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The Oklahoma Sooners (6-6) and the No. 13 Florida State Seminoles (9-3) play in the 2022 Cheez-It Bowl on Thursday. FSU owns a 28-17-3 record in bowl games and will be playing in its first postseason contest since 2019. The Seminoles lost to Arizona State 20-14 in the Sun Bowl that year. Meanwhile, Oklahoma has a record of 31-23-1 in bowl games. In 2021, the Sooners beat Oregon 47-32 in the Alamo Bowl. Running back Eric Gray, defensive lineman Jalen Redmond and offensive linemen Anton Harrison and Wanya Morris have all opted out of this game for Oklahoma. 

Kickoff from Orlando, Fla., is set for 5:30 p.m. ET. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Seminoles as 10-point favorites in the latest Oklahoma vs. Florida State odds. The over/under for total points is set at 65.5. Before locking in any Florida State vs. Oklahoma picks, make sure you check out the college football predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past six-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $2,500 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has locked in on FSU vs. Oklahoma and just revealed its Cheez-It Bowl 2022 predictions. You can head to SportsLine to see the model's picks. Here are the CFB odds and betting lines for Oklahoma vs. FSU:

  • Oklahoma vs. FSU spread: Seminoles -10
  • Oklahoma vs. FSU over/under: 65.5 points 
  • Oklahoma vs. FSU money line: Seminoles -385, Sooners +300
  • OKLA: Sooners are 5-1 ATS in their last six neutral site games
  • FSU: Seminoles are 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall
  • Oklahoma vs. FSU picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why Florida State can cover

The Seminoles have played stout defense all throughout the year. Florida State is limiting explosive plays, ranking first in the ACC in total defense (307.3) and passing defense (158.9). Junior linebacker Tatum Bethune is a menace in the middle of the field. Bethune has great closing speed with outstanding awareness in coverage. He's secured 76 total tackles with four pass deflections. In the win over Florida, Bethune had 11 tackles.

Sophomore defensive lineman Jared Verse is a long and athletic rusher off the edge. Verse is explosive off the snap with a relentless motor. The Pennsylvania native leads the team in sacks (7.5) with 41 total stops. Junior defensive back Jammie Robinson is a downhill thumper who can shoot the gaps in the run game. Robinson has a team-high 86 total tackles, including three games with double-digit stops. 

Why Oklahoma can cover

Oklahoma will hope to keep its powerful run game going. The Sooners led the Big 12 in rushing with 217 yards per game. Oklahoma rushed for over 200 yards in its 51-48 loss against Texas Tech in the regular season finale. With Gray out, look for freshman Jovantae Barnes to have a much larger role. 

Senior tight end Brayden Willis is a great in-line blocker with solid body control as a pass-catcher. Willis owns soft hands, reeling in 35 passes for 456 yards and seven touchdowns. The Texas native has caught three-plus passes in six games. Willis snagged seven receptions for 74 yards and two touchdowns on Nov. 26 against the Red Raiders. 

How to make Oklahoma vs. Florida State picks

The model is leaning Under on the total, projecting 64 combined points. It also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can see who to back at SportsLine.

So who wins FSU vs. Oklahoma? And which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread to back, all from the advanced model that has been crushing its top-rated college football picks, and find out.