Two storied college basketball programs meet Saturday night when Louisville plays host to North Carolina at 8:15 p.m. The Cardinals are slim one-point favorites. The teams are separated by just one-half game in the ACC, both part of a four-way battle for second place. Before picking either side of this key showdown, you need to see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.

The model, which simulates every game 10,000 times, is on a scorching 15-5 run on top-rated college hoops picks, a red-hot 75 percent win rate.

It's no fluke. Last year, the computer crushed the sportsbooks, producing an insane 755-636-20 record on A-rated picks, returning a massive profit of $6,529 for any $100 player who followed them.

The model, which breaks down every matchup, player and trend, has locked in another A-rated pick against the spread for North Carolina and Louisville, and it's hitting in nearly 70 percent of simulations.

A stat we'll share from the simulations: The computer projects Joel Berry II to register a game-high 16 points for the Tar Heels, but is it enough to down the Cards in Louisville? 

The model knows if Louisville is to compete Saturday night, it must keep UNC off the glass, a tall task for any team. The Heels lead the nation in rebounds and rebound differential at 43.3 and 11.7 per game, respectively.

Louisville has been out-rebounded in seven of its last 13 games. But what the Cards lack in bulk they make up in speed, averaging 7.5 steals and forcing more than 14 turnovers per game.

So which side of North Carolina-Louisville do you need to be all over? Visit SportsLine now to see the strong point-spread pick for North Carolina-Louisville that's hitting nearly 70 percent of the time, all from a red-hot computer model on a 15-5 run.