The Butler Bulldogs visit the Providence Friars for a Big East battle on Sunday. Butler is struggling in recent days, losing five of its last six games. The Bulldogs are 9-9 overall with a 2-5 record against Big East competition. In contrast, Providence is 15-2 overall after winning 10 of the last 11 games, and the Friars are 5-1 in conference tilts.
Tip-off is at 12 p.m. ET. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Friars as nine-point home favorites, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 127 in the latest Butler vs. Providence odds. Before you make any Providence vs. Butler picks, you need to check out the college basketball predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of more than $2,400 for $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Butler vs. Providence and revealed its picks and CBB predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are the college basketball odds and trends for Providence vs. Butler:
- Butler vs. Providence spread: Providence -9
- Butler vs. Providence over-under: 127 points
- Butler: The Bulldogs are 5-13 against the spread in 2021-22
- Providence: The Friars are 11-6 against the spread this season
Why Butler can cover
Butler's offense should benefit from the conservative nature of Providence's defense. The Friars are only creating a turnover on 16.5 percent of defensive possessions, ranking near the bottom of the country, and Providence generates a steal on only 7.7 percent of possessions. Butler is above-average at creating free throws, which also bolsters the team's projection.
On the opposite end, the Bulldogs are above-average defensively, headlined by a 19.0 percent turnover rate and a 71.9 percent defensive rebound rate. Opponents are shooting only 33 percent from 3-point range against Butler, and Providence has more than 10 percent of its shots blocked, ranking outside the top 250 nationally. The Friars are also only No. 8 in the Big East in both offensive rebound rate and two-point shooting accuracy this season.
Why Providence can cover
Providence is very good on both ends of the floor this season. The Friars are in the top five of the country in free throw creation rate, and Providence is committing a turnover on only 17.7 percent of possessions. Providence also has strong shooting splits, making 73.5 percent of free throw attempts, 50.4 percent of two-point attempts and 33.2 percent of 3-point attempts. The Friars secure 29.8 percent of missed shots on the offensive glass, and Providence is also quite potent on defense.
Opponents are shooting only 32.7 percent from 3-point range and 44.0 percent on two-point shots against Providence, and the Friars are in the top 50 nationally in free throw prevention. Providence is blocking 10.3 percent of shot attempts on defense, and Butler is well below-average in two-point shooting, 3-point shooting, turnover rate and rebound rate on the offensive end.
How to make Providence vs. Butler picks
SportsLine's model is leaning over on the total, projecting 132 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread is hitting almost 60 percent of the time. You can only get the model's pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Butler vs. Providence? And which side of the spread hits in almost 60 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up more than $2,400 on its top-rated college basketball spread picks over the last five-plus years, and find out.