It's a matchup between two of the world's top 10 teams Sunday when Italy and Netherlands face off in the 2022-23 UEFA Nations League third-place match. Italy, the eighth-ranked team and reigning European champion, lost to Spain 2-1 in Thursday's semifinal match. Netherlands, No. 6 in the FIFA world rankings, got a late equalizer in Wednesday's semifinal before falling 4-2 to Croatia in extra time. The teams last met in the 2020-21 Nations League, where the Italians took a 1-0 victory and 1-1 draw to edge the Dutch by one point in the group. Italy lost to Spain 2-1 in that Nations League semifinal, as well, then beat Belgium by the same score in the third-place match.
Kickoff is set for 9 a.m. ET at De Grolsch Veste in Enschede, Netherlands. Caesars Sportsbook lists Netherlands as the +130 favorites (risk $100 to win $130) on the 90-minute money line in the latest Netherlands vs. Italy odds. Italy are +195 underdogs, a draw is listed at +245 and the over/under for total goals scored is set at 2.5. Before locking in any Italy vs. Netherlands picks or 2023 UEFA Nations League bets, be sure to see what renowned soccer bettor Jon "Buckets" Eimer has to say.
Eimer is a high-volume bettor who has vast knowledge of leagues and players across the globe. Since joining SportsLine, he has covered the English Premier League, Serie A, the FA Cup and much more. He is a stunning 150-117-7 on all soccer picks following the 2022 World Cup for SportsLine, returning more than 40 units for his followers. Anyone following him is way up.
Now, Eimer has broken down the Netherlands vs. Italy matchup from every angle. You can head to SportsLine to see the picks. Here are the betting lines and trends for Italy vs. Netherlands:
- Netherlands vs. Italy spread: Netherlands -0.5 (+127)
- Netherlands vs. Italy over/under: 2.5 goals
- Netherlands vs. Italy 90-minute money line: Netherlands +130, Italy +195, Draw +245
- Netherlands vs. Italy to finish third: Netherlands -137, Italy +100
- Netherlands: They have scored 29 goals in 14 games since the start of 2022.
- Italy: They have been outscored 15-12 in 12 matches since the start of 2022.
- Netherlands vs. Italy picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why You Should Back Netherlands
The Flying Dutchmen will try to close their hosting duties in style, and the home crowd should help them do it. The Oranje went 5-1-0 in group play, with a 14-6 goal advantage, while Italy went 3-2-1, outscoring their opponents just 8-7. Netherlands then played a strong match against Croatia, matching their 14 shots and edging them 6-5 in attempts on net, but couldn't find the goals they needed. Italy, meanwhile, were outshot 19-8 (7-3 on net) in their setback to Spain.
The Dutch were unbeaten in 10 Nations League matches (7-3-0) before the Croatia loss. They are 9-3-2 in competitive matches since the start of 2022, while Italy are 4-2-5. The Azzurri have had Netherlands' number in friendlies, but the competitive series is even at 3-2-3. The Oranje have a solid young attack, led by Steve Bergjwin (seven international goals), Cody Gakpo (six) and Donyell Malen (five), and veteran Georginio Wijnaldum (26 goals) can still bury chances. See who to back at SportsLine.
Why you should back Italy
The Azzurri are battle-tested, as four-time World Cup and two-time European champs, and want to enter the summer on a high note. They have lost just three times in 23 all-time meetings with the Dutch (11-9-3), including friendlies. Nicolo Barella and Lorenzo Pellegrini, the goal-scorers in the 2020-21 meetings, and Ciro Immobile, who scored Thursday against Spain, are all available for Sunday. Immobile is the team's top scorer with 16 international goals, while Barella has eight.
Giacomo Raspadori and Mateo Retegui could get chances to start Sunday. Raspadori had 10 goals with Sassuolo in 2021-22 before joining Serie A champ Napoli on loan. He had two goals and two assists in 10 starts. Retegui has 29 goals the past two seasons in Argentina's Primera Division. The Italians should have a big advantage in net, provided Gianluigi Donnarumma starts. The 24-year-old has an 81.5 save percentage and 21 clean sheets in 42 competitive starts with the national team. See who to back at SportsLine.
How to make UEFA Nations League Netherlands vs. Italy picks
Eimer has examined the Netherlands vs. Italy match from every angle, and he is leaning Under on the goal total. He also provides his two confident best bets and has a full breakdown of the match. He's only sharing those picks here.
Who wins Italy vs. Netherlands in Sunday's 2022-23 UEFA Nations League third-place match, and where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to see the best bets for Netherlands vs. Italy, all from the soccer expert who is up more than 40 units on his picks this year, and find out.
