargers Over/Under: 50.5 points
- Cowboys vs. Chargers money line: Dallas Bay -126, Los Angeles +105
- DAL: Dallas is 10-1 ATS following a loss since the 2021 season.
- LAC: Los Angeles is 12-6 ATS in its past 18 games as an underdog.
- Cowboys vs. Chargers picks: See picks at SportsLine
- Cowboys vs. Chargers live stream: fubo (try for free)
Why the Cowboys can cover
The Cowboys were done in by turnovers and poor defense last week, but neither had been an issue early in the season. The 49ers are one of the NFL's best on both sides of ball and while the L.A. offense is strong, the Cowboys' defense is formidable. The unit is second in the league against the pass (168.6 yards per game) and fifth overall (292 total yards). Linebacker Micah Parsons, the favorite to win Defensive Player of the Year, leads a pass rush that creates havoc.
Parsons is second in the league pressure rate (22.3%) and has four sacks. The Cowboys pressure the quarterback on 51% of drop-backs, most in the league. Quarterback Dak Prescott threw three interceptions against San Francisco, but he has four overall and is completing 69% of his throws. The Chargers have the worst pass defense in the league (300 yards per game), so Prescott (1,061 passing yards) and CeeDee Lamb (358 receiving yards) should exploit it. See who to back at SportsLine.
Why the Chargers can cover
Quarterback Justin Herbert is 3-1 in his career on Monday Night Football and the Chargers are 5-1 against the spread in their past six games as an underdog. Herbert is completing 71% of his throws (fourth in NFL) and has 1,106 passing yards, seven touchdowns and one interception. L.A. has turned the ball over twice and is plus-five in turnover margin, tied for third-best in the league. Receiver Keenan Allen has 35 receptions for 434 yards and three touchdowns.
The expected return of versatile running back Austin Ekeler should boost an offense that is fifth in the league in total yards (389 per game) but 13th in rushing (120). Ekeler had 117 rushing yards in the opener before injuring his ankle and had 1,629 total yards in 2022. Pass rusher Joey Bosa (three sacks) also is expected to be back and will join Khalil Mack, who had six sacks against the Raiders, in harassing Dak Prescott. See who to back at SportsLine.
How to make Cowboys vs. Chargers picks
SportsLine's model is leaning Under the total, projecting 50 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread cashes in more than 50% of simulations. You can only see the model's NFL picks and analysis at SportsLine.
So who wins Chargers vs. Cowboys on Monday Night Football, and which side of the spread hits more than 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Chargers vs. Cowboys spread to back, all from the model that has returned well over $7,000 on top-rated NFL picks, and find out.
