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A top-10 showdown gets underway from Camping World Stadium on Sunday evening. The No. 5 LSU Tigers meet the No. 8 Florida State Seminoles in Orlando as one of three FBS contests on Sunday. LSU is coming off a 10-4 season under Brian Kelly, punctuated by a 63-7 win over Purdue in the Citrus Bowl. Florida State posted a 10-3 mark under Mike Norvell a season ago, and the Seminoles lead the all-time series with LSU by an 8-2 margin.

Kickoff is at 7:30 p.m. ET. For this game, SportsLine consensus lists the Tigers as 2-point favorites, while the over/under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 56.5 in the latest LSU vs. Florida State odds. Before making any Florida State vs. LSU picks or Week 1 college football predictions, you need to see what SportsLine's Emory Hunt has to say

Hunt is the founder and CEO of Football Gameplan, which has been supplying analysis of all levels of football since 2007, and a former running back at Louisiana-Lafayette. He knows the game from a player's perspective. In addition, Hunt has gone an amazing 14-6 on his last 20 college football picks involving Florida State, returning more than $700 for $100 bettors. Anyone who has followed him is way up.

Now, Hunt has set his sights on LSU vs. FSU and just locked in its picks and CFB predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see Hunt's picks. Here are several college football odds and betting lines for FSU vs. LSU:

  • Florida State vs. LSU spread: LSU -2
  • Florida State vs. LSU over/under: 56.5 points
  • Florida State vs. LSU money line: LSU -128, FSU +108
  • FSU: 8-5 ATS last season 
  • LSU: 8-6 ATS last season 
  • Florida State vs. LSU picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why LSU can cover

LSU's offense is already generating headlines for the 2023 season, but the Tigers also have upside on defense. Led by Harold Perkins, the Tigers created havoc in 2022, holding opponents to a 57.0% completion rate and yielding only 16 passing touchdowns in 14 games. Perkins is one of the best pass rushers in the nation, returning after finishing in the top five of the SEC in sacks (eight), quarterback hits (22), quarterback pressures (41), and forced fumbles (four). 

Florida State has also struggled against top-tier competition, with the Seminoles losing 17 of the last 19 games against ranked opponents with a point differential of -15.8 points per game. From there, LSU's offense averaged more than 34 points and 450 total yards per game last season while converting nearly 49% of third-down chances. Returning quarterback Jayden Daniels is one of the top preseason contenders for the Heisman Trophy, and he has a potential All-American pass catcher in Malik NabersSee who to back at SportsLine

Why Florida State can cover

Florida State's offense is capable of big things, but the Seminoles also project for plenty of advantages on defense. Mike Norvell's team returns nine starters from the 2022 season, and the Seminoles were excellent on defense a year ago. Florida State led the ACC in allowing only 307.3 total yards per game, and the Seminoles were No. 2 in the conference in scoring defense, yielding 19.7 points per contest. Florida State was also atop the ACC in passing defense (158.9 yards allowed per game) and yards per pass attempt allowed (5.9), with opponents completing only 56.3% of passes against the Seminoles. 

Florida State also holds up well against the run, giving up fewer than four yards per carry, and the offense remains dynamic. The Seminoles tied for the ACC lead in scoring 36.1 points per game last season, with conference-leading marks in total yardage, rushing yardage, yards per carry, and third-down efficiency. With Jordan Travis returning at the most important position under center, the sky's the limit for Florida State. See who to back at SportsLine

How to make Florida State vs. LSU picks

Hunt has analyzed this matchup and while we can tell you he's leaning Under on the point total, he has discovered a critical X-factor that has him jumping all over one side of the spread. He's only sharing what it is, and which side to back, at SportsLine.

Who wins Florida State vs. LSU, and which critical X-factor makes one side of the spread a must-back? Visit SportsLine now to see Sunday's Florida State vs. LSU picks, all from the expert who is 14-6 over his last 20 picks involving FSU, and find out.