taylor-heinicke-usatsi-washington-2.jpg
USATSI

The Philadelphia Eagles will try to start strong on Monday Night Football when they host the NFL East-rival Washington Commanders at Lincoln Financial Field. The Eagles (8-0) slogged through the first half of Thursday Night Football in Week 9, going into halftime tied with the Texas. But they pulled away in the second half for a 29-17 victory to remain the NFL's only unbeaten team while dropping Houston to 1-6-1. The Commanders (4-5) had their sights on moving above .500 when they hosted Minnesota last Sunday and took a 17-7 lead early in the fourth quarter. However, Minnesota was able to rally for a 20-17 victory on a field goal with 12 seconds left. The Eagles have won nine of the past 11 meetings and are seeking their second straight season sweep after cruising to a 24-8 victory at FedEx Field in Week 3.

Kickoff at Lincoln Financial Field is set for 8:15 p.m. ET. Philadelphia is an 11-point favorite in Caesars Sportsbook's latest Commanders vs. Eagles odds, while the over/under for total points scored is 43.5. Before you make any Eagles vs. Commanders picks or NFL bets, make sure you check out the Monday Night Football predictions from SportsLine's resident Washington expert, Larry Hartstein.

A former lead writer for Covers and The Linemakers, Hartstein combines a vast network of Vegas sources with an analytical approach he honed while working for Pro Football Focus. Entering the 2022 NFL season, he was 427-344 all-time on NFL picks (a $3,764 profit for $100 players), including 394-330 against the spread. Hartstein went 68-50 ATS (58 percent) and 8-3 on money-line plays last season for a profit of $1,552.

In addition, Hartstein has keen insights on Washington's strengths and weaknesses and is an amazing 21-7-1 on his last 29 picks involving the Commanders, returning $1,311. Anyone who has followed him is way up.

Now, Hartstein has taken a close look at Commanders vs. Eagles and just revealed his expert picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see his picks. Here are several NFL odds and betting trends for Eagles vs. Commanders: 

  • Commanders vs. Eagles spread: Philadelphia -11 
  • Commanders vs. Eagles over/under: 43.5 points  
  • Commanders vs. Eagles money line: Washington +400, Philadelphia -550 
  • WAS: Commanders are 4-2-0 against the spread in division games under Ron Rivera (since 2020) 
  • PHI: Eagles are 6-0-1 against the spread as home favorites under Nick Sirianni (since 2021) 
  • Commanders vs. Eagles picks: See picks here
Featured Game | Philadelphia Eagles vs. Washington Commanders

Why the Eagles can cover

Philadelphia is 4-0 against the spread at home this season and the fans are ecstatic about the franchise-best start. Quarterback Jalen Hurts had a strong day in the Week 3 victory, throwing for 340 yards and three touchdowns. Receiver DeVonta Smith had 169, while A.J. Brown had 85, and each scored a touchdown. The Eagles' defense also dominated, holding Washington to 50 yards in the first half and posting nine sacks. Philadelphia's offense averaged 5.9 yards per play, while the Commanders averaged 3.2.

The Eagles are 7-3-1 against the spread in the past 11 meetings. If Washington chooses not to force Hurts to beat them this time around, it will have to deal with running back Miles Sanders, who is seventh in the NFL with 656 rushing yards. The Eagles scored 28 points per game, compared to 18 for Washington, and are by far the best in the league in turnover margin at plus-15. They have 18 takeaways, led by safety C.J. Gardner-Johnson's league-high five interceptions. See which team to pick here.

Why the Commanders can cover

Washington should be able to find room to run the ball on Monday Night Football against a Texans defense that yielded 139 yards to Texans running back Dameon Pierce last week. The rookie averaged 5.1 yards per carry. The Commanders have two solid options in rookie Brian Robinson and Antonio Gibson. Robinson has 219 yards in five games after recovering from a preseason shooting, while Gibson has 328 to go with 239 receiving yards.

Quarterback Taylor Heinicke is 8-2-1 against the spread in his past 11 starts. He hasn't been lighting it up, but the team has rallied behind him since he replaced Carson Wentz. Heinicke has five touchdown passes in three starts, and receivers Terry McLaurin and Curtis Samuel can make plays. McLaurin is 11th in the NFL in receiving yards (609), while Samuel is 13th in receptions (45). The defense allows 331 yards per game (14th in NFL) and will try to keep Hurts in the pocket. He has been sacked 22 times, and Daron Payne and Jonathan Allen have combined for 10 sacks. See which team to pick here.

How to make NFL Week 10 or Commanders vs. Eagles picks

Hartstein has broken down this matchup from all sides and is leaning Under on the point total. He also has discovered a critical X-factor that has him jumping all over one side of the spread. He's only sharing his Eagles vs. Commanders picks, and the rest of his expert NFL analysis, at SportsLine.

So who wins Eagles vs. Commanders on Monday Night Football? And which critical X-factor makes one side of the spread a must-back? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Eagles vs. Commanders spread to back, all from the NFL expert who's an amazing 21-7 on spread picks involving Washington, and find out.